Portastorm wrote:Wx_Warrior wrote:Just spoke with some good pro mets...explaining different scenarios and what I got out of it was Galv-NOLA.
Wow. They must be really GOOD pro mets to narrow down a zone with confidence, especially considering the highly respected pro mets on S2K and our National Hurricane Center are all saying right now that the landfall forecast at day 5 and beyond remains highly speculative.
I'll put Stewart, or Franklin, or Wxman57, or Air Force Met, or Derek Ortt up against them any day!
I'm fairly sure, I have a good guess of who 2 of those pro mets might be coming from Wx_Warrior, and those are mets that I would consider seemingly respected. One of which I've watched and listened to for quite some time now and never seen him over-hype anything! I think people are blowing something out of proportion about that comment. I doubt those mets said, its going to make final landfall within that area, but more or less currently that would be the best possibility for potential landfall being this far out. I'd bet anything those mets also agree, that 5+ days out very little certainty can be made about landfall location.
Back on topic, I've seen a lot say Gustav has increased in forward speed, but to what? How fast is he moving now. I'm trying to gather an idea of how soon from now, the land interaction issues will start to no longer be a problem for intensification.