ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

[DJJordan]

Strong tropical storms are capable of ripping roofs off ... 70 mph winds are stronger than one thinks.

[Jagno]

[/quote]
I've never, ever said this but this graphic is enough to make me want to move.

[RL3AO]

Recon suggesting the center has moved north.

[ColdFusion]

Recon suggesting the center has moved north.

Well thats where the convection is exploding.

[gatorcane]

one word looking out at the Atlantic basin this afternoon (one eek for each area of disturbed weather):

It's not often you see it this busy.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Recon suggesting the center has moved north.

Well thats where the convection is exploding.

Its called the Ivan Shuffle..

[Javlin]

I've never, ever said this but this graphic is enough to make me want to move. [/quote]

hey we all might forced to move because there is a synoptic pattern developing.not this is going to happen this time around but I think it was 1863 that 3 landfalling storms hit along the NGOM coast within 120miles of each other in a month time.

[soonertwister]

Strong tropical storms are capable of ripping roofs off ... 70 mph winds are stronger than one thinks.

I've seen winds above hurricane force scores of times, but very rarely have I seen a house unroofed below 90-100 mph.

[Texashawk]

Strong tropical storms are capable of ripping roofs off ... 70 mph winds are stronger than one thinks.

I've seen winds abover hurricane force scores of times, but very rarely have I seen a house unroofed below 90-100 mph.

yes, but if you've ever been to Jamaica you know that many of these houses aren't exactly up to what we would consider code.

[Stormcenter]

Well that BoC storm will be upgraded sometime in the next 24 hours I bet, so that will be Ike.

(not a forecast)

My apologies if I missed the post addressing this. I've been in and out the office (hurricane preparedness stuff) all morning and early afternoon.
If 96L develops how will this affect Gustav? I mean is has to have some affect.

[Brent]

Recon suggesting the center has moved north.

Not surprised. Deeper convection is up there.

[tolakram]

Well that BoC storm will be upgraded sometime in the next 24 hours I bet, so that will be Ike.

(not a forecast)

My apologies if I missed the post addressing this. I've been in and out the office (hurricane preparedness stuff) all morning and early afternoon.
If 96L develops how will this affect Gustav? I mean is has to have some affect.

The consensus as i read it is no because ti should move inland quickly, development or not, and be far away by the time Gustav gets there.

[rtd2]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/srh/tropicalwx/ ... v_loop.php


looks like the ULL that was affecting Gustav is no longer stopping his outflow and is Hitting Hannah HARD!

[KWT]

RL3AO, very interesting though theres been no vortex so its a little hard to say that it has moved north, recon probably just didn't catch the center totally making it seems like its gone further north.

However that big burst of convection has caught my eye, really great outflow, easily the best I've seen with Gustav the whole time.

[soonertwister]

Strong tropical storms are capable of ripping roofs off ... 70 mph winds are stronger than one thinks.

I've seen winds abover hurricane force scores of times, but very rarely have I seen a house unroofed below 90-100 mph.

yes, but if you've ever been to Jamaica you know that many of these houses aren't exactly up to what we would consider code.

I'm well aware of the many shacks in Jamaica, but in eastern villages it seems like most would be of sturdier construction. Much of the shantytown construction is near larger population centers, where most of the jobs are, and the housing is scarcest.

[RL3AO]

RL3AO, very interesting though theres been no vortex so its a little hard to say that it has moved north, recon probably just didn't catch the center totally making it seems like its gone further north.

However that big burst of convection has caught my eye, really great outflow, easily the best I've seen with Gustav the whole time.

Its moved north. There are southerly and sw winds north of the last VDM.

[DJJordan]

Strong tropical storms are capable of ripping roofs off ... 70 mph winds are stronger than one thinks.

I've seen winds abover hurricane force scores of times, but very rarely have I seen a house unroofed below 90-100 mph.

yes, but if you've ever been to Jamaica you know that many of these houses aren't exactly up to what we would consider code.

LOL ... you would think they would know better in Jamaica and make stronger houses .... but not them.

[dixiebreeze]

Wow! A triple play coming up:

Most Recent Positions Regardless of Basin (if available):
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM

28/1745 UTC 20.6N 59.6W T2.0/2.5
HANNA -- Atlantic Ocean

28/1745 UTC 17.9N 76.2W T3.5/3.5
GUSTAV -- Atlantic Ocean

28/1745 UTC 19.5N 95.4W T1.5/1.5 96L -- Atlantic Ocean

[ConvergenceZone]

Well that BoC storm will be upgraded sometime in the next 24 hours I bet, so that will be Ike.

(not a forecast)

My apologies if I missed the post addressing this. I've been in and out the office (hurricane preparedness stuff) all morning and early afternoon.
If 96L develops how will this affect Gustav? I mean is has to have some affect.

A MET answers that question StormCenter, because I asked the same thing earlier. He said that it probably won't have any affect, unless the storm moved to the western Gulf and like the other posted stated, it should be well inland by the time Gustav is fully in the Gulf.

[KWT]

Its moved north. There are southerly and sw winds north of the last VDM.

Very interesting so looks like the circulation has jogged underneath the strong convection that blew up rather then stay overland, we've seen that happen so often with this island with the center jogging away from the island, surely another one isn't doing the same thing!

As I said though that deep convection is real impressive now.