ATL: IKE Discussion
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- cape_escape
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Re:
Vortex wrote:1845UTC Hi-res Vis continues wnw wobble
But, wasn't it supposed to eb going WSW today?
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- cheezyWXguy
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:Also please EVER REMEMBER THIS SO THAT WE DO NOT HAVE 200 POST ABOUT THE WOBBLES... SO LISTEN VERY CLOSELY!! IF A ERC IS STARTING THE EYE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO ROTATE AROUND THE INNER EDGE OF THE LARGER NEW EYE, WHICH WOULD GIVE THE APPEARANCE OF CHANGES IN DIRECTION. MY BEST ADVISE THAT IS PRETTY SIMPLE IS IF YOUR LOOKING AT A LOOP PUT YOUR FINGER OVER THE CENTER AND LOOK AT THE OVERALL MOTION OF THE ENTIRE SYSTEM.
THANK YOU
That does happen in erc's but I dont see it happening yet. The inner eyewall appears to be in the direct center of the outer eyewall, and it just looks like entire system just turned wnw. Ive been looking at the loop quite a bit.
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- cape_escape
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Re: Re:
feederband wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Also please EVER REMEMBER THIS SO THAT WE DO NOT HAVE 200 POST ABOUT THE WOBBLES... SO LISTEN VERY CLOSELY!! IF A ERC IS STARTING THE EYE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO ROTATE AROUND THE INNER EDGE OF THE LARGER NEW EYE, WHICH WOULD GIVE THE APPEARANCE OF CHANGES IN DIRECTION. MY BEST ADVISE THAT IS PRETTY SIMPLE IS IF YOUR LOOKING AT A LOOP PUT YOUR FINGER OVER THE CENTER AND LOOK AT THE OVERALL MOTION OF THE ENTIRE SYSTEM.
THANK YOU
There must be a trick to it because I get the same thing..
I tried it too, and agree...still looks the same to me.
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- HURAKAN
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Loop: http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

It may be a wobble but this is not west.

It may be a wobble but this is not west.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 4 - Discussion
Wx_Warrior wrote:New 12z EURO pushes Ike west into South Texas.
Well, like I said this morning, I wouldn't be surprised if all the models gradually shift to south Texas and even a few to Mexico
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Re: Re:
feederband wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Also please EVER REMEMBER THIS SO THAT WE DO NOT HAVE 200 POST ABOUT THE WOBBLES... SO LISTEN VERY CLOSELY!! IF A ERC IS STARTING THE EYE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO ROTATE AROUND THE INNER EDGE OF THE LARGER NEW EYE, WHICH WOULD GIVE THE APPEARANCE OF CHANGES IN DIRECTION. MY BEST ADVISE THAT IS PRETTY SIMPLE IS IF YOUR LOOKING AT A LOOP PUT YOUR FINGER OVER THE CENTER AND LOOK AT THE OVERALL MOTION OF THE ENTIRE SYSTEM.
THANK YOU
There must be a trick to it because I get the same thing..
i did not say it was not moving a little north of west over the last hour but just keep that in mind over the next 12 hours or until landfall ..
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- Weatherfreak14
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 4 - Discussion
Wow looking extremely impressive... I second that this looks more like a turn or a elongated woble


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Re: ATL IKE: Category 4 - Discussion
attallaman wrote:Maybe Ike will do what?Tom8 wrote:Maybe Ike will bonce and will cheange the course
see ? I predicted this turn at 4:02 am
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If IKE runs between FLA and Cuba into the GOM, he will still be a powerful storm when he enters the GOM. Hard to believe he will push toward the NW GOM especially with the more NW movement this afternoon. AS with all other GOM storms it willl depend on the ridge. It will be a long week of tracking IKE.
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- feederband
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Re: Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:feederband wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Also please EVER REMEMBER THIS SO THAT WE DO NOT HAVE 200 POST ABOUT THE WOBBLES... SO LISTEN VERY CLOSELY!! IF A ERC IS STARTING THE EYE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO ROTATE AROUND THE INNER EDGE OF THE LARGER NEW EYE, WHICH WOULD GIVE THE APPEARANCE OF CHANGES IN DIRECTION. MY BEST ADVISE THAT IS PRETTY SIMPLE IS IF YOUR LOOKING AT A LOOP PUT YOUR FINGER OVER THE CENTER AND LOOK AT THE OVERALL MOTION OF THE ENTIRE SYSTEM.
THANK YOU
There must be a trick to it because I get the same thing..
i did not say it was not moving a little north of west over the last hour but just keep that in mind over the next 12 hours or until landfall ..
But I would have to say that this is more than a "APPERARANCE"..
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 4 - Discussion
Tom8 wrote:attallaman wrote:Maybe Ike will do what?Tom8 wrote:Maybe Ike will bonce and will cheange the course
see ? I predicted this turn at 4:02 am
you mean you guessed.. what meteorological reasoning did you use?
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:Loop: http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html
It may be a wobble but this is not west.
Definitely not west.
Looks to have slowed WAY down also.
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:Loop: http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html
It's easier to see in a loop.
Hurrakan,
That link clearly shoes what appears to be more than a wobble.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 4 - Discussion
I meant to add that I have some friends in Mexico, and are being told by their NWS to keep an eye out on Ike, and that the models may continue to shift south to give them an eventual landfall....... This is quite a storm, started as a possible recurve, then to Florida, then to LA, and now possibly as far west as South Texas, and maybe eventually Mexico....I think the models are starting to latch onto that strong ridge north of Ike, keeping it on a west direction until landfall....
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- HouTXmetro
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