ATL: IKE Discussion

[gginnola]

Houston, we have a problem !

Maybe...that's a five day NHC forecast. We all have lots of watching to do this week. I can report that Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana officially declared a State of Emergency this afternoon around 4:00 due to Ike.

yes and that man should be watching his p's and q's this time..remember his words with Gustav?...''people get scared'' and ''storm of the century''..he's a mayor of a big American city and should have responsibility not to scare the c**p out of everybody there..leave that to the media hype..and yes it was witnessed over here in England..sorry for the rant, just couldn't understand anyone with responsibilities like he has.

Actually, you're talking about Ray Nagin who is the mayor of New Orleans. Bobby Jindal is the governor of Louisiana. Jindal has done an excellent job with Gustav.

[apocalypt-flyer]

If this rides along the shallow waters of Cuba's Western coast this might not necessarily restrengthen too much but it also won't weaken quite as much, which, in my book, is bad.

[TampaFl]

This is one impressive ridge of high pressure!

[HURAKAN]

Florida, Camagüey, Cuba

[bob rulz]

If this ride along the sshallow waters of Cuba's Western coast this might not necessarily restrengthen too much but it also won't weaken quite as much, which, in my book, is bad.

That's very bad considering it's still a cat 2 and won't have much more time to weaken assuming he does make it into the Caribbean.

[Air Force Met]

yes and that man should be watching his p's and q's this time..remember his words with Gustav?...''people get scared'' and ''storm of the century''..he's a mayor of a big American city and should have responsibility not to scare the c**p out of everybody there..leave that to the media hype..and yes it was witnessed over here in England..sorry for the rant, just couldn't understand anyone with responsibilities like he has.

Always helpful if you know which political hack said what...before you slam them.

[cape_escape]

I posted this question in the Models thread, and tought I'd try my luck here with it as well, not sure which thread would be the right one to post such a question.....sorry

I'm just curiouse, please don't scorn me for asking this, but with Ike going more South through Cuba and poss into the Carib, and there being a NE hook at the end of some of the runs, is it possible he could come into the central Gulf and hook a right into SWFla or perhaps the Tampa area....such as Charley did?

I know I'm prob WAY off in my thinking because so many things go into forecasting something like that, but I guess I have a fear after Charley.

Thank you in advance for any replies!

[SouthFLTropics]

This is one impressive ridge of high pressure!

Yes it is...Almost reminds one of the same type of high that was in place last year that drove Dean into Mexico. The question is how long does it stay in place. Now that we are getting into September, I can't imagine that it will last very long due to stronger fronts diving down from the Northwest.

SFT

[KWT]

Still just about holding onto cat-2 status and heading it seems right for the coast, should get a little time in the NW Caribbean which may hlep to stablise its inner core before probably another stint over Cuba eventually. Still every little bit further west it goes the more time it'll get so we shall see...

[HURAKAN]

My worry is that it will go back to the Caribbean Sea, re-intensify to a powerful hurricane, and then hit the same area affected by Gustav. That would be extremely catastrophic.

[apocalypt-flyer]

To cape_escape:

Can definately see your concern but we really will have to wait and see when Ike's anticipated motion towards the WNW begins and until Ike enters the Gulf it will be hard to say where exactly he'll end up along the Gulf Coast.

But I have quite a bit of faith in the NHC since they did very well with the last Gulf Coast system Gustav and I hope they'll done just as well this time around.

[KWT]

The good news is that even if it does get into the Caribbean its still going to be very close to land and so I don't expect there'd be any strengthening, prehaps just some stabilisation of the inner core to some degree, which of course isn't a good thing either becuase that may mean slightly less weakening over the gulf.

[cycloneye]

8:15 AM EDT:

[VeniceInlet]

I posted this question in the Models thread, and tought I'd try my luck here with it as well, not sure which thread would be the right one to post such a question.....sorry

I'm just curiouse, please don't scorn me for asking this, but with Ike going more South through Cuba and poss into the Carib, and there being a NE hook at the end of some of the runs, is it possible he could come into the central Gulf and hook a right into SWFla or perhaps the Tampa area....such as Charley did?

I know I'm prob WAY off in my thinking because so many things go into forecasting something like that, but I guess I have a fear after Charley.

Thank you in advance for any replies!

Don't forget, with Charley, Port Charlotte was in the cone. Right now the W. Coast of FL is not in the 3 or 5 day cone. That doesn't mean that later on in the week things might change but for the short term I would not worry.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[HouTXmetro]

Wasn't this suppose to be moving NW/WNW a long time ago? I'm still waiting on the definate turn but I just don't see. That in addition to the latest steering flow leads me to beleive it will go a little further West.

[apocalypt-flyer]

My worry is that it will go back to the Caribbean Sea, re-intensify to a powerful hurricane, and then hit the same area affected by Gustav. That would be extremely catastrophic.

The horror scenario would be Ike making it as far west as south of the Isle Of Youth. But I really hope that will not be the case.

[HouTXmetro]

The good news is that even if it does get into the Caribbean its still going to be very close to land and so I don't expect there'd be any strengthening, prehaps just some stabilisation of the inner core to some degree, which of course isn't a good thing either becuase that may mean slightly less weakening over the gulf.

True, but those waters are a bath tub. It depends on how far offshore Ike can get.

[hial2]

How strong is the high? could Ike go as far as Nicaragua/Mexico?

[TampaFl]

How strong is the high? could Ike go as far as Nicaragua/Mexico?

Very Strong!

[hial2]

How strong is the high? could Ike go as far as Nicaragua/Mexico?

Very Strong!

That would be a HISTORIC track!