ATL: IKE Discussion

[cycloneye]

Last set had 115kt Flight Level winds.

[giantshark18]

looks like the famous "fist"----could be about to get stronger

I have seen the "Fist" reference a couple of times. What does it mean?

[bayoubebe]

OMG! Look at all those black tops:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-avn.html

What do the black tops mean? Sorry, I'm very amateur.
Ike looks like a bad a-- for being a Category 1/2. He seems worse than some that have been above that (3).

[cycloneye]

Well the next set even more higher 123 kts at Flight Level.

[CrazyC83]

123 kt FL winds by the NOAA plane - supports 105 kt at the surface, although the SFMR is much lower (86 kt).

[AMeyerRN]

Question for Louisiana. Are we expected to get any of the bad cells that are RIGHT below us in the gulf? I've been searching for that answer online and t.v.; can't find anything right now.

Those bands look so close to us, but it appears they are moving west. Will they move north?

I'm wondering the same thing.

[HURAKAN]

[DESTRUCTION5]

123 kt FL winds by the NOAA plane - supports 105 kt at the surface, although the SFMR is much lower (86 kt).

Shall i be the 1st to say CAT3 at 2?

[CrazyC83]

Looks to be almost closed.

[JtSmarts]

Well the next set even more higher 123 kts at Flight Level.

We are close to Cat 3. Not sure about the reduction but 80% is 98.4 kts

[dixiebreeze]

OMG! Look at all those black tops:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-avn.html

What do the black tops mean? Sorry, I'm very amateur.
Ike looks like a bad a-- for being a Category 1/2. He seems worse than some that have been above that (3).

Intensity!

[CrazyC83]

123 kt FL winds by the NOAA plane - supports 105 kt at the surface, although the SFMR is much lower (86 kt).

Shall i be the 1st to say CAT3 at 2?

I wouldn't go there since the data is not supported by dropsondes or SFMR, although with the surface estimate earlier, I would say 95 kt.

[KWT]

123kts at flight level is going to get this major status, seemns like the explosive convection has finally tiped Ike over the edge.

[cpdaman]

looks like the famous "fist"----could be about to get stronger

I have seen the "Fist" reference a couple of times. What does it mean?

can this be confirmed by anyone who understand the "fist" phenomena, i have heard it talked about and then seen it verified but does the recent convection = "the fist" or No?

[jinftl]

from nhc:

THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL...BUT BASICALLY THIS IS IRRELEVANT SINCE WE ARE ONLY
TALKING ABOUT A 10-KNOT INCREASE.

123 kt FL winds by the NOAA plane - supports 105 kt at the surface, although the SFMR is much lower (86 kt).

Shall i be the 1st to say CAT3 at 2?

[CowboyFan]

looks like the famous "fist"----could be about to get stronger

I have seen the "Fist" reference a couple of times. What does it mean?

It's the shape of the cloud mass around the center, in the past it sometimes was the start of a strenghtening phase

[pablolopez26]

I live here on the NW side of Houston off of 1960 and Jones, good luck to all of us Houstonians!

[dixiebreeze]

Question for Louisiana. Are we expected to get any of the bad cells that are RIGHT below us in the gulf? I've been searching for that answer online and t.v.; can't find anything right now.

Those bands look so close to us, but it appears they are moving west. Will they move north?

I'm wondering the same thing.

Regardless, Louisiana will be inundated.

[Cryomaniac]

123kts at flight level is going to get this major status, seemns like the explosive convection has finally tiped Ike over the edge.

I think so too. This has still got time to intensify quite a lot.

[cycloneye]

What is the reduction Crazy from 123 kts?