kurtpage wrote:fasterdisaster wrote:bighaben wrote:what about reverse surge, once the storm passes, the water would be coming out of the bay onto the unprotected backside of GI, I've heard it happened in a past hurricane, what are the chances of that happening? If that happens the seawall is useless.
I think Steve Lyons was talking about this happening? Does someone know exactly what he was talking about?
From what I understand...Galveston Bay will flood into the backside of Galveston when the winds change direction...
It's the other way around. Winds have been from the N & NE, almost parallel to the coast but bringing-in surge from the backside. Assuming this west wobble holds, after the eye passes, winds will switch from the south (onshore flow), and that's when the major surge will occur.
But if Ike takes another wobble east, that may not happen. It's very, very close.