Perturbed Area over Lesser Antilles (Is Invest 93L)

[jinftl]

Change in the NHC tone in just 6 hours...

at 8pm today....SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

at 2pm today...SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT
APPEAR LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD

[CrazyC83]

Change in the NHC tone in just 6 hours...

at 8pm today....SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

at 2pm today...SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT
APPEAR LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD

Such a change of wording usually means it is going to be declared an invest. (93L in this case)

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 182352
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.
Interresting discussion from the TWD
...TROPICAL WAVES...


A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 62W S OF 20N
MOVING SLOWLY WWD. THIS WAVE WAS ADDED TO THE 1200 UTC ANALYSIS
BASED ON A LONG-TERM SATELLITE LOOP. THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER
TROUGH TO THE W OF THE WAVE AND AN UPPER RIDGE TO THE E IS
GREATLY ENHANCING THE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS
SLIGHTLY DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. NEVERTHELESS...
THE WAVE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...BUT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS COULD CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD
ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TROPICAL WAVE IS FORECAST BY THE COMPUTER MODELS TO SPREAD OVER
THE UK/US VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO LATE FRI INTO SAT
INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS OVER THOSE
ISLANDS.

[cycloneye]

Thread is locked as its now invest 93L.Go to Active Storms Forum for all the information about the invest.