Florida Weather

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Flood warnings all over north florida and now the Gainesville area---
I better get flooding rains or I am gonna be really ticked off

[Rainband]

you won't all the energy is passing way north of us

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Well the line is looking better on Klystron 9 http://www.baynews9.com
click weather
Today's weather has been like a "dry" tropical storm---> At least
the wind reminds you of the juicy atmospheric potential... Really strong
low level jet...could crank it up later tonight...Still windy right now...
about 20-25 mph as opposed to the 45-50 mph of earlier (first time since
TS Alberto of 2006 that I have seen prolonged durations of tropical
storm force gusts at Clearwater beach and St.Pete/Clearwater Airport...
If an impulse can really infuriate the gulf showers...that would be something...

[jinftl]

Main energy moving off to northeast...rain still expected overnight in Tampa...but the activity seen further north (along with rain totals) is not forecast.




AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
806 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2009

.UPDATE...THE PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE IS NOW MOVING INTO DIXIE
COUNTY AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF LEVY COUNTY. BOTH WATER VAPOR AND
IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE MAIN UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE IS EJECTING NORTHEASTWARD INTO NORTH
FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA. IN RESPONSE CONVECTION OVER THE GULF
IS CURRENTLY IS WINDING DOWN A BIT. THE MAIN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
PUSHING THE LINE AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT EASTWARD IS MIGRATING
QUICKLY EASTWARD OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. MID AND UPPER-LEVEL
MOISTURE CONTINUE TO STREAM TOWARD WESTERN FLORIDA OVERNIGHT AND A
REGENERATION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY. THE FORECAST
CONTINUES TO CALL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT AND INTO
EARLY SUNDAY. SEE NO REASON TO ADJUST THIS LINE OF THINKING.

WITH THE MAIN ENERGY MOVING WELL NORTH OF THE AREA EXPECT THE MAIN
THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WILL BE
GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH...WITH MOST STORMS PRODUCING
LESS. DO NOT PLAN ON UPDATING THE FORECAST EXCEPT TO REMOVE
HEADLINES.

&&

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

http://www.baynews9.com/Klystron9.html
This gives me hope- some big thunderstorm cells
forming about 100 miles west of Tampa Bay...some of these
look strong...

[psyclone]

Flood warnings all over north florida and now the Gainesville area---
I better get flooding rains or I am gonna be really ticked off

Get ticked off now and get it over with. We'll be lucky to get a half inch. I've been suspicious of rain potential with this system all day. these set ups often underperform. I expect a quick overnight downpour with a few rumbles of thunder followed by some light showers....and a return to red flag warnings by monday as dry air advects in.

[jinftl]

Your rainfall estimate is in line with NWS expectations...no flooding in the forecast, just some very welcome rain in the next 12 hours or so...then dry weather again

NWS Forecast for: Saint Petersburg FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL
Last Update: 2:48 pm EDT Mar 28, 2009
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overnight: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Low around 70. South southwest wind between 13 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

Sunday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon, then a slight chance of showers. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 75. West wind between 15 and 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Flood warnings all over north florida and now the Gainesville area---
I better get flooding rains or I am gonna be really ticked off

Get ticked off now and get it over with. We'll be lucky to get a half inch. I've been suspicious of rain potential with this system all day. these set ups often underperform. I expect a quick overnight downpour with a few rumbles of thunder followed by some light showers....and a return to red flag warnings by monday as dry air advects in.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

I'm over it- I never expected anything like what is in North Florida-
the major energy is ejecting out of North Florida- at most we
will get a thin band...though the water temperatures are in the
70s and may, if we are lucky, support heavier rain- I don't anticipate
more than half an inch though
The winds today really did surprise me- I expected 30-40 at most
but with the prolonged period at 40-50 mph in coastal gusts- that was interesting

[jinftl]

Feels like summer down here tonight...dewpoints rising into the low-70's,,,approaching mid-70's in Keys...steamy!!!

(update: latest dewpt at Miami (MIA) up to 73)

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Still getting brief bursts of very strong wind gusts

[jinftl]

Rain and wind winding down for now....activity in gulf should finally give I-4 corridor a shot at some rain later on tonight...latest conditions (sky, temp, wind)

FLORIDA REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
1200 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

PENSACOLA CLEAR 61 W13
PANAMA CITY PTCLDY 65 W14
TALLAHASSEE PTCLDY 67 SW8
GAINESVILLE CLOUDY 66 SE5
JACKSONVILLE CLOUDY 68 S8
ORLANDO INTL MOCLDY 76 S13
DAYTONA BEACH PTCLDY 78 S10G22
MELBOURNE LGT RAIN 79 S12
CLEARWATER PTCLDY 76 S21G28
TAMPA MOCLDY 76 S14G21
ST PETERSBURG CLEAR 75 S15G24
FT MYERS MOCLDY 79 S9G17
KEY WEST INTL MOCLDY 77 S8
W PALM BEACH PTCLDY 75 S9
FT LAUDERDALE PTCLDY 77 S9
MIAMI PTCLDY 77 S7

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Severe storms rapidly firing 80 miles west of Tampa Bay:
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... BW&loop=no
One cell due west of the Bay looks like a super-cell...base velocity
showing an area of 70 mph winds with the cell...could be a
wild night.

[psyclone]

the line is definitely looking healthier. let's hope it continues. I can't remember the last time we've heard thunder around here but I think its been months.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Special Marine Warnings for all waters Pinellas North-
Winds right now are gusting frequently over 40 mph, with
very loud noise on the windows...
Several Weather Stations (see NOAA bouy link on previous page)
are recording sustained winds of 30 mph with gusts to 35 mph

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Good area of rain

[HURAKAN]

[jinftl]

Solid 1/4 to 1/2" across Tampa Bay area has fallen...not too much rain left as it is pushing south

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=tbw&product=NTP&loop=no

Back to dry....

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
455 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY ACROSS ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

.MUCH DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT OVER THE REGION MONDAY WITH AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR
MORE HOURS IN MANY AREAS. FOR THIS REASON A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED ACROSS THE REGION.

[HURAKAN]

48-Hour Rain Totals as of 2 a.m. EDT Sun. (in.):

Milton, Fla. 9.23

Crestview, Fla. 8.04

[jinftl]

Wow! By comparison, Miami (MIA) has seen 3.29" of rain since 11/1/08....or the last 148 days!

48-Hour Rain Totals as of 2 a.m. EDT Sun. (in.):

Milton, Fla. 9.23

Crestview, Fla. 8.04

[gatorcane]

A thick batch of showers and thunderstorms is just west of the South Florida CWA.

If this band fizzles it would be a huge disappointment. I think with the heating of the day and the strong SW winds its going to hold together and we may even see very strong storms with thunder and lightning: