Maybe when it hits the loop current...

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frederic79 wrote:The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
This is going to sound extreme but it does a good job illustrating a point of how quickly things can change in the tropics. Remember the wave that eventually became Katrina? Regarding TD 10, the low-level circulation gradually weakened while continuing westward, and it eventually dissipated on 21 August in the vicinity of Cuba. Meanwhile, a middle tropospheric circulation originating from Tropical Depression Ten lagged behind and passed north of the Leeward Islands on 18-19 August. A tropical wave, which departed the west coast of Africa on 11 August, moved through the Leeward Islands and merged with the middle tropospheric remnants of Tropical Depression Ten on 19 August and produced a large area of showers and thunderstorms north of Puerto Rico. This activity continued to move slowly northwestward, passing north of Hispaniola and then consolidating just east of the Turks and Caicos during the afternoon of 22 August. Dvorak satellite classifications from the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB) of the Tropical Prediction Center (TPC) began at 1800 UTC that day.* *NHC Archives
You know the rest. I want to point out that I remember tracking the remnants of TD10 and thinking how odd it would be for redevelopment to occur from a barely detectible low. It happened when a number of conditions coincided. That said, while I don't expect development from the remnants of Ana I do agree they must be monitored at this point.
jasons wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Most Globals are developing this now..And most have it in the same general location as Bill is now...
I think this is in the wrong thread?
southerngale wrote:jasons wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Most Globals are developing this now..And most have it in the same general location as Bill is now...
I think this is in the wrong thread?
Yeah, probably so. In the Bill models thread, I just saw where the CMC has another system in the same general location as Bill is now, a week from now. I guess other models do as well.
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