ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)

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#1621 Postby artist » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:17 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271513
AF307 0505A DANNY HDOB 14 20090827
150400 2539N 06924W 3598 08421 0497 -200 -291 212018 018 999 999 03
150430 2542N 06926W 3598 08420 0498 -200 -288 209019 020 999 999 03
150500 2544N 06927W 3598 08419 0496 -202 -285 205022 022 999 999 03
150530 2547N 06929W 3598 08423 0497 -204 -284 211023 024 999 999 03
150600 2549N 06930W 3598 08422 0496 -200 -284 214024 025 999 999 03
150630 2551N 06932W 3598 08425 0497 -200 -282 214022 024 999 999 03
150700 2554N 06934W 3598 08419 0497 -200 -281 204019 020 999 999 03
150730 2556N 06935W 3597 08424 0496 -195 -281 203015 016 999 999 03
150800 2558N 06937W 3598 08418 0498 -195 -281 186011 013 999 999 03
150830 2601N 06938W 3598 08420 0498 -193 -280 175009 010 999 999 03
150900 2603N 06940W 3598 08423 0497 -192 -280 173009 010 999 999 03
150930 2606N 06942W 3598 08422 0498 -194 -280 170010 011 999 999 03
151000 2608N 06943W 3598 08432 0498 -196 -278 160012 012 999 999 03
151030 2610N 06945W 3598 08428 0498 -204 -277 156011 012 999 999 03
151100 2613N 06946W 3598 08421 0497 -204 -276 153010 011 999 999 03
151130 2615N 06948W 3598 08422 0497 -205 -276 152010 011 999 999 03
151200 2617N 06950W 3597 08424 0498 -205 -276 153012 012 999 999 03
151230 2620N 06951W 3599 08431 0499 -203 -276 155010 012 999 999 03
151300 2622N 06953W 3597 08422 0498 -205 -276 140009 010 999 999 03
151330 2625N 06954W 3598 08425 0496 -205 -274 131012 013 999 999 03
$$
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#1622 Postby feederband » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:18 am

Did they just adjust the plots?
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#1623 Postby artist » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:19 am

At 15:04:00Z (first observation), the observation was 498 miles (801 km) to the E (85°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
At 15:13:30Z (last observation), the observation was 473 miles (761 km) to the E (79°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1624 Postby M_0331 » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:21 am

yes, they move them per my eyes
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Re:

#1625 Postby GaryOBX » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:21 am

feederband wrote:Did they just adjust the plots?

They put up the 11:00 advisory forecast plots, if you're referring to this:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1626 Postby feederband » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:22 am

M_0331 wrote:yes, they move them per my eyes


:lol: :eek:
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Re: Re:

#1627 Postby feederband » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:22 am

GaryOBX wrote:
feederband wrote:Did they just adjust the plots?

They put up the 11:00 advisory forecast plots, if you're referring to this:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html



Ok that would make sense then..
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Re:

#1628 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:24 am

Aric Dunn wrote:im not one too say anything negative about the nhc and dont think i have really before .. but the forecast track is really bad.. .. its baffling


I think there doing that out of consistency and in case the center reforms again to the north and east. Although, I don't think it really will this time. This center is too-well defined now to give it up anytime soon, IMO.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1629 Postby feederband » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:24 am

Stll doesn't look like he wants to follow that track..
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Re:

#1630 Postby storms NC » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:24 am

feederband wrote:Did they just adjust the plots?


LOL Yes they did and it is still going west and they have the next point north. Yeah right.

Remember how hard of a time they had with Ernesto in 2006.
Last edited by storms NC on Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1631 Postby AdamFirst » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:27 am

I don't know what to make of this. I bet the NHC is filled with a bunch of frustrated people right now.

This kind of reminds me of Hurricane Jeanne in a way.
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#1632 Postby artist » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:27 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 271524
AF307 0505A DANNY HDOB 15 20090827
151400 2627N 06956W 3598 08425 0497 -204 -273 128012 012 999 999 03
151430 2630N 06958W 3599 08417 0495 -204 -272 128013 013 999 999 03
151500 2632N 06959W 3597 08424 0497 -205 -272 132010 011 999 999 03
151530 2634N 07001W 3598 08419 0496 -205 -271 132012 013 999 999 03
151600 2637N 07002W 3598 08418 0497 -205 -273 144011 013 999 999 03
151630 2639N 07004W 3598 08419 0497 -202 -275 140009 011 032 007 03
151700 2641N 07006W 3597 08423 0497 -202 -273 168008 010 036 010 00
151730 2644N 07007W 3598 08422 0496 -200 -272 182006 007 036 013 00
151800 2646N 07009W 3598 08423 0497 -199 -270 201005 007 035 007 00
151830 2648N 07010W 3597 08426 0499 -200 -267 275004 006 030 005 00
151900 2651N 07012W 3597 08422 0498 -200 -264 293005 005 030 003 03
151930 2653N 07014W 3598 08420 0496 -200 -261 268005 005 029 003 00
152000 2655N 07016W 3597 08424 0496 -200 -259 289012 014 028 004 00
152030 2657N 07018W 3598 08385 0461 -200 -257 283017 019 031 006 00
152100 2658N 07020W 3598 08416 0488 -200 -256 277018 018 034 008 00
152130 2700N 07022W 3598 08422 0493 -195 -255 258019 021 034 009 00
152200 2702N 07024W 3596 08420 0495 -195 -253 255026 027 033 009 00
152230 2704N 07025W 3598 08415 0494 -195 -250 253020 022 033 011 00
152300 2706N 07027W 3598 08416 0494 -195 -248 256017 019 033 009 00
152330 2708N 07029W 3597 08414 0494 -195 -247 255015 017 034 010 00
$$
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#1633 Postby artist » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:28 am

At 15:14:00Z (first observation), the observation was 471 miles (758 km) between the ENE and E (78°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
At 15:23:30Z (last observation), the observation was 449 miles (723 km) to the ENE (71°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1634 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:28 am

There it goes, relocating east.

Image

Loop:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... is_floater
Last edited by tolakram on Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#1635 Postby artist » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:29 am

AdamFirst wrote:I don't know what to make of this. I bet the NHC is filled with a bunch of frustrated people right now.

This kind of reminds me of Hurricane Jeanne in a way.

I remembewr her tooo well.
:x

:cheesy:
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1636 Postby storms NC » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:30 am

tolakram wrote:There it goes, relocating east.

Image

Loop:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... is_floater


Sorry I don't see it.
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1637 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:30 am

storms NC wrote:
tolakram wrote:There it goes, relocating east.

Image

Loop:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... is_floater


Sorry I don't see it.

yeah dont see any relocation..
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#1638 Postby tgenius » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:33 am

I see it.. Heck I'd almost say its going SE!
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Re: ATL: TROPICAL STORM DANNY

#1639 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:33 am

Look how the center is becoming elongated east to west and the western inflow is disrupted.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

In my AMATEUR opinion this is because a new center is forming east of the old one and this will either merge/shift over or reform.
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Re:

#1640 Postby feederband » Thu Aug 27, 2009 10:34 am

tgenius wrote:I see it.. Heck I'd almost say its going SE!



Maybe sw... That whole screen is moving w not just the storm..
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