ATL: TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY (05L)

[HURAKAN]

025
URNT15 KNHC 281720
AF302 0805A DANNY HDOB 10 20090828
171030 3051N 07635W 9594 00442 0092 +230 +207 048015 016 025 003 00
171100 3050N 07634W 9597 00447 0091 +230 +208 051016 017 026 002 00
171130 3049N 07632W 9597 00440 0090 +232 +208 055016 016 023 004 00
171200 3047N 07631W 9593 00443 0089 +231 +208 051015 016 022 004 00
171230 3046N 07630W 9594 00440 0091 +234 +209 050015 015 020 004 00
171300 3045N 07629W 9594 00440 0088 +232 +210 041015 015 019 004 00
171330 3044N 07627W 9597 00445 0094 +232 +210 034013 014 022 004 00
171400 3043N 07626W 9594 00440 0090 +231 +211 034013 013 019 005 00
171430 3042N 07625W 9596 00446 0090 +232 +211 044013 014 021 005 00
171500 3041N 07623W 9594 00440 0094 +229 +209 053010 011 021 006 00
171530 3040N 07622W 9590 00442 0088 +235 +207 072011 011 017 004 00
171600 3039N 07621W 9593 00446 0092 +233 +206 067011 011 018 003 00
171630 3038N 07620W 9596 00445 0094 +235 +207 064013 014 013 005 00
171700 3036N 07618W 9595 00445 0093 +232 +208 063013 014 019 003 00
171730 3035N 07617W 9596 00443 0092 +233 +210 059013 013 018 003 00
171800 3034N 07616W 9596 00444 0092 +235 +211 063011 012 017 003 00
171830 3033N 07614W 9593 00446 0091 +235 +212 063012 012 015 004 00
171900 3032N 07613W 9595 00443 0091 +237 +213 063012 013 014 004 00
171930 3031N 07612W 9593 00444 0090 +240 +213 066012 012 016 004 00
172000 3030N 07611W 9594 00443 0088 +240 +214 065012 012 012 004 00
$$
;

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Im ready to write this off and move on to 94L. I just dont see much right now. Its one of the most pathetic looking systems i have ever seen.

[wxman57]

Plane has moved within 45 miles NW of the center - still no wind above 18 kts.

No! Wait! It's in the eye now. Winds dropped from 13 kts to 7 kts.

[HURAKAN]

[tolakram]

Moving ever so slowly west, or stationary.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

Nowhere to go now, IMO.

edit:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... is_floater

Closeup shows it is drifting NW a bit.

[artist]

my question to you pro's - what happens if this just continues like he has and doesn't make a real move, what are the chances of conditions changing in a few days to being more conducive? Is there a chance he could rev up at that time?

(and no, I am not looking for this to come to Florida)

[HURAKAN]

415
URNT15 KNHC 281730
AF302 0805A DANNY HDOB 11 20090828
172030 3029N 07609W 9594 00442 0088 +240 +215 062012 012 016 004 00
172100 3028N 07608W 9596 00440 0088 +240 +216 057013 013 017 003 00
172130 3027N 07607W 9592 00443 0088 +240 +216 059013 013 018 003 00
172200 3026N 07606W 9593 00442 0087 +239 +217 057015 015 017 004 00
172230 3025N 07604W 9597 00437 0087 +236 +217 056015 015 016 005 00
172300 3023N 07603W 9590 00442 0084 +236 +217 050015 018 019 004 00
172330 3022N 07602W 9606 00429 0087 +226 +217 062015 016 020 005 00
172400 3021N 07601W 9589 00443 0084 +235 +214 058016 016 017 004 00
172430 3020N 07559W 9592 00440 0084 +235 +213 060014 015 018 004 00
172500 3019N 07558W 9592 00439 0083 +235 +213 061011 012 018 003 03
172530 3018N 07557W 9593 00437 0082 +236 +213 064011 012 016 004 00
172600 3016N 07556W 9599 00431 0081 +240 +214 066013 013 015 005 03
172630 3015N 07556W 9593 00436 0080 +240 +215 063012 013 016 004 00
172700 3013N 07555W 9594 00433 0079 +238 +216 060010 011 014 005 03
172730 3012N 07554W 9596 00432 0079 +240 +216 043009 009 012 005 03
172800 3011N 07553W 9596 00432 0078 +239 +216 039008 009 016 003 03
172830 3010N 07551W 9593 00432 0076 +240 +217 038009 009 012 004 00
172900 3009N 07550W 9593 00434 0076 +244 +218 024008 009 009 005 03
172930 3008N 07548W 9596 00430 0075 +242 +219 048007 007 011 004 00
173000 3008N 07547W 9593 00430 0074 +238 +220 041007 008 011 004 03

[Dave]

000
URNT15 KNHC 281740
AF302 0805A DANNY HDOB 12 20090828
173030 3007N 07545W 9597 00426 0073 +240 +220 023006 006 009 005 00
173100 3006N 07544W 9592 00430 0071 +245 +221 022003 004 012 004 00
173130 3005N 07542W 9593 00428 0071 +243 +221 359001 002 015 003 00
173200 3004N 07541W 9597 00424 0071 +242 +222 261003 004 012 004 00
173230 3003N 07539W 9593 00428 0071 +240 +222 261005 005 013 004 00
173300 3002N 07538W 9597 00426 0071 +245 +223 248006 006 011 004 00
173330 3001N 07536W 9597 00425 0070 +245 +223 249008 010 010 004 03
173400 3000N 07535W 9595 00427 0071 +241 +223 249012 013 015 003 00
173430 2959N 07534W 9593 00428 0072 +240 +224 245014 014 012 004 00
173500 2957N 07533W 9594 00429 0073 +240 +223 241014 015 017 003 00
173530 2956N 07531W 9592 00432 0074 +240 +223 244016 017 019 002 00
173600 2955N 07530W 9598 00428 0076 +239 +223 244017 018 019 003 00
173630 2954N 07529W 9596 00431 0077 +238 +223 241017 018 021 005 00
173700 2953N 07527W 9595 00432 0077 +240 +221 244018 018 021 003 00
173730 2952N 07526W 9590 00437 0079 +238 +220 243019 019 017 004 00
173800 2951N 07525W 9594 00434 0079 +240 +220 242022 022 020 003 00
173830 2949N 07523W 9593 00436 0080 +241 +220 242020 021 019 004 00
173900 2948N 07522W 9594 00436 0082 +239 +221 239020 021 021 003 00
173930 2947N 07521W 9593 00437 0083 +234 +220 237020 020 022 005 00
174000 2946N 07520W 9593 00439 0083 +240 +219 237020 020 020 003 00
$$
;

[wxman57]

my question to you pro's - what happens if this just continues like he has and doesn't make a real move, what are the chances of conditions changing in a few days to being more conducive? Is there a chance he could rev up at that time?

(and no, I am not looking for this to come to Florida)

There's a major, deep trof approaching from the west very soon. If it stays where it is, it'll be blasted apart and absorbed by the trof/low/front.

[HURAKAN]

[lester]

WTNT35 KNHC 281739
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2009

...DANNY NEARLY STATIONARY...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE STORM...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570
KM...SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 830 MILES
...1340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.

DANNY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...
A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DANNY IS EXPECTED TO
PASS NEAR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA OVERNIGHT OR EARLY
SATURDAY...APPROACH THE COAST OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND
SATURDAY...AND MOVE NEAR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES EARLY SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN INTENSITY FORECAST AFTER THAT TIME.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURE BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS FROM DANNY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF
CONDITIONS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST
COAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. PLEASE CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE FOR MORE
DETAILS.

...SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...30.1N 75.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

[HURAKAN]

[Dean4Storms]

my question to you pro's - what happens if this just continues like he has and doesn't make a real move, what are the chances of conditions changing in a few days to being more conducive? Is there a chance he could rev up at that time?

(and no, I am not looking for this to come to Florida)

There's a major, deep trof approaching from the west very soon. If it stays where it is, it'll be blasted apart and absorbed by the trof/low/front.

Exactly, no way this survives the trough coming through by Monday or just sits there.

[Dave]

URNT15 KNHC 281751
AF302 0805A DANNY HDOB 13 20090828
174030 2945N 07518W 9592 00441 0084 +240 +218 238019 019 021 001 00
174100 2944N 07517W 9596 00438 0085 +239 +218 238019 020 020 002 00
174130 2943N 07516W 9593 00440 0085 +240 +219 239018 018 020 002 00
174200 2941N 07514W 9596 00439 0086 +239 +219 239018 019 020 002 00
174230 2940N 07513W 9594 00441 0086 +239 +220 240019 020 023 001 00
174300 2939N 07512W 9593 00443 0087 +235 +220 236020 021 021 003 00
174330 2938N 07511W 9592 00444 0088 +235 +221 237020 020 023 004 00
174400 2937N 07509W 9593 00443 0091 +225 +220 241021 021 032 012 00
174430 2936N 07508W 9591 00446 0094 +211 +211 243022 023 034 012 00
174500 2935N 07507W 9583 00447 0091 +217 +209 239020 021 031 012 00
174530 2933N 07505W 9597 00442 0092 +235 +203 236021 022 025 002 00
174600 2932N 07504W 9594 00445 0093 +235 +201 234022 022 022 003 00
174630 2931N 07503W 9592 00440 0089 +234 +202 230021 022 022 002 00
174700 2930N 07502W 9594 00446 0092 +235 +204 231021 022 020 003 00
174730 2929N 07500W 9594 00447 0094 +239 +207 230021 022 019 004 00
174800 2928N 07459W 9598 00444 0093 +239 +209 227021 022 020 003 00
174830 2927N 07458W 9593 00440 0090 +239 +212 229020 021 018 003 00
174900 2925N 07457W 9593 00441 0088 +240 +214 228019 019 016 004 00
174930 2924N 07455W 9593 00440 0088 +239 +217 226019 019 015 004 00
175000 2923N 07454W 9597 00445 0089 +236 +218 231018 020 018 004 00
$$
;

[Dave]

000
URNT12 KNHC 281750
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL052009
A. 28/17:31:40Z
B. 30 deg 04 min N
075 deg 42 min W
C. NA
D. 26 kt
E. 311 deg 63 nm
F. 047 deg 17 kt
G. 312 deg 26 nm
H. EXTRAP 1007 mb
I. 23 C / 457 m
J. 25 C / 455 m
K. 22 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 01
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0805A DANNY OB 05
MAX FL WIND 17 KT NW QUAD 17:23:00Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM BELOW 1500 FT
;

[artist]

thanks guys!

[Dave]

[deltadog03]

wxman....Bones warming up the pipes???

[HURAKAN]

Plane has moved within 45 miles NW of the center - still no wind above 18 kts.

No! Wait! It's in the eye now. Winds dropped from 13 kts to 7 kts.

It may be reaching hypercane status!!! j/k

[lester]

Plane has moved within 45 miles NW of the center - still no wind above 18 kts.

No! Wait! It's in the eye now. Winds dropped from 13 kts to 7 kts.

It may be reaching hypercane status!!! j/k

more like hypersnooze status