Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 061827 CCA
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...COR
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN SEP 06 2009

CORRECTION IN ORDER TO UPDATE THE TROPICAL WAVES...THE
CARIBBEAN SEA SECTION...AND THE ITCZ SECTION

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1745 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 39W/40W FROM 10N TO 15N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. A TROUGH REMAINS ALONG 33W/34W FROM 16N
TO 24N. A 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE IS ALONG THE TROUGH NEAR 19N.
A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS IS AROUND THE 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER
WITHIN 240 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
HIGH CLOUDS ARE BEING PUSHED BY UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
FROM 20N42W TO 26N29W BEYOND 30N20W...TOWARD A MIDDLE LEVEL TO
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS JUST TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CANARY ISLANDS NEAR 30N13W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 46W FROM 12N TO 19N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. A 1011 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS ALONG
THE WAVE NEAR 16N. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN A 60 NM
RADIUS OF 16N47W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO
20N BETWEEN 43W AND 52W.

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W/67W TO THE SOUTH OF
20N MOVING WESTWARD 15 KT. THIS WAVE WAS RE-POSITIONED IN ORDER
TO MAKE IT FIT A WIND SPEED SURGE ALONG 66W/67W AT SOME BUOYS.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT WE WERE A LITTLE BIT SLOW IN MOVING IT ALONG
DURING THE LAST FEW DAYS. NO DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION
ACCOMPANIES THIS WAVE.

...THE ITCZ...

12N16W 12N30W 13N37W 11N42W 9N50W 7N59W. POSSIBLE SHOWERS FROM
7N TO 14N BETWEEN 35W AND 60W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS
TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN AFRICA
AND 25W. STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 12N TO 15N
BETWEEN 18W AND 20W...ACCOMPANYING WHAT IS EXPECTED TO THE NEXT
TROPICAL WAVE. COMPUTER MODELS DEVELOP A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
CENTER DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ABOUT 300 NM MORE TO THE WEST.
THE HURRICANE SPECIALISTS ALREADY HAVE PROCLAIMED THAT THIS
AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. (is right now INVEST 96L go on this open thread viewtopic.php?f=59&t=106509&hilit=)

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ARE WITHIN 60 NM TO 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 30N87W 28N88W
26N90W 24N94W 21N97W. CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ARE WARMING AND
PRECIPITATION IS DISSIPATING TO THE SOUTH OF 21N BETWEEN 94W
AND 97W...INCLUDING ACROSS THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC.
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW HAS BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS TO 48 HOURS...AND OVERTAKING WHAT
WAS AN AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW FROM A TROUGH TO THE EAST OF 90W
ONLY 24 HOURS AGO. THE AREA OF MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONIC FLOW THAT 24 HOURS AGO COVERED THE GULF OF MEXICO TO
THE EAST OF 90W NOW COVERS PARTS OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA...THE
GULF OF MEXICO...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 18N TO 27N BETWEEN
THE BAHAMAS ISLANDS AND 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE WATERS AND REACHING
THE BAHAMAS WITHIN 30 NM TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 21N73W
23N77W 24N79W 26N78W 29N77W. A SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES FROM
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY...ALONG 31N79W TO NORTHERN FLORIDA...IN
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO FROM FLORIDA TO SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...CURVING ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST TO 25N96W IN
THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE
NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...INCLUDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO AND ON TOP OF THE BAHAMAS. BROAD UPPER LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERS PRETTY MUCH THE ENTIRE AREA THAT IS
AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER. THE UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY
FLOW FROM THE ANTICYCLONIC PART COMBINES WITH UPPER LEVEL
WESTERLY FLOW FROM A BIT OF THE LARGE-SCALE ATLANTIC OCEAN
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW THAT IS AROUND THE 30N68W ATLANTIC
OCEAN CYCLONIC CENTER. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE
SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA...NEAR MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC
FLOW OVER FROM NICARAGUA TO COSTA RICA.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
LARGE-SCALE UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA
AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 19N TO 34N AROUND A 30N68W CYCLONIC
CENTER. THIS CYCLONIC FLOW HAS BEEN COVERING A LARGE PART OF THE
ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE WEST OF 55W OR SO FOR THE LAST THREE OR
FOUR DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A 60 NM RADIUS OF 21N65W...FROM 25N TO
30N...AND FROM 28N TO 32N BETWEEN 66W AND 70W. A SURFACE TROUGH
IS ALONG 29N77W 26N78W 24N79W. A SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 26N68W
23N70W TO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER NEAR 19N72W
REPRESENTS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS
SURROUNDED BY DRY AIR/SUBSIDENCE EXTENDS FROM A CYCLONIC CENTER
NEAR 32N29W TO 26N41W TO 18N53W.

$$
MT

[Gustywind]

Orange code= is INVEST 96L my carib friends, go on this thread to have more infos viewtopic.php?f=59&t=106509&hilit=
Whereas as usual Cycloneye and Gustywind we will try as possible to keep you informed in our TENT. Comments are welcomed.

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 061356
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
956 AM AST SUN SEP 6 2009

MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE ISLANDS DURING THE
THE MORNING HOURS. DOPPLER WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN
WATERS...BUT OVERALL OR NO SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL WAS
DETECTED OVER LAND. WINDS WERE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TO CALM OVER
LAND.

CLOUDY CONDITIONS LEFT BY A TROPICAL WAVE WHICH DEPARTED THE AREA
ON SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THIS WILL WILL LEAVE VARIABLY TO PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES DURING THE DAY. ANOTHER WEAK TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
MAINLY SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA LATER TODAY AND WILL HAVE NO DIRECT
AFFECT ON THE LOCAL ISLANDS. STILL HOWEVER EXPECT DIURNAL EFFECTS
AND LOCAL TERRAIN INDUCED SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ISLANDS...
AS MODERATE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION AT
LEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GRADUAL DRYING
TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION
ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS DUE TO WINDS UP TO 18 KNOTS AND SEAS
UP TO 6 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

$$

[Gustywind]

96 L

Atlantic Ocean Basin:
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
06/1745 UTC 12.8N 18.8W T1.0/1.0 INVEST
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html

[Gustywind]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 061852
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
252 PM AST SUN SEP 6 2009

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LOW NEAR 29N 68W WILL MEANDER NORTH OF THE REGION
THROUGH TUE THEN MERGE WITH BROAD TROUGH OVER ERN NOAM. A MID-LVL
HIGH WILL ESTABLISH NORTH OF THE REGION MID WEEK WHILE AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL ESTABLISH ITSELF EAST OF 65W. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON WED BRINGING OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS.


&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRIER AIR FCST TO MOVE IN FOR
TOMORROW. THIS DRIER AIR IS ALREADY EVIDENT ON TPW IMAGERY JUST
EAST OF 60W. EXPECT ONLY ISOLD CONVECTION TOMORROW. A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND A WEAKER CAP ON TUE SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCT
AFTERNOON CONVECTION TO DEVELOP IN THE WEST. A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG
44W WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION EARLY WED AND BRING OUR NEXT BEST
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BUT NOTHING LIKE WE SAW SAT MORNING.

IMPRESSIVE WAVE THAT EXITED THE AFRICAN COAST THIS MORNING HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE OF DEVELOPING INTO A TC IN THE NEXT 48 HRS ACCORDING
TO THE LATEST TROPICAL WX OTLK FROM NHC BUT PRESENCE OF STRONG
CNTRL ATLC TROUGH WILL LIKELY RECURVE ANYTHING THAT DEVELOPS
BEFORE IT REACHES 40W.

LATEST RUNS OF THE EMPIRICAL WAVE MODEL...GFS...AND CLIMATE
FORECAST SYSTEM CONTINUE TO INDICATE STRONG POSITIVE 250 MB
VELOCITY ANOMALIES CORRESPONDING TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE ATLC BASIN FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. WITH SUCH
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT IN THE MODELS PREDICTING STRONG DOWNWARD
MOTION ACROSS THE ENTIRE ATLC...AM ANTICIPATING AN OVERALL
RELATIVELY QUIET TWO-WEEK PERIOD IN TERMS OF TC ACTIVITY AND WITH
LOW PROBABILITIES OF SEEING ANY SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION.
&&

.AVIATION...IFR CONDITIONS IN TSRA OVER TJBQ EXPECTED UNTIL 20Z. OTHERWISE
VFR NEXT 18 HOURS ALL SITES.

&&

.MARINE...GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS THROUGH TUE. TROPICAL WAVE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS EARLY WED BRINGING AN INCREASE IN TSTM
ACTIVITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 78 90 78 89 / 10 20 20 40
STT 76 90 76 89 / 30 30 20 40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

$$

93/64

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN SEP 6 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Monitoring 96L

SSD Dvorak.

06/2345 UTC 12.9N 19.9W T1.0/1.0 96L -- Atlantic

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html



00 UTC Best Track

AL, 96, 2009090700, , BEST, 0, 126N, 196W, 25, 1007, DB

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 009.invest

[Gustywind]

Good morning all my carib friends Hope you're defintely fine and in excellent shape too !
Scattered showers are crossing right now Guadeloupe. Further east a twave is approaching the Leewards islands. Whereas we continue to look an impressive twave (96L) mentionned by the latest TWD. It has high chances to be a TD in less than 48H given the red code.


000
ABNT20 KNHC 070538
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 7 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ABOUT 150
MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THIS
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR
SO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 20 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER THE
SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...
GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




000
AXNT20 KNHC 070559
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT MON SEP 07 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 18 KT WITH A
1008 MB LOW EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N. A DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE MAXIMUM IS NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CIMSS
WAVETRAK MODEL GUIDANCE EXHIBITS LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NW OF THE LOW
CENTER FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 20W-25W. AN E-W BAND OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION...MORE LIKELY ASSOCIATED
WITH THE ITCZ...IS FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 20W-27W.
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. MOST OF
THE ENERGY FROM THIS WAVE FRACTURED NWD AS A SURFACE TROUGH AND
SURFACE LOW NEARLY 24 HOURS AGO...AND ANY REMAINING SIGNATURE
HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED AND PARTIALLY ABSORBED INTO THE TROPICAL
WAVE ALONG 49W. SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ITCZ AXIS FROM 10N-17N BETWEEN 39W-43W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W S OF 21N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. A 1012
MB LOW IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N. CIMSS WAVETRAK MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF 850 MB VORTICITY N OF 15N
BETWEEN 45W-55W SURROUNDING THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS 16N-18N BETWEEN 47W-50W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W S OF 20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. MOVING
BENEATH DRY AIR AND MODERATE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT...A LOW-LEVEL
INVERTED-V CLOUD SIGNATURE IS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS.
NO DEEP CONVECTION ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE.

...ITCZ...

THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N16W 12N19W 9N22W 6N27W 11N40W
15N47W 15N50W 11N62W. BESIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVES ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC...ISOLATED LOW-LEVEL
SHOWERS ARE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 12N E OF 28W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
ACROSS THE ERN CONUS WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SRN MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. STRONG
WESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS IS PROVIDING A LACK OF
ANY SIGNIFICANT SURFACE FEATURES OTHER THAN A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE GULF. HOWEVER...A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS THE FAR SRN
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO NE OF KEY WEST NEAR 25N82W. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS ALSO PROVIDING UPPER DIFFLUENCE TO GENERATE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM APALACHICOLA BAY THROUGH 25N90W TO VERACRUZ MEXICO.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
A TROPICAL WAVE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 70W. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA AND JAMAICA AND IS
SUPPORTING A SURFACE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CAICOS ISLANDS
INTO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND SW HAITI NEAR 18N74W. THIS SURFACE
FEATURE ALONG WITH UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 17N
BETWEEN 69W-82W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND DEBRIS CLOUDINESS SPREAD
EWD OF 70W ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO.
THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER SRN
MEXICO NEAR 19N95W EXTENDS UPPER RIDGING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
AMERICA AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH 13N80W TO 13N65W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THUS
LIMITING ANY DEEP CONVECTION...HOWEVER A FEW POSSIBLE SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 13N W OF 79W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A SHORTWAVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTLINE AND SUPPORTS A 1014 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR
32N78W. AS OF 0300 UTC...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS SSW FROM THE
LOW ALONG 30N78W TO WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA AND OVER THE SRN
FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE COUPLED WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS N OF 25N BETWEEN 76W-81W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED
NEAR 29N68W AND EXTENDS TROUGHING ACROSS THE CAICOS ISLANDS AND
CUBA. THIS UPPER LEVEL FEATURE SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH THAT IS
ANALYZED FROM 25N69W TO 18N74W. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE
SURFACE TROUGH AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER TROUGH
AXIS ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN 200 NM OF
A LINE FROM 19N69W TO 31N62W. FARTHER TO THE E ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ATLC AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N55W AND AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N45W. NELY UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS LOCATED BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES AND IS
PRODUCING POSSIBLE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 26N55W TO 31N42W. IN ADDITION...MOIST SWLY UPPER
LEVEL FLOW LOCATED SE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 26N45W IS
SUPPORTING A FRACTURED PORTION OF ENERGY ANALYZED AS A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 17N36W THROUGH A 1012 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
20N35W TO 23N33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS EXTEND N OF THE SURFACE LOW
FROM 20N-27N BETWEEN 28W-38W.

$$
HUFFMAN

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 070910
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
510 AM AST MON SEP 7 2009

VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT. WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS...HOWEVER...NO SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED OVER LAND. WINDS
WERE MAINLY FROM THE EAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS.

THERE WILL BE A MIXTURE OF CLOUDINESS AND SOME SUNSHINE ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE LOCAL
ISLANDS FROM TIME TO TIME. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER
80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH OR LESS.

A TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE TO THE
LOCAL AREA THURSDAY...TO INCREASE CLOUDINESS AND SHOWER ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND COASTAL WATERS.

ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS...EXPECT WINDS UP TO 17 KNOTS
AND SEAS UP TO 5 FEET FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

$$

[Gustywind]

[img]000
FXCA62 TJSJ 070807
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
407 AM AST MON SEP 7 2009

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CUBA TO THE
NORTHEAST AND WILL SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE WEEK TO JUST NORTH OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A SECOND LOW WILL DIG OVER THE ATLANTIC TO
THE NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE WEEKEND AND TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP OVER PUERTO RICO EARLY IN THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS... HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE ATLANTIC NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO. A TROUGH DIVIDES THIS HIGH IN TWO
AND DIGS OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO THE WORK WEEK NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND MAINTAINING A
MODERATE TRADE WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LINGERED IN THE EAST SOUTHEAST
FLOW AROUND THE ISLANDS...AND ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MOVED INLAND
OVER THE EAST COAST...MOST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS REMAINED DRY OVERNIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE TROPICAL WAVE IN
THE MID ATLANTIC APPEARS WEAK. IT WILL ARRIVE IN THE LOCAL AREA ON
THURSDAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. AFTER THE WAVE
PASSAGE...LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS SOUTHEAST AND DOES NOT RETURN TO
THE EAST UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEKEND. EXPECT GENERALLY
CLIMATOLOGY WITH OPPOSITE CORNER SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOONS
EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST
18Z. EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TJMZ...AND TJBQ
BETWEEN 07/18-22Z WITH SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS IN THE OUTER WATERS REMAIN 4 TO 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS ARE UNLIKELY TO PUSH MUCH PAST 18 KNOTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 89 77 / 30 20 40 40
STT 89 79 89 79 / 30 20 40 40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

$$

71/12





[/img]

[Gustywind]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 070807
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
407 AM AST MON SEP 7 2009

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CUBA TO THE
NORTHEAST AND WILL SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE WEEK TO JUST NORTH OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A SECOND LOW WILL DIG OVER THE ATLANTIC TO
THE NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE WEEKEND AND TROUGHING WILL
DEVELOP OVER PUERTO RICO EARLY IN THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS... HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE ATLANTIC NORTH
AND NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO. A TROUGH DIVIDES THIS HIGH IN TWO
AND DIGS OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO THE WORK WEEK NEXT WEEK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE
SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND MAINTAINING A
MODERATE TRADE WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LINGERED IN THE EAST SOUTHEAST
FLOW AROUND THE ISLANDS...AND ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MOVED INLAND
OVER THE EAST COAST...MOST OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS REMAINED DRY OVERNIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE TROPICAL WAVE IN
THE MID ATLANTIC APPEARS WEAK. IT WILL ARRIVE IN THE LOCAL AREA ON
THURSDAY WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY. AFTER THE WAVE
PASSAGE...LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS SOUTHEAST AND DOES NOT RETURN TO
THE EAST UNTIL THE END OF THE WEEKEND. EXPECT GENERALLY
CLIMATOLOGY WITH OPPOSITE CORNER SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOONS
EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH AT LEAST
18Z. EXPECT BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TJMZ...AND TJBQ
BETWEEN 07/18-22Z WITH SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS IN THE OUTER WATERS REMAIN 4 TO 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS ARE UNLIKELY TO PUSH MUCH PAST 18 KNOTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 90 78 89 77 / 30 20 40 40
STT 89 79 89 79 / 30 20 40 40

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...NONE.
VI...NONE.
&&

$$

71/12

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 071057
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT MON SEP 07 2009

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 22W S OF 20N MOVING W NEAR 18 KT WITH A
1007 MB LOW EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 13N. A DEEP LAYERED
MOISTURE MAXIMUM IS NOTED IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE ON THE
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CIMSS
WAVETRAK MODEL GUIDANCE EXHIBITS LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WITH SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION W OF THE LOW CENTER
FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 22W-26W. AN E-W BAND OF SCATTERED MODERATE/
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION...MORE LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ITCZ...IS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 19W-29W. CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE PREVIOUSLY ALONG 41W S OF 17N HAS BEEN DROPPED
FROM THE 07/0600 UTC ANALYSIS. MOST OF THE ENERGY FROM THIS WAVE
FRACTURED NWD AS A SURFACE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW OVER 24 HOURS
AGO...AND ANY REMAINING SIGNATURE HAS BECOME FULLY ABSORBED INTO
THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W S OF 21N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. A 1012
MB LOW IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N. CIMSS WAVETRAK MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF 850 MB VORTICITY N OF 15N
BETWEEN 45W-55W SURROUNDING THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAIN FROM 16N-21N BETWEEN
45W-53W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 72W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. MOVING
BENEATH DRY AIR AND MODERATE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT...THE WAVE REMAINS
ILL-DEFINED AND DIFFICULT TO TRACK. NO DEEP CONVECTION
ACCOMPANIES THE WAVE.

...ITCZ...

THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 17N16W 16N20W 8N24W 8N31W 16N47W
15N53W 11N64W. BESIDE THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVES ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC...ISOLATED LOW-LEVEL
SHOWERS ARE S OF 10N E OF 30W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
ACROSS THE ERN CONUS WHILE AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER SRN MEXICO NEAR 19N95W. STRONG
WESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL FEATURES
DOMINATES ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS IS PROVIDING A LACK OF
ANY SIGNIFICANT SURFACE FEATURES OTHER THAN A WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE GULF. HOWEVER...A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS THE FAR SRN
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO NEAR KEY WEST. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS
ALSO PROVIDING UPPER DIFFLUENCE TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND A FEW ISOLATED TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE
FROM APALACHICOLA BAY THROUGH 25N90W TO VERACRUZ MEXICO. THE
MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY IS LOCATED OVER THE SW GULF AND BAY OF
CAMPECHE S OF 23N W OF 93W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
A TROPICAL WAVE WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 72W. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE W ATLC ACROSS CUBA...JAMAICA AND PORTIONS OF
WRN HISPANIOLA. UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER
TROUGH IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS N OF
18N BETWEEN 74W-79W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND DEBRIS CLOUDINESS
SPREAD EWD OF 74W ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO
RICO. THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER SRN
MEXICO NEAR 19N95W EXTENDS UPPER RIDGING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL
AMERICA AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH 12N80W TO 14N65W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THUS
LIMITING ANY DEEP CONVECTION...HOWEVER A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS ARE OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 15N W OF 80W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A SHORTWAVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTLINE AND SUPPORTS A 1012 MB SURFACE LOW CENTERED NEAR
32N79W. AS OF 0900 UTC...A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW
ALONG 30N79W TO FT. LAUDERDALE FLORIDA AND OVER THE SERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE COUPLED WITH UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS N OF 23N
BETWEEN 75W-80W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N68W AND
EXTENDS TROUGHING ACROSS THE CAICOS ISLANDS AND CUBA. UPPER
LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS IS GENERATING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 20N-23N BETWEEN 73W-80W AND
FROM 21N-29N BETWEEN 61W-69W. FARTHER TO THE E ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ATLC AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS CENTERED NEAR 30N55W AND AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 26N45W. NELY UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENT FLOW IS LOCATED BETWEEN THESE TWO FEATURES AND IS
PRODUCING POSSIBLE SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE
OF A LINE FROM 27N53W TO 32N43W. IN ADDITION...MOIST SWLY UPPER
LEVEL FLOW LOCATED SE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 26N45W IS
SUPPORTING A FRACTURED PORTION OF ENERGY ANALYZED AS A SURFACE
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 17N35W THROUGH A 1013 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
20N35W TO 24N33W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS EXTEND N
OF THE SURFACE LOW FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 30W-36W.

$$
HUFFMAN

[Gustywind]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 071139
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 7 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE
IS LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. CONDITIONS APPEAR
FAVORABLE FOR THE LOW TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT AS IT MOVES WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT NEAR 20
MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER
THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...
GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTH AND
SOUTH CAROLINA IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AS THIS
SYSTEM MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Latest on 96L

From NRL site:20090907.1015.96LINVEST.25kts-1007mb-126N-196W
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... p&TYPE=vis

[b]From SSD:
Atlantic Ocean Basin: DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
07/0600 UTC 13.0N 21.3W T1.0/1.0 96L
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html


Here are the plots...[/b]





SAT PICS

[cycloneye]

I am without my PC as the keyboard is dead.I am on another PC that I have to use briefly.But i expect that later today or tonight to be back at my PC with a new keyboard.

[msbee]

good luck Luis
It's no fun being without your computer

It's a TD!

TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072009
500 PM AST MON SEP 07 2009

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 24.5 WEST OR ABOUT
160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TONIGHT...PRODUCING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.5N 24.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN