Perfect Season

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KWT
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#41 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:52 am

Sadly TD4 is going to be a landfalling system, whether or not it quite makes it to TS or not it still a tropical cyclone.

Still this just shows that late starters, even in El nino years can have more active bursts.
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jinftl
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Re:

#42 Postby jinftl » Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:59 am

Who would have thought even a week ago we would have potentially 3 named systems in the course of a weekend? Get a few more bursts of activity like this through October and it won't be hard to see how the 10 named system forecast could be realized. Easily.

KWT wrote:Sadly TD4 is going to be a landfalling system, whether or not it quite makes it to TS or not it still a tropical cyclone.

Still this just shows that late starters, even in El nino years can have more active bursts.
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Re: Re:

#43 Postby StormTracker » Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:57 am

jinftl wrote:Who would have thought even a week ago we would have potentially 3 named systems in the course of a weekend? Get a few more bursts of activity like this through October and it won't be hard to see how the 10 named system forecast could be realized. Easily.

KWT wrote:Sadly TD4 is going to be a landfalling system, whether or not it quite makes it to TS or not it still a tropical cyclone.

Still this just shows that late starters, even in El nino years can have more active bursts.

Speaking of a few more bursts...

Image
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Frank2
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#44 Postby Frank2 » Sun Aug 16, 2009 12:20 pm

Cat 5,

Well, it'd still be perfect if there are no landfalling systems, so there...


Well, it'd still be perfect if there aren't any landfalling hurricanes (things are changing by the hour)...

LOL

P.S. I've noticed that the melaluca (weedy tree thought they are) are blooming right now, 4 weeks early, so perhaps an early Fall is upon us...
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Re: Perfect Season

#45 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 09, 2009 11:12 am

Well,2009 has its second major cane.Thankfully both haved not affected land as major intensity as Bill didnt make landfal as a major in Atlantic Canada and Fred is at open Atlantic waters and will weaken as time goes on after 24 hours.

About Fred,nobody,even the pro mets expected it to be a major cane at the time it was named so as we know,the tropics bring many surprises.The season is at 6/2/2,not bad considering the negative conditions that has prevailed.Yes,not healthy systems like Ana,Claudette,Danny and Erika,but they count in the overall numbers for the season.

The numbers may rise or not after the season is over as invest 90L (Late May) is analized at post season analysis to see if it was a storm before it made landfall.
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Re:

#46 Postby Cyclenall » Wed Sep 09, 2009 9:42 pm

Frank2 wrote:so perhaps an early Fall is upon us...

Every August that same line is posted year after year.

Some scientists would probably argue that a no named season is not possible at this current time despite the unforgivable ( :lol: ) conditions. It would more likely happen in a non-active cycle.
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Re: Re:

#47 Postby somethingfunny » Thu Sep 10, 2009 8:17 am

StormTracker wrote:
jinftl wrote:Who would have thought even a week ago we would have potentially 3 named systems in the course of a weekend? Get a few more bursts of activity like this through October and it won't be hard to see how the 10 named system forecast could be realized. Easily.

KWT wrote:Sadly TD4 is going to be a landfalling system, whether or not it quite makes it to TS or not it still a tropical cyclone.

Still this just shows that late starters, even in El nino years can have more active bursts.

Speaking of a few more bursts...

Image


I know it's an auto-updating image you posted a month ago, but yesterday the waves over Africa looked formidable. Today they look dead.
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Re: Perfect Season

#48 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Sep 10, 2009 8:32 am

cycloneye wrote:Well,2009 has its second major cane.Thankfully both haved not affected land as major intensity as Bill didnt make landfal as a major in Atlantic Canada and Fred is at open Atlantic waters and will weaken as time goes on after 24 hours.

About Fred,nobody,even the pro mets expected it to be a major cane at the time it was named so as we know,the tropics bring many surprises.The season is at 6/2/2,not bad considering the negative conditions that has prevailed.Yes,not healthy systems like Ana,Claudette,Danny and Erika,but they count in the overall numbers for the season.

The numbers may rise or not after the season is over as invest 90L (Late May) is analized at post season analysis to see if it was a storm before it made landfall.


My guess is that we will see 1 more major hurricane and 2 other hurricanes, and 11 storms in total at this point - 11/5/3.
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