This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or
STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the
National Hurricane Center and
National Weather Service.
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#321 Postby RattleMan » Tue Sep 29, 2009 11:33 am
29/1500z:
Code: Select all
17W.Ketsana
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 25 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 35 0.1225
7 35 0.1225
8 40 0.16
9 45 0.2025
10 55 0.3025
11 55 0.3025
12 60 0.36
13 65 0.4225
14 80 0.64
15 90 0.81
16 90 0.81
17 90 0.81
18 90 0.81
19 55 0.3025
Code: Select all
18W.NONAME
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 25 0
3 30 0
4 30 0
5 30 0
6 30 0
7 30 0
8 30 0
9 35 0.1225
10 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 10.47%
Chan-hom 6.3575 5.50%
Linfa 4.7425 4.10%
Nangka 2.2975 1.99%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.11%
Molave 3.38 2.93%
Goni 1.0925 0.95%
Morakot 8.59 7.43%
Etau 1.225 1.06%
Maka 0.9325 0.81%
Vamco 23.12 20.01%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.68%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.39%
Choi-wan 33.9725 29.40%
Koppu 1.975 1.71%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.56%
18W 0.245 0.21%
Parma 0.81 0.70%
Melor 0 0.00%
TOTAL 115.5425
Note that Melor is a TS per JMA but not JTWC.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin

- Posts: 146534
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
#322 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 29, 2009 2:04 pm
If you look at the numbers per basin,it seems almost normal in el Nino years,maybe the EPAC failing to get a bit more numbers but overall a typical year.The WPAC really has turned very active in the last month raking up the numbers in that basin.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members
Click Here
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#323 Postby RattleMan » Tue Sep 29, 2009 3:57 pm
29/2100z:
Code: Select all
18W.NONAME
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 25 0
3 30 0
4 30 0
5 30 0
6 30 0
7 30 0
8 30 0
9 35 0.1225
10 35 0.1225
11 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 10.42%
Chan-hom 6.3575 5.48%
Linfa 4.7425 4.09%
Nangka 2.2975 1.98%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.11%
Molave 3.38 2.91%
Goni 1.0925 0.94%
Morakot 8.59 7.40%
Etau 1.225 1.06%
Maka 0.9325 0.80%
Vamco 23.12 19.92%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.66%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.37%
Choi-wan 33.9725 29.28%
Koppu 1.975 1.70%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.53%
18W 0.3675 0.32%
Parma 1.06 0.91%
Melor 0.1225 0.11%
TOTAL 116.0375
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#324 Postby RattleMan » Tue Sep 29, 2009 9:55 pm
30/0300z:
Code: Select all
18W.NONAME
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 25 0
3 30 0
4 30 0
5 30 0
6 30 0
7 30 0
8 30 0
9 35 0.1225
10 35 0.1225
11 35 0.1225
12 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 10.36%
Chan-hom 6.3575 5.45%
Linfa 4.7425 4.06%
Nangka 2.2975 1.97%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.10%
Molave 3.38 2.90%
Goni 1.0925 0.94%
Morakot 8.59 7.36%
Etau 1.225 1.05%
Maka 0.9325 0.80%
Vamco 23.12 19.80%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.64%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.35%
Choi-wan 33.9725 29.10%
Koppu 1.975 1.69%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.50%
18W 0.49 0.42%
Parma 1.4825 1.27%
Melor 0.2825 0.24%
TOTAL 116.7425
Code: Select all
Global (2009-09-30, 0300z)
2009 ACE
ATL 39.9775 11.97%
EPAC 75.6675 22.66%
CPAC 12.135 3.63%
WPAC 116.7425 34.96%
NIO 4.34 1.30%
SWIO 38.11 11.41%
AUS 39.48 11.82%
SPAC 7.515 2.25%
TOTAL 333.9675
NHEM 248.8625 74.52%
SHEM 85.105 25.48%
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#325 Postby RattleMan » Wed Sep 30, 2009 12:36 pm
30/1500z:
18W is no longer a tropical storm.
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 10.22%
Chan-hom 6.3575 5.37%
Linfa 4.7425 4.01%
Nangka 2.2975 1.94%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.10%
Molave 3.38 2.86%
Goni 1.0925 0.92%
Morakot 8.59 7.26%
Etau 1.225 1.03%
Maka 0.9325 0.79%
Vamco 23.12 19.53%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.59%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.31%
Choi-wan 33.9725 28.70%
Koppu 1.975 1.67%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.43%
18W 0.49 0.41%
Parma 2.6075 2.20%
Melor 0.7875 0.67%
TOTAL 118.3725
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#326 Postby RattleMan » Wed Sep 30, 2009 4:00 pm
30/2100z:
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 10.10%
Chan-hom 6.3575 5.31%
Linfa 4.7425 3.96%
Nangka 2.2975 1.92%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.10%
Molave 3.38 2.82%
Goni 1.0925 0.91%
Morakot 8.59 7.17%
Etau 1.225 1.02%
Maka 0.9325 0.78%
Vamco 23.12 19.31%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.55%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.27%
Choi-wan 33.9725 28.37%
Koppu 1.975 1.65%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.36%
18W 0.49 0.41%
Parma 3.6075 3.01%
Melor 1.1475 0.96%
TOTAL 119.7325
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#327 Postby RattleMan » Wed Sep 30, 2009 5:35 pm
Ana TCR:
Code: Select all
02L.Ana
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 25 0
3 25 0
4 30 0
5 30 0
6 35 0.1225
7 35 0.1225
8 30 0
9 --- 0
10 --- 0
11 --- 0
12 --- 0
13 --- 0
14 --- 0
15 --- 0
16 30 0
17 35 0.1225
18 35 0.1225
19 35 0.1225
20 35 0.1225
21 35 0.1225
22 30 0
Code: Select all
Atlantic
Seasonal ACE
BT Ana 0.8575 2.14%
Bill 25.76 64.24%
Claudette 0.5275 1.32%
Danny 1.875 4.68%
Erika 1.2675 3.16%
Fred 9.8125 24.47%
TOTAL 40.1
0 likes
-
somethingfunny
- ChatStaff

- Posts: 3926
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 31, 2007 10:30 pm
- Location: McKinney, Texas
#328 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Sep 30, 2009 6:41 pm
Ana bumped 2009 above 40 ACE. Let's see if the other TCRs can maintain this season above 40.
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#329 Postby RattleMan » Wed Sep 30, 2009 8:56 pm
01/0300z and Parma explodes:
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 9.92%
Chan-hom 6.3575 5.22%
Linfa 4.7425 3.89%
Nangka 2.2975 1.89%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.10%
Molave 3.38 2.77%
Goni 1.0925 0.90%
Morakot 8.59 7.05%
Etau 1.225 1.01%
Maka 0.9325 0.77%
Vamco 23.12 18.97%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.49%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.21%
Choi-wan 33.9725 27.88%
Koppu 1.975 1.62%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.27%
18W 0.49 0.40%
Parma 5.2975 4.35%
Melor 1.57 1.29%
TOTAL 121.845
Code: Select all
Global (2009-10-01, 0300z)
2009 ACE
ATL 40.1 11.82%
EPAC 75.6675 22.31%
CPAC 12.135 3.58%
WPAC 121.845 35.92%
NIO 4.34 1.28%
SWIO 38.11 11.24%
AUS 39.48 11.64%
SPAC 7.515 2.22%
TOTAL 339.1925
NHEM 254.0875 74.91%
SHEM 85.105 25.09%
0 likes
-
supercane
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 2858
- Joined: Wed Sep 16, 2009 8:27 pm
#330 Postby supercane » Wed Sep 30, 2009 10:48 pm
Yep, all basins well below normal for ACE:
http://www.coaps.fsu.edu/~maue/tropical/. We'll see how much Supertyphoon Parma and Typhoon Melor will help the WPAC numbers, but don't have much reason to think the N Atlantic will contribute much in ending 2009: The Year of ACE Disgrace.
supercane
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#331 Postby RattleMan » Thu Oct 01, 2009 11:20 am
01/1500z:
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 9.49%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.99%
Linfa 4.7425 3.72%
Nangka 2.2975 1.80%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.10%
Molave 3.38 2.65%
Goni 1.0925 0.86%
Morakot 8.59 6.74%
Etau 1.225 0.96%
Maka 0.9325 0.73%
Vamco 23.12 18.15%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.34%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.07%
Choi-wan 33.9725 26.67%
Koppu 1.975 1.55%
Ketsana 6.4225 5.04%
18W 0.49 0.38%
Parma 8.4275 6.61%
Melor 3.995 3.14%
TOTAL 127.4
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#332 Postby RattleMan » Thu Oct 01, 2009 4:26 pm
01/2100z and the EPAC enters again:
Code: Select all
18E.Olaf
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
East Pacific
Seasonal ACE
BT Andres 3.305 4.36%
Blanca 1.13 1.49%
BT Carlos 8.92 11.77%
Dolores 0.81 1.07%
BT Enrique 2.475 3.27%
Felicia 15.2525 20.12%
Guillermo 9.7275 12.83%
Hilda 0.405 0.53%
Ignacio 1.4975 1.98%
Jimena 23.0325 30.39%
BT Kevin 0.97 1.28%
Linda 5.27 6.95%
Marty 1.5725 2.07%
Nora 1.3 1.72%
Olaf 0.1225 0.16%
TOTAL 75.79
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 9.29%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.88%
Linfa 4.7425 3.64%
Nangka 2.2975 1.77%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.09%
Molave 3.38 2.60%
Goni 1.0925 0.84%
Morakot 8.59 6.60%
Etau 1.225 0.94%
Maka 0.9325 0.72%
Vamco 23.12 17.76%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.27%
Dujuan 3.9125 3.01%
Choi-wan 33.9725 26.10%
Koppu 1.975 1.52%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.93%
18W 0.49 0.38%
Parma 9.8675 7.58%
Melor 5.3175 4.09%
TOTAL 130.1625
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#333 Postby RattleMan » Thu Oct 01, 2009 9:54 pm
02/0300z:
Code: Select all
18E.Olaf
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 35 0.1225
3 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
East Pacific
Seasonal ACE
BT Andres 3.305 4.35%
Blanca 1.13 1.49%
BT Carlos 8.92 11.75%
Dolores 0.81 1.07%
BT Enrique 2.475 3.26%
Felicia 15.2525 20.09%
Guillermo 9.7275 12.81%
Hilda 0.405 0.53%
Ignacio 1.4975 1.97%
Jimena 23.0325 30.34%
BT Kevin 0.97 1.28%
Linda 5.27 6.94%
Marty 1.5725 2.07%
Nora 1.3 1.71%
Olaf 0.245 0.32%
TOTAL 75.9125
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 9.09%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.78%
Linfa 4.7425 3.56%
Nangka 2.2975 1.73%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.09%
Molave 3.38 2.54%
Goni 1.0925 0.82%
Morakot 8.59 6.46%
Etau 1.225 0.92%
Maka 0.9325 0.70%
Vamco 23.12 17.38%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.20%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.94%
Choi-wan 33.9725 25.54%
Koppu 1.975 1.48%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.83%
18W 0.49 0.37%
Parma 11.3075 8.50%
Melor 6.7575 5.08%
TOTAL 133.0425
Code: Select all
Global (2009-10-02, 0300z)
2009 ACE
ATL 40.1 11.44%
EPAC 75.9125 21.65%
CPAC 12.135 3.46%
WPAC 133.0425 37.94%
NIO 4.34 1.24%
SWIO 38.11 10.87%
AUS 39.48 11.26%
SPAC 7.515 2.14%
TOTAL 350.635
NHEM 265.53 75.73%
SHEM 85.105 24.27%
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#334 Postby RattleMan » Fri Oct 02, 2009 11:34 am
02/1500z:
Code: Select all
18E.Olaf
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 35 0.1225
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 40 0.16
Code: Select all
East Pacific
Seasonal ACE
BT Andres 3.305 4.34%
Blanca 1.13 1.48%
BT Carlos 8.92 11.70%
Dolores 0.81 1.06%
BT Enrique 2.475 3.25%
Felicia 15.2525 20.01%
Guillermo 9.7275 12.76%
Hilda 0.405 0.53%
Ignacio 1.4975 1.96%
Jimena 23.0325 30.21%
BT Kevin 0.97 1.27%
Linda 5.27 6.91%
Marty 1.5725 2.06%
Nora 1.3 1.71%
Olaf 0.565 0.74%
TOTAL 76.2325
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
19 120 1.44
20 115 1.3225
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
13 120 1.44
14 115 1.3225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 8.73%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.59%
Linfa 4.7425 3.42%
Nangka 2.2975 1.66%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.09%
Molave 3.38 2.44%
Goni 1.0925 0.79%
Morakot 8.59 6.20%
Etau 1.225 0.88%
Maka 0.9325 0.67%
Vamco 23.12 16.69%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.07%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.82%
Choi-wan 33.9725 24.52%
Koppu 1.975 1.43%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.63%
18W 0.49 0.35%
Parma 14.07 10.15%
Melor 9.52 6.87%
TOTAL 138.5675
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#335 Postby RattleMan » Fri Oct 02, 2009 7:15 pm
Was away until now.
02/2100z:
Code: Select all
18E.Olaf
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 35 0.1225
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 40 0.16
6 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
East Pacific
Seasonal ACE
BT Andres 3.305 4.33%
Blanca 1.13 1.48%
BT Carlos 8.92 11.68%
Dolores 0.81 1.06%
BT Enrique 2.475 3.24%
Felicia 15.2525 19.98%
Guillermo 9.7275 12.74%
Hilda 0.405 0.53%
Ignacio 1.4975 1.96%
Jimena 23.0325 30.17%
BT Kevin 0.97 1.27%
Linda 5.27 6.90%
Marty 1.5725 2.06%
Nora 1.3 1.70%
Olaf 0.6875 0.90%
TOTAL 76.355
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
19 120 1.44
20 115 1.3225
21 100 1
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
13 120 1.44
14 115 1.3225
15 110 1.21
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 8.59%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.52%
Linfa 4.7425 3.37%
Nangka 2.2975 1.63%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.09%
Molave 3.38 2.40%
Goni 1.0925 0.78%
Morakot 8.59 6.10%
Etau 1.225 0.87%
Maka 0.9325 0.66%
Vamco 23.12 16.42%
Krovanh 4.2525 3.02%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.78%
Choi-wan 33.9725 24.13%
Koppu 1.975 1.40%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.56%
18W 0.49 0.35%
Parma 15.07 10.70%
Melor 10.73 7.62%
TOTAL 140.7775
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#336 Postby RattleMan » Fri Oct 02, 2009 10:57 pm
03/0300z:
Code: Select all
18E.Olaf
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 35 0.1225
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 40 0.16
6 35 0.1225
7 35 0.1225
Code: Select all
East Pacific
Seasonal ACE
BT Andres 3.305 4.32%
Blanca 1.13 1.48%
BT Carlos 8.92 11.66%
Dolores 0.81 1.06%
BT Enrique 2.475 3.24%
Felicia 15.2525 19.94%
Guillermo 9.7275 12.72%
Hilda 0.405 0.53%
Ignacio 1.4975 1.96%
Jimena 23.0325 30.12%
BT Kevin 0.97 1.27%
Linda 5.27 6.89%
Marty 1.5725 2.06%
Nora 1.3 1.70%
Olaf 0.81 1.06%
TOTAL 76.4775
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
19 120 1.44
20 115 1.3225
21 100 1
22 90 0.81
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
13 120 1.44
14 115 1.3225
15 110 1.21
16 115 1.3225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 8.46%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.45%
Linfa 4.7425 3.32%
Nangka 2.2975 1.61%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.09%
Molave 3.38 2.37%
Goni 1.0925 0.76%
Morakot 8.59 6.01%
Etau 1.225 0.86%
Maka 0.9325 0.65%
Vamco 23.12 16.18%
Krovanh 4.2525 2.98%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.74%
Choi-wan 33.9725 23.77%
Koppu 1.975 1.38%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.49%
18W 0.49 0.34%
Parma 15.88 11.11%
Melor 12.0525 8.43%
TOTAL 142.91
Code: Select all
Global (2009-10-03, 0300z)
2009 ACE
ATL 40.1 11.11%
EPAC 76.4775 21.18%
CPAC 12.135 3.36%
WPAC 142.91 39.58%
NIO 4.34 1.20%
SWIO 38.11 10.55%
AUS 39.48 10.93%
SPAC 7.515 2.08%
TOTAL 361.0675
NHEM 275.9625 76.43%
SHEM 85.105 23.57%
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#337 Postby RattleMan » Sat Oct 03, 2009 12:03 pm
03/1500z:
Olaf is now a tropical depression.
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
19 120 1.44
20 115 1.3225
21 100 1
22 90 0.81
23 80 0.64
24 75 0.5625
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
13 120 1.44
14 115 1.3225
15 110 1.21
16 115 1.3225
17 115 1.3225
18 115 1.3225
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 8.24%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.33%
Linfa 4.7425 3.23%
Nangka 2.2975 1.57%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.08%
Molave 3.38 2.30%
Goni 1.0925 0.74%
Morakot 8.59 5.85%
Etau 1.225 0.83%
Maka 0.9325 0.64%
Vamco 23.12 15.75%
Krovanh 4.2525 2.90%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.67%
Choi-wan 33.9725 23.15%
Koppu 1.975 1.35%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.38%
18W 0.49 0.33%
Parma 17.0825 11.64%
Melor 14.6975 10.01%
TOTAL 146.7575
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#338 Postby RattleMan » Sat Oct 03, 2009 3:59 pm
03/2100z:
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
19 120 1.44
20 115 1.3225
21 100 1
22 90 0.81
23 80 0.64
24 75 0.5625
25 65 0.4225
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
13 120 1.44
14 115 1.3225
15 110 1.21
16 115 1.3225
17 115 1.3225
18 115 1.3225
19 125 1.5625
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 8.13%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.27%
Linfa 4.7425 3.19%
Nangka 2.2975 1.54%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.08%
Molave 3.38 2.27%
Goni 1.0925 0.73%
Morakot 8.59 5.78%
Etau 1.225 0.82%
Maka 0.9325 0.63%
Vamco 23.12 15.54%
Krovanh 4.2525 2.86%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.63%
Choi-wan 33.9725 22.84%
Koppu 1.975 1.33%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.32%
18W 0.49 0.33%
Parma 17.505 11.77%
Melor 16.26 10.93%
TOTAL 148.7425
0 likes
-
RattleMan
- Category 5

- Posts: 1218
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 7:14 pm
- Location: Phoenix, AZ
#339 Postby RattleMan » Sat Oct 03, 2009 8:46 pm
04/0300z because the JTWC is early:
Code: Select all
19W.Parma
Adv # Knots ACE
1 30 0
2 30 0
3 30 0
4 35 0.1225
5 35 0.1225
6 40 0.16
7 45 0.2025
8 45 0.2025
9 50 0.25
10 65 0.4225
11 75 0.5625
12 75 0.5625
13 100 1
14 130 1.69
15 130 1.69
16 120 1.44
17 120 1.44
18 120 1.44
19 120 1.44
20 115 1.3225
21 100 1
22 90 0.81
23 80 0.64
24 75 0.5625
25 65 0.4225
26 65 0.4225
Code: Select all
20W.Melor
Adv # Knots ACE
1 25 0
2 30 0
3 35 0.1225
4 40 0.16
5 45 0.2025
6 55 0.3025
7 60 0.36
8 65 0.4225
9 105 1.1025
10 115 1.3225
11 115 1.3225
12 120 1.44
13 120 1.44
14 115 1.3225
15 110 1.21
16 115 1.3225
17 115 1.3225
18 115 1.3225
19 125 1.5625
20 145 2.1025
Code: Select all
West Pacific
Seasonal ACE
Kujira 12.0925 7.99%
Chan-hom 6.3575 4.20%
Linfa 4.7425 3.14%
Nangka 2.2975 1.52%
Soudelor 0.1225 0.08%
Molave 3.38 2.23%
Goni 1.0925 0.72%
Morakot 8.59 5.68%
Etau 1.225 0.81%
Maka 0.9325 0.62%
Vamco 23.12 15.28%
Krovanh 4.2525 2.81%
Dujuan 3.9125 2.59%
Choi-wan 33.9725 22.46%
Koppu 1.975 1.31%
Ketsana 6.4225 4.25%
18W 0.49 0.32%
Parma 17.9275 11.85%
Melor 18.3625 12.14%
TOTAL 151.2675
Code: Select all
Global (2009-10-04, 0300z)
2009 ACE
ATL 40.1 10.85%
EPAC 76.4775 20.70%
CPAC 12.135 3.28%
WPAC 151.2675 40.95%
NIO 4.34 1.17%
SWIO 38.11 10.32%
AUS 39.48 10.69%
SPAC 7.515 2.03%
TOTAL 369.425
NHEM 284.32 76.96%
SHEM 85.105 23.04%
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin

- Posts: 146534
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
#340 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 03, 2009 9:26 pm
Certainly,the WPAC has raised the ACE numbers very rapidly from being well below normal to more normal numbers.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members
Click Here
Return to “Talkin' Tropics”