Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

Tkanks expat2carib . Looks like even some portions of the Windwards could have a good brunch of this feature! Any weather alert for a risk of strong showers/tstorms in Dominica like Meteo-France Guadeloupe issued for us?
Be safe and continue as possible to keep us informed my friend.
Gustywind

No warnings / alerts at all here on the nature Island.

Ok tkanks, i'm a bit surprised but... i should have to admit that we're often blessed on the islands in spite all the threats of Mother Nature . Lightnings are back, thunder is rumbling, we just experienced a brief power outage (5secs), i'm sniffing that this situation will be frequent, i keep my fingers crossed...
I will keep you informed as possible if anything happens in the Butterfly Island .

[expat2carib]

Tkanks expat2carib . Looks like even some portions of the Windwards could have a good brunch of this feature! Any weather alert for a risk of strong showers/tstorms in Dominica like Meteo-France Guadeloupe issued for us?
Be safe and continue as possible to keep us informed my friend.
Gustywind

No warnings / alerts at all here on the nature Island.

Ok tkanks, i'm a bit surprised but... i should have to admit that we're often blessed on the islands in spite all the threats of Mother Nature . Lightnings are back, thunder is rumbling, we just experienced a brief power outage (5secs), i'm sniffing that this situation will be frequent, i keep my fingers crossed...
I will keep you informed as possible if anything happens in the Butterfly Island .

Thanks Gusty. Looks like both Islands will be in for some rain in the next hours. It's rumbling out here.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html

[msbee]

and all is quiet here. that system just dipped south of us and head down to you guys in Guadeloupe and Dominica.
All we got was one heavy thunderstorm.
I need a rain magnet.
My cistern still is not full.

[cycloneye]

and all is quiet here. that system just dipped south of us and head down to you guys in Guadeloupe and Dominica.
All we got was one heavy thunderstorm.
I need a rain magnet.
My cistern still is not full.

I cant believe that over there still is a deficit of precipitation.

[Gustywind]

Tkanks too expat2carib. You're definitely right i tkink.
No time called for the lightnings here, bis repetita! Many islanders on the radio are speaking about the lightnings on the whole island, whereas in my opinion (given my location) they were more impressive the hour before...but the night is unhopefully long
Be safe all , and keep us informed.
Gustywind

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
839 PM AST MON NOV 16 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
VEGA ALTA
VEGA BAJA

* UNTIL 1145 PM AST

* AT 842 PM AST...USGS RIVER SENSOR AT RIO CIBUCO NEAR VEGA
BAJA...INDICATED WATER LEVELS RISING AND GETTING CLOSER TO FLOOD
STAGE.

FOR THE RIO CIBUCO NEAR VEGA BAJA - VGBP4
FLOOD STAGE IS 15 FEET.

AT 842 PM AST THE USGS SENSOR INDICATED THE RIVER HAD RISEN
TO...10.92 FEET AND FORECAST TO REACH ITS FLOOD STAGE WITHIN THE
NEXT HOUR MORE OR LESS.

[Gustywind]

and all is quiet here. that system just dipped south of us and head down to you guys in Guadeloupe and Dominica.
All we got was one heavy thunderstorm.
I need a rain magnet.
My cistern still is not full.

Absolutely Barbara, you're right ! Agree with you... drifting near us, Dominica and even Martinica?!
I advice you to keep your fingers crossed to have your rain magnet!

[cycloneye]

Another big badge of rain is entering the western part of Puerto Rico.Lets see if it falls apart while it moves east inside the island or mantains intact causing more flooding.

[msbee]

I hope it falls apart. PR has had more than enough rain.

Gusty, I love that hand!

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch extended to 6 AM AST Tuesday

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
957 PM AST MON NOV 16 2009

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-171000-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-091117T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
957 PM AST MON NOV 16 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AST TUESDAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA...
EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...NORTH CENTRAL...
NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...PONCE AND VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND
VICINITY...SOUTHEAST...SOUTHWEST...VIEQUES AND WESTERN INTERIOR.
IN VIRGIN ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT
ISLANDS.

* UNTIL 6 AM AST TUESDAY

* A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERTORMS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC WATERS THIS EVENING. THIS LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST...GENERATING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. SATURATED SOILS CONDITIONS WILL
INCREASE THE FLOODING AND LANDSLIDE POTENTIAL ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

[cycloneye]

Our Caribbean tent thread is back at its original forum. If things turn real bad tommorow,it will be back at Talking tropics forum.

[Gustywind]

I hope it falls apart. PR has had more than enough rain.

Gusty, I love that hand!

TKANKS my Msbee, i appreciate . It symbolises the green grass dreamed in many areas of the Leewards lol in spite of the severe drought lol . More seriously i love it too, that's pretty funny i have to admit. As usual you known that... i try to put some humor, happiness here!

[Gustywind]

Our Caribbean tent thread is back at its original forum. If things turn real bad tommorow,it will be back at Talking tropics forum.

Tkanks Cycloneye, good call. I appreciate this way to emphasizes our islands , good balance... well well .

[Gustywind]

Have a good night my friends... it's bed time with Morpheus !

[cycloneye]

Good night to all.Lets hope for a much better day on tuesday weatherwise in the NE Caribbean.

[Gustywind]

Good night to all.Lets hope for a much better day on tuesday weatherwise in the NE Caribbean.

Absolutely, let's hope it Luis

[cycloneye]

Good morning to all.Another round of floodings today?

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
539 AM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

.SYNOPSIS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH AT LEAST
LATE TONIGHT. FRONTAL TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE LOCAL
AREA...BEFORE MOVING AWAY FROM THE REGION. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL
KEEP HIGH CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SOME SHOWERS WERE NOTED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT...BUT MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY DISSIPATED
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ENOUGH LINGERING MOISTURE ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY ACROSS PUERTO RICO. THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO ARE THE MOST LIKELY SECTORS THAT
WILL RECEIVE THE BEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS...DUE TO THE CONTINUATION
OF A RATHER UNUSUAL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW AT THE SURFACE.
SINCE SOILS ARE ALREADY SATURATE DUE TO PREVIOUS RAINFALL WHICH
OCCURRED THE LAST 2 DAYS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT
AT LEAST THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR ALL PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS. FRONTAL TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE LOCAL
REGION AT LEAST THROUGH TOMORROW...WHICH WILL AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT IN SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION. A DRIER AIR MASS
IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA BY THURSDAY..WHICH WILL
PROMOTE LESS CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...STILL EXPECT
ENOUGH MOISTURE LINGERING AROUND FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION
DEVELOPMENT MAINLY ACROSS THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE WESTERN PARTS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. LIGHT SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHEAST BY THE END OF THIS
WEEK...WHEN A HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN.
STAY TUNED FOR MORE INFORMATION.

&&

.AVIATION...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DIVIDE THE LOCAL AREA WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENHANCED AHEAD OF AND ALONG
THE BOUNDARY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE BOUNDARY WILL HOVER NEAR
PUERTO RICO THOUGH ANOTHER BAND OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN NEAR THE
USVI. LOWER LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE LESS THAN 10 KTS
EXCEPT GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. EXPECT PREVAILING VFR WITH
INTERMITTENT MVFR CONDS AND IFR CONDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE AFTER 17/15Z AND AREAS OF MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS WILL PERSIST.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...THE REGIONS MORE AFFECTED BY RECENT RAINFALL...ONLY
NEEDS ONE OR TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL TO SEE A QUICK RISES IN RIVERS
AND TRIBUTARIES ACROSS THESE AREAS...MAINLY CLOSE TO THE SAN JUAN
METROPOLITAN AREA...WHICH INCLUDES RIO PIEDRAS RIVER...HATO REY
RIVER AND ANY CREEKS AND TRIBUTARIES SURROUNDING THESE AREAS.
ALSO...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE RIO GRANDE DE
MANATI AT LEAST THROUGH 845 AM AST. IN ADDITION...ALTHOUGH RIO
HORMIGUEROS IN SOUTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO IS BELOW FLOOD
STAGE...PEOPLE LIVING OR DRIVING CLOSE TO THIS RIVER AND ITS
TRIBUTARIES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER IN CASE MORE
RAINFALL AFFECT THESE AREAS TODAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...THE TOTAL MONTH TO DATE PRECIPITATION THROUGH NOVEMBER
16 2009 AT WFO SAN JUAN HAS BEEN 8.65 INCHES. THIS IS THE SECOND
WETTEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD SO FAR BY THIS DATE. THE WETTEST
NOVEMBER ON RECORD THROUGH NOVEMBER 16 WAS IN 1950 WITH 9.52
INCHES.

[Gustywind]

Meteo-France have maintained this morning the yellow alert for Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards due to a risk of strong showers and tstorms.

[cycloneye]

Flash Flood Watch extended until late tonight

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
413 AM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-172015-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-091118T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
413 AM AST TUE NOV 17 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* FOR ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND THE UNITED STATES VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* A BOUNDARY BETWEEN MOIST TROPICAL AIR AND COOLER AND RELATIVELY DRIER
AIR TO THE NORTH WILL CONTINUE TO HOVER IN THE VICINITY OF
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. LATER TODAY THIS WILL
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS.
SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE THE FLOODING AND
LANDSLIDE POTENTIAL ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH THE DAY AND
CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT.

* RIVERS WILL BE MORE EASILY FLOODED BY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY DUE TO LIGHT WINDS LEAVING
GREATER AMOUNTS IN SMALLER AREAS AND ENHANCING THE RISK OF
MUDSLIDES. GENERAL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN ONE INCH ARE
EXPECTED...HOWEVER SOME LOCAL AREAS MAY RECEIVE 2 TO 5 INCHES IN
THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE HEAVY
RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

[Gustywind]