Rarely do I like to poke fun at other NWSFOs besides my own ... but I just read this snippet from the afternoon AFD out of Fort Worth:
THE AREA REMAINS IN NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. SURPRISING AMOUNT OF PATTERN AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE
ECMWF AND GFS ON WEDNESDAY. BOTH MODELS PROG AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
MOVING ACROSS NORTH TEXAS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE AMOUNT OF
MOISTURE BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS. GFS IS VERY WET...WITH QPF
GREATER THAN ONE INCH AREAWIDE...WHILE THE ECMWF KEEPS PRECIP
TOTALS LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.
INTRODUCED LOW POPS FOR
THIS PACKAGE AND WILL KEEP ALL PRECIP AS RAIN.
All I have to say is "wow man!" ... when will the Fort Worth office learn? This is the stuff that drives me nuts about my local Austin/San Antonio office. There appears to be no continuity between the early morning AFD and this one. The one from early this morning talked about a possible winter scenario. This one? Nope, nothing. Rain next Wednesday? Haaa! Good luck with that forecast guys. It'll probably be as accurate as last week's "one to two inches of snow on grassy surfaces."
