Florida Weather

[NDG]

This current heatwave with barely a cloud acros the sky across central FL will be short lived, trough coming across TX today will push enough east to weaken this 594 mid level ridge or push out of the way, looks like a good chance of afternoon thunderstorms coming up for the Peninsula later during the week, a true start to the rainy season probably.

[AdamFirst]

Absolute scorcher here today. PWS near me measured 95 degrees at around 1:30 this afternoon with a constant south-southeast breeze. Due to our location on the peninsula, thats pretty much a land breeze.

[jinftl]

Jumped right to peak summer heat today across the state.

High temps today (5/2/10):

BROOKSVILLE 93
CROSS CITY 91
DAYTONA BEACH 93
FORT MYERS 93
FORT MYERS / SW REG AP 92
GAINESVILLE 94
JACKSONVILLE 91
LEESBURG 92
NAPLES 91
ORLANDO INTL 91
ORLANDO EXEC 91
PUNTA GORDA 92
SANFORD 94
SARASOTA / BRADENTON 92
ST. PETERSBURG 91
ST. PETERSBURG/CLEARWATER 91
TAMPA 90
WINTER HAVEN 94


Not to be outdone, some low temps this morning:

KEY WEST 80
MIAMI (AIRPORT) 79
MARATHON 78
WEST KENDALL 77

[jaxfladude]

Jumped right to peak summer heat today across the state.

High temps today (5/2/10):

BROOKSVILLE 93
CROSS CITY 91
DAYTONA BEACH 93
FORT MYERS 93
FORT MYERS / SW REG AP 92
GAINESVILLE 94
JACKSONVILLE 91

LEESBURG 92
NAPLES 91
ORLANDO INTL 91
ORLANDO EXEC 91
PUNTA GORDA 92
SANFORD 94
SARASOTA / BRADENTON 92
ST. PETERSBURG 91
ST. PETERSBURG/CLEARWATER 91
TAMPA 90
WINTER HAVEN 94


Not to be outdone, some low temps this morning:

KEY WEST 80
MIAMI (AIRPORT) 79
MARATHON 78
.
WEST KENDALL 77

I miss the cold already

[JonathanBelles]

***State of Emergency*** FL Gov. Crist has just issued a state of emergency for coastal counties from Escambia Co. (Pensacola) to Sarasota Co. in preparation for the oil slick moving closer to the FL coastline from the Deepwater Horizon disaster.

http://www.floridadisaster.org/eoc/Pres ... er-100.pdf

[psyclone]

i think the extension of the state of emergency is unjustified and only serves to panic a portion of the coast unlikely to experience a big hit. IMO, it's going to be tough to bring oil to the shore from the big bend down the west coast. a lack of currents and the mean wind direction this time of year doesn't favor it. i would be far more concerned for the keys up the east coast to daytona because once this gets into the fast lane that is the loop current that's where it's going.

[jaxfladude]

Bless those impacted by this disaster.

[psyclone]

the gulf temp in the tampa bay area has gone from the mid 50's during the first week of march to 80 in the first week of may, an astonishing recovery.

[Sanibel]

The seabreeze boundary has established pushing up a few scattered thunderstorms. Nothing like the peak season, but enough to constitute a rainy season pattern.


I think the dry season is finally getting a breather out here with no rain. We finally escaped that constant rain pattern.

[jinftl]

Blazing hot Mother's Day across South Florida, especially in the western suburbs. Temps near or at record highs for the date.

Maximum temps this afternoon (from weather stations on Wunderground, county in parentheses):

Westwood Lake/Snapper Creek (Miami-Dade): 100.6F
Oakland Park (Broward): 100.0F
South Miami (Miami-Dade): 100.0F (also listed as 100.0F for South Miami on NWS Miami Current Weather Summary)
Coral Springs (Broward): 99.7F
Palm Beach Gardens (Palm Beach): 97.0F
Boynton Beach (Palm Beach): 97.0F
Kendale Lakes (Miami-Dade): 96.6F
Miramar (Broward): 96.0F
Miami Int'l Airport (Miami-Dade): 94F (record for date = 93F)
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood Int'l Airport (Broward): 93F (dropped to 86F last hour with the winds turning onshore)

[AdamFirst]

A different a hundred miles or so makes...

82 degrees, beautiful crisp north wind here. Yesterday was brutal, today is alot better.

[Patrick99]

I was out biking near Markham Park in Broward.....it *must* have been near 100 out there. Really surprised no convection got going, with that kind of daytime heating, even given the dry mid layer.

Looks like declarations of an early rainy season were perhaps a little premature. The forecast for the entire week does not look very rainy season-like, dry with strong easterly flow, highs of 83, and no convection. Classic dry season pattern, IMO.

[jinftl]

I was on I-595 in Broward where it merges with I-75 and the Sawgrass Expressway about 1pm today. Granted it is a car temperature reading so it may not be completely spot-on with what it says....but i was showing a 101 reading for a good 20 minute stretch of highway driving. Dropped back to 97 deg when i exited the Sawgrass and started heading east on Sunrise Blvd.

The heat today was nothing short of blazing.....plenty of sun, not a hint of thunderstorms.

I was out biking near Markham Park in Broward.....it *must* have been near 100 out there. Really surprised no convection got going, with that kind of daytime heating, even given the dry mid layer.

Looks like declarations of an early rainy season were perhaps a little premature. The forecast for the entire week does not look very rainy season-like, dry with strong easterly flow, highs of 83, and no convection. Classic dry season pattern, IMO.

[JonathanBelles]

looks like rain chances will be on the rise starting Sunday night. At the same time the winds will be shifting to a favorable east coast sea breeze collision. This leaves the west coast out again. :X

[Patrick99]

Something tells me that the rain forecast for early this week is going to be a bust.

Even though it's cloudy and extremely muggy out, NWS Miami still mentioned a mid-level inversion hanging on, and only 20% chance for today. For how muggy it is, I don't know how we could fail to wring some rain out....

[JonathanBelles]

Storms are popping today! NWS Tampa Bay has a 30% chance out for the area for this afternoon, but coverage is 40-50% for some counties right now. West Coast Sea Breeze is popping nicely.

[psyclone]

yeah there's some pretty good cells out there, one of which is approaching my location from the south. it's getting dark and thundering now. a very nice mid june preview.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Wind Gust to 52 mph at Tampa Vandenburgh Airport in a
strong thunderstorm:

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=127

[gatorcane]

yeah there's some pretty good cells out there, one of which is approaching my location from the south. it's getting dark and thundering now. a very nice mid june preview.

Yep saw that earlier today. This could be the best convection chances for Pinellas County for the next several days as there was just enough of an easterly component to the steering to keep the convection along the coast.

Mid-level winds are already in the process of veering more SW ahead of the approaching trough (you can see this by looking at radar loops showing the convection getting pushed away from the West Coast of FL) which will keep the convection in the interior and east portions of FL for the next several days with the main concentration in Southern FL according to NWS Miami:

snippet:

ON MONDAY. MEANWHILE
THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IN THE GULF WILL DEEPEN SOMEWHAT.
GIVEN ALL THESE INGREDIENTS...THE LATEST GUIDANCE INDICATES
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MY
MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE MOST ACTIVE AREA EXPECTED TO BE OVER
THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE PWAT SHOULD BE AROUND 1.9 INCHES WITH THE
WIND PROFILE INDICATING WEAK SHEAR AND LOW WIND SPEEDS. THIS WOULD
INDICATE SOMEWHAT SLOWER STORM SPEEDS WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR
ISOLATED AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

NWS Tampa thinks afternoon T-storms are possible even as far west as the coast. Not sure if that will verify given the steering setup I am seeing.

NWS Tampa acknowledges the better dynamics for storms to the south as well:

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)...
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT INTO SOUTH FL TUESDAY NIGHT AND
ENOUGH DRY AIR SHOULD WORK ITS WAY INTO OUR FORECAST AREA TO ALLOW
FOR AN END TO RAIN CHANCES AFTER MIDNIGHT. BEST RAIN CHANCES ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE TO THE SOUTH WHERE BETTER MOISTURE
PROFILES EXIST CLOSER TO THE DECAYING/STALLED BOUNDARY. TEMPS BOTH
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE AROUND 90 DEGREES AND EVEN GETTING
INTO THE LOWER 90S AT A FEW INLAND LOCATIONS.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

With that said, pretty typical for May as the rainy season typically cranks up in the southern part of the peninsula a bit ahead of points north.

[NDG]

I agree, this definitely looks like the start of our rainy season is here, at least softly.
But I don't think we are going to see the strong start of it as we saw it last year now that El Nino is almost gone. There will be periods of dry wx off and on during the rainy season as a mid level ridge pattern should visit the peninsula more often last year, IMO.
Especially if we do indeed transition to a La Nina ENSO.