Disturbed weather in Eastern Atlantic (Is invest 95L)

[ColinDelia]

[ConvergenceZone]

based on that last Sat picture, the 2nd wave looks like it's at a much more favorable latitude to not recurve....

[ColinDelia]

Lightning associated with PGI-30L (western-most wave) and other African waves moving across the continent

[Vortex]

18Z GFS....

H+54 Very strong ridging to the north..this is why several of the other Globals indicate a wsw motion..


http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_054l.gif

[cycloneye]

18th run in a row by GFS developing this wave

Impressive streak by GFS.

78 hours.

[cycloneye]

96 hours.

[ConvergenceZone]

Let's see where the new runs place the 2nd wave at the end of the run...

[cycloneye]

120 hours.

[gatorcane]

Look at that trough north of this system. Pretty Impressive for this time of year!

[cycloneye]

144 hours.

[cycloneye]

162 hours. Here it goes to fishland and here comes #2.

[cycloneye]

180 hours. From now on I will be posting at the long range models thread to follow #2.

[Vortex]

#2 is the one I think will make it much further west...looks to move off the coast of Africa late this week..

[gatorcane]

Looks like both head to fishland. There is little ridging across the Atlantic.

[hurricaneCW]

Yep things look safe for the east coast. I guess all that worry in the preseason was just a bunch of nonsense. That trough looks super powerful and both storms will recurve well east of 60W. Although now I'm thinking all Cape Verde storms will recurve well east of the east coast, I'm still waiting to see if an actual storm forms.

[Aquawind]

I asked for this wave designation concept a couple weeks ago. I have not been following every thread of late and did read back a few pages to no avail. Where is the PGI-30L designation coming from and is this going to continue for all waves we track?

[cycloneye]

I asked for this wave designation concept a couple weeks ago. I have not been following every thread of late and did read back a few pages to no avail. Where is the PGI-30L designation coming from and is this going to continue for all waves we track?

Last night another member asked the same question. Is a new concept to track tropical waves. At link you will have the complete explanation.

http://met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/marsupial.html

Another link that goes to PGI-30L where you can see many tools that they have to track a particular wave.

http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/PGI30L.html

[tolakram]

I guess all that worry in the preseason was just a bunch of nonsense.

Nothing was ever said about the ridging. What was said is storms are more likely to form more west, similar to 2005, where they are likely to impact the US more often. There was nothing said about the 2 or 3 CV storms, which are usually, but not always, recurvers. Sorry, but I'm sick and tired of reading this nonsense, which is obviously directed at forecasters and probably simple anger that this storm won't tear up your backyard.

[Aquawind]

I asked for this wave designation concept a couple weeks ago. I have not been following every thread of late and did read back a few pages to no avail. Where is the PGI-30L designation coming from and is this going to continue for all waves we track?

Last night another member asked the same question. Is a new concept to track tropical waves. At link you will have the complete explanation.

http://met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/marsupial.html

Another link that goes to PGI-30L where you can see many tools that they have to track a particular wave.

http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/PGI30L.html

EXCELLENT!!! I hope we continue this!!

[hurricaneCW]

I guess all that worry in the preseason was just a bunch of nonsense.

Nothing was ever said about the ridging. What was said is storms are more likely to form more west, similar to 2005, where they are likely to impact the US more often. There was nothing said about the 2 or 3 CV storms, which are usually, but not always, recurvers. Sorry, but I'm sick and tired of reading this nonsense, which is obviously directed at forecasters and probably simple anger that this storm won't tear up your backyard.

Relax I was being sarcastic about that statement. I know how these systems work and I do know that the real season has just begun. All I want is a system to track, that's it, a harmless system to track.