ATL: Ex-Hurricane DANIELLE - Discussion

[lester]

why does the NHC keep screwing up on intensity forecast they said it wouldnt go beyond cat 2 and right now it looks like it will be a 3 by tomorrow.

They are forecasting Danielle to become a major hurricane.

INITIAL 24/0300Z 15.6N 43.2W 75 KT
12HR VT 24/1200Z 16.7N 45.0W 90 KT
24HR VT 25/0000Z 18.3N 47.5W 100 KT
36HR VT 25/1200Z 20.1N 49.9W 100 KT
48HR VT 26/0000Z 22.2N 52.0W 100 KT
72HR VT 27/0000Z 25.5N 55.5W 95 KT
96HR VT 28/0000Z 28.0N 57.5W 95 KT
120HR VT 29/0000Z 31.0N 59.0W 95 KT

they have changed the intensity several times over the last few days

As they usually do for developing systems. This is no different.

[Dean4Storms]

I do see the ridge centered near 60W beginning to back down on its eastern periphery as the ULL drops SSW. Although the ULL looks to be weakening.

[abajan]

Actually, judging by how well it has been developing lately, I wouldn't rule out Danielle becoming a major by the next advisory.

[Ivanhater]

She can see

[Brent]

She can see

Pinhole eye?

[SouthFloridawx]

I was really surprised to see that. Looks like a pinhole eye... And that buzz-saw appearance.

[Brent]

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[ConvergenceZone]

Yep, getting that buzzsaw look. This is what I've finally looked forward to tracking all year, and it's finally here...... I think it even can take a run at a cat 4. I don't think that's out of the question.....

[cycloneye]

There is the pinnhole eye.

[MGC]

Now that Danielle has opened her eye she should be easy to track on satellite.....good lookin hurricane might become an major earlier than forecast.....MGC

[ConvergenceZone]

:uarrow:There is the pinnhole eye.

Yep, our first major in the making.....

[SouthFloridawx]

Too bad we don't have recon in there now. I bet we'd find a stronger system that is estimated.

[ConvergenceZone]

Too bad we don't have recon in there now. I bet we'd find a stronger system that is estimated.

I agree with you, this has really exploded the past several hours.....

[dixiebreeze]

How will this pattern influence steering of Danielle?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/natl/flash-wv.html

[hurricanefloyd5]

yeah there is an eye now LOL

[cycloneye]

:uarrow:There is the pinnhole eye.

Yep, our first major in the making.....

As you said, this is what we were waiting for, a buzzsaw hurricane that tracks in open sea, and also racking up the ACE numbers for the Atlantic.

[RedWall]

Is there a good radar loop that shows the last day or so(or where I could find one)? Thx very much.

[MGC]

Should be upgraded to near cat-2 based on satellite presentation IMO.....MGC

[Weatherfreak000]

Cat 5 Must be a possibility taking into account Danielle's appearance now. Spectacular.