Ivanhater wrote:Canadian has a set up of hitting the SE coast and several Euro ensembles have it hitting the SE coast as well.
When you say SE coast are you referring to Florida to NC range?
SFT
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Ivanhater wrote:Canadian has a set up of hitting the SE coast and several Euro ensembles have it hitting the SE coast as well.
SouthFLTropics wrote:Ivanhater wrote:Canadian has a set up of hitting the SE coast and several Euro ensembles have it hitting the SE coast as well.
When you say SE coast are you referring to Florida to NC range?
SFT
fasterdisaster wrote:If some of these models verify then Bermuda could be absolutely devastated.
Aric Dunn wrote:Has anyone actually looked at the 12Z Euro VS the 00z. the ridge quite a bit stronger this run at 120-144hours and the trough instead of heading to eastern canada lifts NE over hudson bay. similar to the CMC.
open both links in seperate tabs and toggle between them.. you can see the trough lift out instead of digging and the ridge building north of IGor
12Z
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-op ... =Animation
00z
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-op ... =Animation
Vortex wrote:At times very powerful storms can create their own environment and often the track their on carries that momentum and hard turns are less likely...
dixiebreeze wrote:Vortex wrote:At times very powerful storms can create their own environment and often the track their on carries that momentum and hard turns are less likely...
Gilbert comes to mind as an example.
Ivanhater wrote:Canadian has a set up of hitting the SE coast and several Euro ensembles have it hitting the SE coast as well.
Ivanhater wrote:Canadian has a set up of hitting the SE coast and several Euro ensembles have it hitting the SE coast as well.
Blown Away wrote:Ivanhater wrote:Canadian has a set up of hitting the SE coast and several Euro ensembles have it hitting the SE coast as well.
I see nothing in the NHC track that would suggest they are considering the EURO ensembles.
Code: Select all
587
WHXX01 KWBC 130033
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0033 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE IGOR (AL112010) 20100913 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100913 0000 100913 1200 100914 0000 100914 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 17.7N 47.3W 18.2N 49.6W 18.5N 51.7W 18.9N 53.4W
BAMD 17.7N 47.3W 18.0N 49.2W 18.6N 50.9W 19.5N 52.3W
BAMM 17.7N 47.3W 18.0N 49.4W 18.5N 51.1W 19.2N 52.6W
LBAR 17.7N 47.3W 18.2N 49.3W 18.8N 51.2W 19.6N 53.4W
SHIP 130KTS 138KTS 135KTS 134KTS
DSHP 130KTS 138KTS 135KTS 134KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100915 0000 100916 0000 100917 0000 100918 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 19.6N 54.7W 21.9N 57.1W 24.2N 60.2W 26.8N 62.6W
BAMD 20.7N 53.8W 22.9N 57.4W 25.3N 60.6W 27.2N 64.5W
BAMM 20.2N 54.0W 22.5N 57.0W 24.8N 60.0W 27.2N 63.0W
LBAR 20.4N 55.4W 22.3N 59.4W 25.2N 62.9W 28.3N 66.2W
SHIP 131KTS 127KTS 117KTS 107KTS
DSHP 131KTS 127KTS 117KTS 107KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.7N LONCUR = 47.3W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 17.7N LONM12 = 44.9W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 17.6N LONM24 = 41.9W
WNDCUR = 130KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 85KT
CENPRS = 935MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 270NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 140NM RD34SE = 110NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 130NM
fasterdisaster wrote:If some of these models verify then Bermuda could be absolutely devastated.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 44 guests