Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

[ROCK]

it sits in the carib for 3 days before lifting out....doesnt seem logical...but hey it saw it at 216hr.....it aint pushing it out.....

[ROCK]

look what the NOGAPS has at 96...

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[Ivanhater]

Finally up to the Georgia/South Carolina border

[kohlejgreene]

someone going to tell me that with all these lows in the carib not one is going to develop....

whats the web for this gfs model

[ROCK]

that lifts out of Panama....that might be a phantom TC though....interesting...

120

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

[kohlejgreene]

Wilma track this go round

i want the link for this run inpartic.

[Ivanhater]

That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.

[South Texas Storms]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... el_m.shtml
here it is kohlejgreene

[SFLcane]

Wilma track this go round

I'd say more like hurricane king....again this is still way out but with all the octane down there its worth keeping tabs on.

[boca]

I wonder if this system forms on its own or does it get a spark from the east.

[ROCK]

That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.

they might be on to something more immediate in the short term...that whole area right is fermenting like a good dark beer....

[Ivanhater]

That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.

they might be on to something more immediate in the short term...that whole area right is fermenting like a good dark beer....

Tonight's canadian is still on it..someone might want to make another thread for this one

[ROCK]

That is what the Canadian showed last night Rock..it is a different system but indicative of some of the globals wanting to pop something out of the NW Caribbean with all the lowering pressure.

they might be on to something more immediate in the short term...that whole area right is fermenting like a good dark beer....

Tonight's canadian is still on it..someone might want to make another thread for this one

as long as they dont call it a pouch.... someone start one.....

[Ivanhater]

00Z Nogaps

180 hours...SW of Jamaica

[SouthFLTropics]

it sits in the carib for 3 days before lifting out....doesnt seem logical...but hey it saw it at 216hr.....it aint pushing it out.....

That doesn't seem that far fetched to me...Didn't Wilma camp out over Cozumel for quite some time before turning towards the North and then NE towards FLA?

SFT

[ROCK]

it sits in the carib for 3 days before lifting out....doesnt seem logical...but hey it saw it at 216hr.....it aint pushing it out.....

That doesn't seem that far fetched to me...Didn't Wilma camp out over Cozumel for quite some time before turning towards the North and then NE towards FLA?

SFT

that high centered where its at doesnt make sense for it to sit for 3 days IMO....

[Ivanhater]

00z Canadian..South Florida 240 hours



entire run

http://www.canadianweather.org/models/gem00.php

[Ivanhater]

This phantom cane has the strongest support I have ever seen

All models are now on board with development in the NW Caribbean. Still ten days away, so track is gonna swing back and forth but development is likely imo.

[ROCK]

agree this one at 240 is at the Yucatan....will have to see tomorrow if it delays it or pushes this out into the GOM or fires it off like a Wilma track....

[Brent]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 18 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 530 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...ON
TROPICAL STORM JULIA...LOCATED ABOUT 1525 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE AZORES ...AND ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL...LOCATED INLAND OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL MEXICO ABOUT 75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUEBLA.

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR SOMEWHAT CONDUCIVE
FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE