ATL: Remnants of PAULA - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Recon is heading into the system right now so we will get a good indication soon where this is at.
Also looks like the core is starting to get close enough for the Cancun radar to see just the first part of the NW eyewall...
Also looks like the core is starting to get close enough for the Cancun radar to see just the first part of the NW eyewall...
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Hurakan, yeah that IR isn't nearly as good as it looks like on the Microwave/Vis iamgery...I'd imagine the dry air is causing a few issues right now still on the strength of the convection...
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
no question, Paula is definitely taking a little beating by ingesting the dry air surrounding her within the NW Caribbean. We will see what Recon finds shortly, but looking at IR right now, I would not be surprised if the system may be downgraded back to 65 mph T.S. on the next advisory.
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- Bocadude85
- Category 5
- Posts: 2991
- Age: 38
- Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
- Location: Honolulu,Hi
Re:
northjaxpro wrote:no question, Paula is definitely taking a little beating by ingesting the dry air surrounding her within the NW Caribbean. We will see what Recon finds shortly, but looking at IR right now, I would not be surprised if the system may be downgraded back to 65 mph T.S. on the next advisory.
Still a hurricane as of the 11am advisory.. discussion says 65kts could be a little conservative.
0 likes
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: Re:
Bocadude85 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:no question, Paula is definitely taking a little beating by ingesting the dry air surrounding her within the NW Caribbean. We will see what Recon finds shortly, but looking at IR right now, I would not be surprised if the system may be downgraded back to 65 mph T.S. on the next advisory.
Still a hurricane as of the 11am advisory.. discussion says 65kts could be a little conservative.
O.K. So, they kept it at hurricane status, but to me it is barely one at this time. The dry air is beginning to take its toll on the cyclone.
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
we've had November-like weather for the entire month of October thus far and it shows no sign of abating anytime soon. typically tropical cyclones encounter tough sledding once they leave the caribbean in such a pattern and i think paula will be absolutely evicerated should she attempt to head toward florida as wxman's map shows. evidently this year november has 61 days. talk about a get out of jail free card...
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
0 likes
- Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
Yeah the track is very uncertain still the models still are struggling to get to grips with this system, the strength probably will be quite key to this set-up.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- petit_bois
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 227
- Joined: Tue Jun 22, 2010 12:04 pm
- Location: Petit Bois Island Mississippi
Low confidence on the track but high confidence on the sheer in the latter part of the forcast....
0 likes
Resident of the Atlantic Basin's Major Hurricane Hit Capital!
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
- Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
Re:
HURAKAN wrote:http://img121.imageshack.us/img121/9931/goes14312010285u93omx.jpg
eye peeking out
Is there enough convection to support an eye right now? Cloud tops have been warming in these last few frames:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-wv.html
0 likes
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
There's definitely a hurricane shield over CONUS this year.
Best form yet but warming.
Wobble west towards Yucatan.
Best form yet but warming.
Wobble west towards Yucatan.
Last edited by Sanibel on Tue Oct 12, 2010 10:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
- petit_bois
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 227
- Joined: Tue Jun 22, 2010 12:04 pm
- Location: Petit Bois Island Mississippi
Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
Wow...
Hurricane in the NW Crib. Possible eye forming. Possible intesnification. Recon heading in.
And most everyone on the board has abandoned her. Where did everyone go?
Hurricane in the NW Crib. Possible eye forming. Possible intesnification. Recon heading in.
And most everyone on the board has abandoned her. Where did everyone go?
0 likes
Resident of the Atlantic Basin's Major Hurricane Hit Capital!
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
- AdamFirst
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2491
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2008 10:54 am
- Location: Port Saint Lucie, FL
Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
petit_bois wrote:Wow...
Hurricane in the NW Crib. Possible eye forming. Possible intesnification. Recon heading in.
And most everyone on the board has abandoned her. Where did everyone go?
"Florida" has been taken out of the equation
0 likes
Dolphins Marlins Canes Golden Panthers HEAT
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024
- AdamFirst
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2491
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2008 10:54 am
- Location: Port Saint Lucie, FL
Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
kevin wrote:I predict this dissipates by tonight.
No chance.
0 likes
Dolphins Marlins Canes Golden Panthers HEAT
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 7183
- Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
- Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
- Contact:
Re:
[quote="HURAKAN"]C6SE7 - MARITIME-ship
Tuesday Oct. 12 - 13:00 UTC
Wind: ENE at 51 mph
Pressure: 1013 mb
Weather: Mostly clear
Wave Height: 7 ft
Sea Surface Temp: 84.2°F
that whole report looks suspicious except for the sst
Tuesday Oct. 12 - 13:00 UTC
Wind: ENE at 51 mph
Pressure: 1013 mb
Weather: Mostly clear
Wave Height: 7 ft
Sea Surface Temp: 84.2°F
that whole report looks suspicious except for the sst
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests