WPAC: MEGI (1013/15W) - Tropical Depression

[euro6208]

i think it will make landfall in the next 6 hours as a category 5

so according to senorpepr, recon will leave guam in about 8 minutes

[CrazyC83]

I wish the WMO would step in and try to convince agencies elsewhere to have Recon as well...the JMA would likely be responsible for the WPAC, although PAGASA could help out.

[expat2carib]

I am so excited about Megi. I really wish this was headed to Guam instead.

If so.... Where would you be? (on the beach?)...Where would you hide? (In a non protected home?).....What would you drink in the next month or so? (the 2 cokes you have in the fridge?).....What would you eat?.....(the 2 tins you bought yesterday?)

Don't be so ignorant to wish a monster like this over your head.

All my hope is that the people encountering this monster have the strength and luck to survive. This is a devastating TC.

[Ntxw]

What a spectacular storm, one for us weather enthusiasts to study well. God bless anyone/anything in it's path. Hopefully everyone's taken shelter or left by now...

[DanieleItalyRm]

.SUPERTYPHOON MEGI
. CAT 5
.Venti di 150 nodi - raffiche 190 nodi (287-352 Km/h)
.Onde di 15 metri
.893Hpa
.Ormai prossimo al landfall.. si sposta verso ovest a 10 nodi (18 Km/h).

[CrazyC83]

17/2030 UTC 17.5N 123.8E T7.5/7.5 MEGI -- West Pacific

[JTE50]

I am so excited about Megi. I really wish this was headed to Guam instead.

If so.... Where would you be? (on the beach?)...Where would you hide? (In a non protected home?).....What would you drink in the next month or so? (the 2 cokes you have in the fridge?).....What would you eat?.....(the 2 tins you bought yesterday?)

Don't be so ignorant to wish a monster like this over your head.

All my hope is that the people encountering this monster have the strength and luck to survive. This is a devastating TC.

Lots of safe places on Guam. Houses are much stronger for starters. I's stay at the Ramada on ypao road

[euro6208]

i hope recon gets inside Megi before it makes landfall

[JTE50]

From pagasa an hour ago: AS OF 7:00 AM TODAY (MONDAY, 18 OCTOBER 2010), TYPHOON “JUAN” WAS LOCATED AT 170 KM EAST OF TUGUEGARAO CITY (17.5°N, 123.4°E).
9 minutes ago via web

[supercane]

JMA 00Z sat fix bulletin keeps Dvorak CI at T7.5.

849
TCNA21 RJTD 180000
CCAA 18000 47644 MEGI(1013) 17175 11233 11434 275// 92608=

Again, while there are 2 two flights left in ITOP, these are to investigate the cold wake behind Megi, not for recon. It would be nice if they do try to penetrate the core, but that is not scheduled.

[DanieleItalyRm]

Webcam landfall?

[euro6208]

Megi is the 1st Super storm of this decade and many more to come in the WPAC

[CrazyC83]

At the current track, it will likely come ashore near the community of Palanan, population about 20,000 in the municipality (town looks to be about 5,000).

[dexterlabio]

TPPN11 PGTW 180009

A. SUPER TYPHOON 15W (MEGI)

B. 17/2330Z

C. 17.5N

D. 123.3E

E. ONE/MTSAT

F. T7.0/7.5/S0.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/06HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI

H. REMARKS: 03A/PBO EYE/ANMTN. A 27NM WMG EYE IS SURROUNDED BY A
WHT RING YIELDING AN EYE NUMBER OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 FOR AN EYE
ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD A DT OF 7.0. FT BASED ON DT. PT AND MET
AGREE.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
17/1817Z 17.4N 124.1E MMHS
17/2108Z 17.5N 123.9E SSMI
17/2133Z 17.4N 123.9E SSMS


KIENZLE

[srainhoutx]

[euro6208]

During the recon days in the WPAC, many of the typhoons PEAKED after they reached their highest Dvorak T number so although Megi's went down to 7.0 I think she could be at her peak intensity. Example of this is Super Typhoon Tip who's T number went down after reaching over 8.0

[KatDaddy]

Very intense eyewall approaching the coast. I hope everyone is safe

[JTE50]

according to PAGASA Juan (Megi) is about 60 miles off the coast (150km east of Tuguegarao) - at 12mph that's about 5 hours before landfall or 1:30pm local time if my math is right. Tuguegarao is about 30 miles inland. There are some mountains that Megi has to traverse before Tuguegarao.

[dexterlabio]

^I guess maintaining the strength or dropped by 5kts only.

[KatDaddy]

A very intense typhoon Jim. Satellite images are amazing.