2010 Tropical Cyclone Reports

[cycloneye]

Tropical Depression Two and Tropical Storm Fiona reports have been released and are posted on the first page of thread.

[cycloneye]

It will be very interesting to read the reports of many of the systems as there were many twists and turns regarding intensity.For example,the Tomas report should have changes at best track when it was just east of the Windwards as I think it was a bit more stronger than what the advisories had, especially when you see the extensive damage in some of the islands.

Which report(s) are the peeps wanting to see the most?

[Florida1118]

I'd like to see the Julia and Gaston report...Both went against there intensity forecasts.

[Andrew92]

TD 5 report is now up.

-Andrew92

[HURAKAN]

TD 5 report is now up.

-Andrew92

Very short-lived system. May have not even been identified had it formed away from a coastal area. RECON played a crucial role, like with TD 2.

[cycloneye]

You can see all the reports as they are released on the first post of thread. They are doing the easy ones first.

[CrazyC83]

You can see all the reports as they are released on the first post of thread. They are doing the easy ones first.

Makes sense since they can get the most done in the quickest. Bonnie and Gaston seem like good candidates for the next ones.

[cycloneye]

EPAC Tropical Storm Georgette report has been released and posted at the first post of thread. There are only 3 EPAC reports left (Hurricane Darby,Tropical Depression Eight-E and Tropical Depression Eleven-E)

[neospaceblue]

I can't wait to see Earl's report. I honestly want to know what it was when it hit Nova Scotia, due to the conflicts between the NHC and the CHC, with the NHC saying it was a tropical storm, but the CHC saying that it was still a hurricane.

[Andrew92]

Lisa is now up.

-Andrew92

[CrazyC83]

Gaston appears to be about to be posted (blue-linked but not yet showing up).

No real surprises in Lisa, although 982mb seems quite low for the pressure given its really small size (I would guess if it was 75 kt, it was around 990mb - 982mb would be about 85-90 kt given its size).

[CrazyC83]

As for the Hermine/11E post, they would still be properly named separately as 11E became post-tropical for a while. Also note in the KMZ file they bumped Hermine to 60 kt (correct IMO).

[cycloneye]

TS Gaston report is at first post of thread. Here in Puerto Rico, we were worried by it as the track was going to be a threat,but resulted in a wimpy system.

[CrazyC83]

Notice in the report it says it is possible that Gaston was never stronger than a TD (a named tropical depression would be a huge "oops").

[cycloneye]

Notice in the report it says it is possible that Gaston was never stronger than a TD (a named tropical depression would be a huge "oops").

This part of the report caught my eye about why it never was a tropical storm.

The 35-kt estimated peak intensity of Gaston is based on a blend of subjective Dvorak classifications and ASCAT data. The peak intensity is lower than suggested by Dvorak alone because ASCAT data indicated that those estimates, in general, were too high. The ASCAT data suggest a peak intensity of 30-35 kt, and it is possible that Gaston never attained tropical storm strength. The time of the analyzed peak was also shifted forward in time from operational estimates to better conform with the ASCAT data.

[Andrew92]

Re. Gaston possibly not being a tropical storm, it wouldn't be the first time it's happened if it had been posthumously downgraded:

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/general/lib/li ... s/1966.pdf
Scroll to page 10, lower right corner

Even wondered why it goes from Judith to Lois with no K storm in 1966? Because one other supposed storm, Kendra, was determined not to even be a tropical storm! Could Gaston be another one of these in a future post-analysis, ala HURDAT?

-Andrew92

[wxman57]

They admit Gaston probably wasn't a TS but keep the peak winds at 35kts? Why? It appears the 2010 count was 18/12/5 and not 19/12/5.

[HURAKAN]

They admit Gaston probably wasn't a TS but keep the peak winds at 35kts? Why? It appears the 2010 count was 18/12/5 and not 19/12/5.

Seems like Gaston had no gas!! LOL



First image as a tropical storm based on Best Track ... I give Gaston the benefit of the doubt although I wouldn't be surprised to find out it was just a depression.

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Otto report is up and posted at first post of thread.

[caneflyer]

They admit Gaston probably wasn't a TS but keep the peak winds at 35kts? Why? It appears the 2010 count was 18/12/5 and not 19/12/5.

The report says possibly, not probably. Important distinction.