Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Ivanhater]

Looks like NWS New Orleans will be putting up a winter wx watch today for SE Louisiana and South Mississippi

...WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI BEGINNING TONIGHT...

A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...COMBINED
WITH A COLD AIRMASS CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION...IS EXPECTED TO
LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF WINTRY WEATHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI BEGINNING TONIGHT AND
LASTING THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT.

LIGHT SLEET COULD DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHSHORE
...RIVER PARISHES...AND THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST. ACCUMULATION
OF SLEET IN THIS AREA IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO
IMPACT TRAVEL. FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND WEST...OVER THE
NORTHSHORE...BATON ROUGE METRO...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...A MIX
OF LIGHT SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT. ANY ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT...BUT TRAVEL COULD BE
IMPACTED...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGER IMPACT FOR
THE BATON ROUGE METRO...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHSHORE BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING. THIS WINTER
WEATHER EVENT SHOULD PERSIST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...AND WILL
POTENTIALLY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS THESE
AREAS. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR BY THE END OF THE EVENT.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TODAY.


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[BigB0882]

I'm just waiting for the winter weather advisory and wondering if schools will be canceled tomorrow out of precaution or if they will just cancel Friday. I know LSU wont cancel unless you need skates to get to class, they hate to cancel. I do expect them to cancel Friday, however.

[Brent]

I can't believe Pensacola has a low of 34 and I do too with rain(200 miles north!). BMX has totally taken out any mention of snow.

[Stormcenter]

Here comes the moisture.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

[tugreenie]

Well I have to get off here and get to bed. My wife thinks I'm retarded staying up this late looking at weather. Guess will see you guys in the A.M. and see what surprises are in store for us. BigB don't let us down. Keep wishing that 6-8 in of snow for us. Don't let me down. I want the maps to show it a little colder with the same amount of snow for us come tomorrow.

My wife says the same about me! I still think the freezing precip. will be alot further south and east

[BigB0882]

Our high today is supposed to be 43. Yeah, unless the temp books it up by over 10 degrees in the next 2-3 hours, I doubt it. We are sitting at 32 right now. Tomorrow the local met calls for 38 for a high. Talking about icing beginning in the afternoon and going through the night. Almost every thing I read says something different, I don't think any single model or forecast is in agreement with regards to timing, temp, amounts, etc. No wonder schools never decide to close until the very last minute. I can't blame anyone, though, as it seems we are right on the edge so it is almost impossible to call. Might get all rain, might get all ice if temps bust as they often do when we have constant cloud cover.

[Stormcenter]

I'm thinking the same thing. We shall see.

Well I have to get off here and get to bed. My wife thinks I'm retarded staying up this late looking at weather. Guess will see you guys in the A.M. and see what surprises are in store for us. BigB don't let us down. Keep wishing that 6-8 in of snow for us. Don't let me down. I want the maps to show it a little colder with the same amount of snow for us come tomorrow.

My wife says the same about me! I still think the freezing precip. will be alot further south and east

[BigB0882]

GFS text still shows all rain with only a little sleet (.05) at the very beginning of the precip. Temps are a steady 33 so any small shift in temps changes the entire outlook.

This is for Baton Rouge.

[BigB0882]

By the way, local news is saying certain stations around New Orleans has reported flurries and/or sleet this morning. Precip has been moving through that area.

[northjaxpro]

By the way, local news is saying certain stations around New Orleans has reported flurries and/or sleet this morning. Precip has been moving through that area.

The NWS office out of New Orleans just updated their latest zone forecast to mention occasional flurries /light snow or sleet for this afternoon.

Here it is:

This Afternoon: Occasional snow and sleet. High near 41. Breezy, with a north wind between 20 and 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: Occasional rain and sleet, mainly before midnight. Low around 35. Breezy, with a north wind around 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

[Pearl River]

Forecast for Pearl River today, just updated:

This Afternoon: Occasional snow and sleet. High near 40. North wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Tonight: Occasional rain and sleet before midnight, then a slight chance of freezing rain and sleet. Low around 33. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

Unfortunately I'm in New Orleans working now.
Pearl River is north of I-12 and just west of I-59

[Ivanhater]

Well Well..12z Euro coming in and it would imply a Deep South snow again for next week, including the Gulf coast

[BigB0882]

I say with so many of us being right on the edge and possibly missing out on this event tomorrow/friday, we deserve a good snow next time!!

[northjaxpro]

It took quite awhile Ivan, but the Tampa NWS office mets have finally acknowledged that the arctic air will be likely coming into the FL peninsula next week. I posted that in the Florida winter thread.

[Ivanhater]

It took quite awhile Ivan, but the Tampa NWS office mets have finally acknowledged that the arctic air will be likely coming into the FL peninsula next week. I posted that in the Florida winter thread.

I saw that. Hopefully this will be the last deep freeze we have in Florida, although I'm not getting my hopes up this winter.

[northjaxpro]

It took quite awhile Ivan, but the Tampa NWS office mets have finally acknowledged that the arctic air will be likely coming into the FL peninsula next week. I posted that in the Florida winter thread.

I saw that. Hopefully this will be the last deep freeze we have in Florida, although I'm not getting my hopes up this winter.

You aren't kidding. Heck, the way this winter has been, I would not be the least bit surprised if we see something brewing even in March.

[BigB0882]

Does the +NAO look like it has a chance to keep all the cold temps in the central US again or is there something different this time around? I just remember the Euro showing the bulk of the cold air being in our area a week or so before and then it all began shifting West. Hoping that doesn't happen again.

[Brent]

Well Well..12z Euro coming in and it would imply a Deep South snow again for next week, including the Gulf coast

Please verify, lol. Wish it wasn't 7-8 days out though...

[Agua]

Saw a few lonely flakes in East Biloxi at noon.

[northjaxpro]

Brent, the model guidance are trending toward something developing along the southern branch of the jet stream and moving east next week. Combined that with the polar jet sending another air mass coming southward next week, we may be seeing another possible winter storm next week through TX and the Deep South.

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