Turtle wrote:*EDIT* Someone already posted the SHV discussion.
Hope to be in some kind of winter watch. I haven't even gotten WWA.
Don't worry, you'll be hiding in your shell before all is said and done!

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Turtle wrote:*EDIT* Someone already posted the SHV discussion.
Hope to be in some kind of winter watch. I haven't even gotten WWA.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA
CURRENTLY OVER THE 4-CORNERS AREA. THIS UPPER TROF WILL MOVE EAST
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY WITH LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION INCREASING
AHEAD OF IT ACROSS EAST TEXAS. THE BEST LARGE SCALE UPWARD FORCING
APPEARS TO ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FORTUNATELY
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE EASY WITH THIS SYSTEM...AS THERMAL
PROFILES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WILL BE ENTIRELY SUB-FREEZING...
FAVORABLE FOR SNOW. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER TROF AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IS MODERATELY HIGH...ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AMONG
SEVERAL OF THE SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND THE WRF ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR NOW...WILL INDICATE HIGHEST POPS AND
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SOUTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX AND GENERALLY EAST OF
I-35. CURRENTLY EXPECTING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OF FLUFFY
SNOWFALL IN THESE AREAS...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS IN THE METROPLEX.
GIVEN THE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. EVEN SO...IT APPEARS THAT ALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL REMAIN BELOW WINTER STORM CRITERIA...SO WILL
LIKELY HAVE TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY SOMETIME TOMORROW.
TEMPS MAY BRIEFLY RISE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ON FRIDAY BUT
WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 20S FRIDAY NIGHT. WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS WARM
SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE FREEZING ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW US TO
THAW OUT FOR A DAY OR SO BEFORE THE NEXT SHOT OF COLD AIR ARRIVES
ON MONDAY. IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT IT WILL BE AS COLD NEXT WEEK AS
IT HAS BEEN THIS WEEK...BUT SHOULD STILL SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
LOW 20S. AS FOR PRECIPITATION...WILL MAINTAIN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA MONDAY AFTN INTO EVENING WITH NEXT
COLD FRONT. LOW LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS THAT BEST MOISTURE AND
HEAVIEST SNOWS WOULD BE WELL WEST OF NORTH TEXAS BUT OVERALL
CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME IS LOW. THE ECMWF HANGS ANOTHER STRONG
PIECE OF ENERGY BACK INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH
A CONSIDERABLY STRONGER SIGNAL FOR WINTRY PRECIP BY WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THE CONSISTENCY OF THIS FEATURE WITHIN THE ECMWF...WILL HAVE
TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY AS WE COULD BE IN STORE FOR MORE SNOWFALL
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.
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Coming to your live from Orange, TX!!!!Brrr..its cold outside
Portastorm wrote:Meh ... things could still change for the worse. We still have 24 hours before the onset of precipitation. But for the record, my kicking cleats are on and I'm lined up to kick the football. Will Lucy show up tomorrow?
Ntxw wrote:It's coming for you Portastorm! At last!!! Fluffy snows! FW has a good discussion on that. HGX will probably get the wetter snow good for snow balls and snowmen.WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA
CURRENTLY OVER THE 4-CORNERS AREA. THIS UPPER TROF WILL MOVE EAST
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY WITH LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION INCREASING
AHEAD OF IT ACROSS EAST TEXAS. THE BEST LARGE SCALE UPWARD FORCING
APPEARS TO ARRIVE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. FORTUNATELY
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE EASY WITH THIS SYSTEM...AS THERMAL
PROFILES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WILL BE ENTIRELY SUB-FREEZING...
FAVORABLE FOR SNOW. OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THE POSITION OF THE
UPPER TROF AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IS MODERATELY HIGH...ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AMONG
SEVERAL OF THE SHORT RANGE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND THE WRF ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR NOW...WILL INDICATE HIGHEST POPS AND
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SOUTHEAST OF THE METROPLEX AND GENERALLY EAST OF
I-35. CURRENTLY EXPECTING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION OF FLUFFY
SNOWFALL IN THESE AREAS...WITH LIGHTER AMOUNTS IN THE METROPLEX.
GIVEN THE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE
SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. EVEN SO...IT APPEARS THAT ALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL REMAIN BELOW WINTER STORM CRITERIA...SO WILL
LIKELY HAVE TO ISSUE A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY SOMETIME TOMORROW.
TEMPS MAY BRIEFLY RISE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING ON FRIDAY BUT
WILL FALL BACK INTO THE 20S FRIDAY NIGHT. WE SHOULD SEE TEMPS WARM
SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE FREEZING ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW US TO
THAW OUT FOR A DAY OR SO BEFORE THE NEXT SHOT OF COLD AIR ARRIVES
ON MONDAY. IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT IT WILL BE AS COLD NEXT WEEK AS
IT HAS BEEN THIS WEEK...BUT SHOULD STILL SEE OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
LOW 20S. AS FOR PRECIPITATION...WILL MAINTAIN A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA MONDAY AFTN INTO EVENING WITH NEXT
COLD FRONT. LOW LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS THAT BEST MOISTURE AND
HEAVIEST SNOWS WOULD BE WELL WEST OF NORTH TEXAS BUT OVERALL
CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME IS LOW. THE ECMWF HANGS ANOTHER STRONG
PIECE OF ENERGY BACK INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...WITH
A CONSIDERABLY STRONGER SIGNAL FOR WINTRY PRECIP BY WEDNESDAY.
GIVEN THE CONSISTENCY OF THIS FEATURE WITHIN THE ECMWF...WILL HAVE
TO MONITOR THIS CLOSELY AS WE COULD BE IN STORE FOR MORE SNOWFALL
ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:What is Lucy, again?
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:What is Lucy, again?
txtiff wrote:Just reading over the last few pages and I see alot of talk of snow again even for the dfw area. When will this reach the dfw area? I am just east of dallas county and how much do you think we will get........anybody??
iorange55 wrote:txtiff wrote:Just reading over the last few pages and I see alot of talk of snow again even for the dfw area. When will this reach the dfw area? I am just east of dallas county and how much do you think we will get........anybody??
Tomorrow night into Friday. Since you're a little east I'd say maybe 2 inches for your area. Could be higher.
Portastorm wrote:Longhornmaniac8 wrote:What is Lucy, again?
Lucy is the personification of having winter weather promised to you, either by a computer model, or a known weather organization ... and then, just when you get your hopes up and excited ... it doesn't happen. Just like when Charlie Brown tries to kick the football and Lucy snatches it away at the last second. See my avatar. I have been using the analogy for years here ... probably much to the dismay of my fellow S2Kers.
iorange55 wrote:Tomorrow night into Friday. Since you're a little east I'd say maybe 2 inches for your area. Could be higher.
iorange55 wrote:txtiff wrote:Just reading over the last few pages and I see alot of talk of snow again even for the dfw area. When will this reach the dfw area? I am just east of dallas county and how much do you think we will get........anybody??
Tomorrow night into Friday. Since you're a little east I'd say maybe 2 inches for your area. Could be higher.
txtiff wrote:Thank you. I thought the temps were going to be above freezing by then???
HockeyTx82 wrote:You think Denton is to far north for anything this time around? It sounds like next week has some potential from that AFD.
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:Portastorm wrote:Longhornmaniac8 wrote:What is Lucy, again?
Lucy is the personification of having winter weather promised to you, either by a computer model, or a known weather organization ... and then, just when you get your hopes up and excited ... it doesn't happen. Just like when Charlie Brown tries to kick the football and Lucy snatches it away at the last second. See my avatar. I have been using the analogy for years here ... probably much to the dismay of my fellow S2Kers.
HAHAHAHA! That's hysterical! And something I'm oh so familiar with. Our plight is similar, Portastorm!
iorange55 wrote:txtiff wrote:Thank you. I thought the temps were going to be above freezing by then???
NWS has a high of 32 for Friday, and it could be a tad cooler than that. Most of the precip will be in the morning around here.
Ntxw wrote:I'm starting to get confused. I think FW is going for snow Monday? Brief cold shot with light snow then using Euro for Weds with the bigger storm. Where is their conservatism?!
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