Texas Winter 2010-2011

Winter Weather Discussion

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Rgv20
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6021 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:31 pm

Ntxw wrote:^ Wow winter storm warning for Brownsville?! What is their criteria for an advisory? Either this storm is really going to deliver or yikes.


Event having at least one hazard meeting or exceeding advisory criteria (below) for at least one of the following precipitation elements:

* Snow: ≥1", in 12 hours
* Sleet: ≥1/2", in 12 hours
* Ice: ≥1/8", no time requirement

Note: snow/sleet accumulation should cover bridges/overpasses


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bro/?n=winteraware

We are delicate to the cold weather......... :froze:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6022 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:33 pm

Thanks RV, I was thinking that the ice probably did it for the warning. You guys stay safe!

Mr Stingy GFS is about to initialize.
Last edited by Ntxw on Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#6023 Postby Cav0 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:34 pm

Is it possible that all of the state will be below freezing at the same time? How many times has that happened before?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6024 Postby Anthony » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:34 pm

EWX:

.UPDATE...
JUST A FEW TWEAKS TO THE SENSIBLE WEATHER GRIDS FOR THIS EVENING
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND SKY COVER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT. AREA RADARS AND SOME SURFACE OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW
FLURRIES AND HAVE KEPT SNOW FLURRIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WHERE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED FOR THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...ONGOING
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST IS ON TRACK. ALL 18Z MODEL RUNS
STILL INDICATED POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF I-35 WHILE THE 00Z NAM IS IN AND DID NOT SHOW MUCH QPF.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6025 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:35 pm

Please Mr. GFS show me something good!
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Re:

#6026 Postby Anthony » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:36 pm

Cav0 wrote:Is it possible that all of the state will be below freezing at the same time? How many times has that happened before?


I saw that happen last year in January, and at least one or two other times before that since I lived here in 2002.
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Re: Re:

#6027 Postby Cav0 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:40 pm

Anthony wrote:
Cav0 wrote:Is it possible that all of the state will be below freezing at the same time? How many times has that happened before?


I saw that happen last year in January, and at least one or two other times before that since I lived here in 2002.
Could we have it in the daylight hours tomorrow? I would think that was more rare.
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Re: Re:

#6028 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:40 pm

Ntxw wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:for real you guys are depressing me


Why would you feel depressed? This has been the best prospects of snow for Houston in long time that's predicted well ahead of time.

but they are making me nervous with the negative chatter :(
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#6029 Postby kb75007 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:41 pm

What is this storm thursday night/friday looking like for us in Dallas? Anyone know anything?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6030 Postby Brandon8181 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:44 pm

Ntxw wrote:Thanks RV, I was thinking that the ice probably did it for the warning. You guys stay safe!

Mr Stingy GFS is about to initialize.

I would really like to see the GFS put something together for next week / trend colder / more precip...
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#6031 Postby WacoWx » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:46 pm

C'mon Waco...lets get lucky tomorrow! :D
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#6032 Postby snow4444 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:46 pm

For DFW it could be anything from one to two inches or less maybe more it all depends about how much moisture is available from the pacific. Less mostiure less acumm. more moisture more accum. It all depends. Let us see what this next round of models say. I like the way they are trending.
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#6033 Postby snow4444 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:48 pm

how do you find the forecast disclaimer?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6034 Postby Brandon8181 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:48 pm

Wow, NAM really backed off on QPF
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Re:

#6035 Postby Brandon8181 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:49 pm

snow4444 wrote:how do you find the forecast disclaimer?


Here it is

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



Just cut and paste it and use it for your forecast.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6036 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:50 pm

Ehh, the 00z GFS is pretty similar to the 18z...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6037 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:52 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Ehh, the 00z GFS is pretty similar to the 18z...


It does have a nice swath for the Brownsville/Corpus area! That should give verification for the winter storm warnings down there.

Mr No still stagnant.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6038 Postby weatherguy425 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:53 pm

Can someone post an image or even a lin kto the GFS snow output?
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#6039 Postby snow4444 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:53 pm

What are youll thoughts for the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#6040 Postby Anthony » Wed Feb 02, 2011 10:56 pm

weatherguy425 wrote:Can someone post an image or even a lin kto the GFS snow output?

Through 39 hours...
Image
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