Texas Winter 2010-2011

Winter Weather Discussion

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goCoogs
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8481 Postby goCoogs » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:08 pm

Either mist or flurries in Jersey Village. I can't tell which. Ice on my car.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8482 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:13 pm

goCoogs wrote:Either mist or flurries in Jersey Village. I can't tell which. Ice on my car.

It was freezing mist when I was in that area a few minutes ago. I was looking for flurries. Nice thin glaze of ice on vehicles, bushes, etc. Roads seem to be in good condition in metro Houston so far.
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#8483 Postby Cuda17 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:14 pm

Tireman4 wrote:Txagwxman,

Eyewitness reports snow in Cypress right now (Grant/Jones).

How can this be? I thought the air column above the clouds was well above freezing?


We've had snowflakes here in Bellville too, but I didn't want to say anything, I was afraid I was seeing things :cheesy:
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#8484 Postby southerngale » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:15 pm

NWS has not mentioned any ice problems for this area, but with all this rain falling and temps dropping quickly this afternoon (just went from 41 to 36 in like 5 min. or less :eek:) and it's supposed to get into the low to mid 20s tonight. With it being so wet and still raining, and the precip stretching to the other side of Houston, I'm not sure if we'll even see the sun today.

I'll be out driving in whatever conditions we have tonight, so I hope the roads are ok. Without any warning, the event wasn't canceled and I must attend. I'm kind of sick and not looking forward to it.
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#8485 Postby KeriCarter » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:26 pm

Heavy snow/sleet combination currently here in Texarkana. Seems to lighten up for 15 minutes or so and then becomes heavy again. Measured around 3" so far with more or less in some spots.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8486 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:38 pm

Light flurries in NW Harris County at this time.
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#8487 Postby JenBayles » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:40 pm

Not one flurry or even drizzle now in Bear Creek.
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#8488 Postby jerryh421 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 2:47 pm

Icy here in Montgomery, hopefully the roads aren't already getting like that too!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8489 Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:41 pm

srainhoutx wrote:Light flurries in NW Harris County at this time.


As I look at the latest RUC sounding for your area, it shows a shallow sub-freezing layer (around 1000ft thick) at the surface and a 8000 ft thick layer of well above-freezing air (into the 40s) just above that surface layer. One would think snow would be impossible with such a sounding. Of course, that depends on if the RUC model sounding is accurate. Nearest RAOB stations are Corpus, Lake Charles, and Longview.

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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8490 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:41 pm

The arctic front came in with vengeance but didn't have much staying power as the last one. Getting to the mid 20s in DFW and balmy! 8-). Looking less and less likely school will get canceled again tomorrow. Roads are a little wet by the dry air sure is doing it's dandy job!

Tonight's (tomorrow) record low is 16. If the forecast temp of 10 holds, we'll break the record for the day. Those are rare in these parts nowadays.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8491 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:46 pm

wxman57 wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Light flurries in NW Harris County at this time.


As I look at the latest RUC sounding for your area, it shows a shallow sub-freezing layer (around 1000ft thick) at the surface and a 8000 ft thick layer of well above-freezing air (into the 40s) just above that surface layer. One would think snow would be impossible with such a sounding. Of course, that depends on if the RUC model sounding is accurate. Nearest RAOB stations are Corpus, Lake Charles, and Longview.

What do you think the odds of us (HGX) having soundings in the future?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8492 Postby Portastorm » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:48 pm

I'm thinking it may be time to "call it" for a winter weather event south of Killeen/Temple for the 2010-11 season. Sure there will be some hard freezes as there always is during March. Possibly a snow/ice threat for DFW remains ... but for my area, I'm thinking we're probably done.

The remainder of February looks pretty nice and the teleconnections do not support any drastic plunges temperature-wise. I'm really thinking this might be it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8493 Postby Ntxw » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:48 pm

Tireman4 wrote:What do you think the odds of us (HGX) having soundings in the future?


Wall_cloud said a few days ago, not likely to happen and he works for the NWS. NYC, Philly, Boston, Chicago, don't have it either along with Houston, so apparently it's a strategic thing.
Last edited by Ntxw on Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#8494 Postby southerngale » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:49 pm

NWS LCH just now issued a Winter Weather Advisory here. Seems kinda late, but what do I know?

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
234 PM CST WED FEB 9 2011

...WINTRY MIX POSSIBLE ACROSS LAKES REGIONS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA
TONIGHT...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...
BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES. AS
TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...RAIN MAY CHANGEOVER TO A MIX OF LIGHT SLEET...
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...OR LIGHT SNOW BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT.

TXZ201-100000-
/O.EXB.KLCH.WW.Y.0003.110209T2100Z-110210T0000Z/
HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LUMBERTON
234 PM CST WED FEB 9 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING.

* TIMING: RAIN MAY BEGIN MIXING WITH FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING
DRIZZLE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS: LITTLE IF ANY ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. A
DUSTING OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS: ANY ICE ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH WATER FROM RAINFALL
WILL FREEZE ONTO BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES THIS EVENING INTO
TONIGHT...CREATING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS OR ICY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...AND USE CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8495 Postby wxman57 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 3:55 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Light flurries in NW Harris County at this time.


As I look at the latest RUC sounding for your area, it shows a shallow sub-freezing layer (around 1000ft thick) at the surface and a 8000 ft thick layer of well above-freezing air (into the 40s) just above that surface layer. One would think snow would be impossible with such a sounding. Of course, that depends on if the RUC model sounding is accurate. Nearest RAOB stations are Corpus, Lake Charles, and Longview.

What do you think the odds of us (HGX) having soundings in the future?


Slim to none. We spoke with the MIC there and there is no funding for the equipment or to pay someone overtime to make the soundings. We're talking about purchasing the equipment to launch our own soundings ($5000 +$250 per sounding). However, we wouldn't necessarily share that with others unless they help cover the cost.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8496 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:01 pm

Portastorm wrote:I'm thinking it may be time to "call it" for a winter weather event south of Killeen/Temple for the 2010-11 season. Sure there will be some hard freezes as there always is during March. Possibly a snow/ice threat for DFW remains ... but for my area, I'm thinking we're probably done.

The remainder of February looks pretty nice and the teleconnections do not support any drastic plunges temperature-wise. I'm really thinking this might be it.


I have June 1st circle on my calender :)

We still have a couple of more nights of freezes for the Rio Grande Valley to contend with.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8497 Postby jasons2k » Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:07 pm

Snow flurries here for the last 45 minutes or so. The RUC sounding must be wrong.....
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#8498 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:09 pm

Wow on the soundings...just wow...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8499 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:11 pm

jasons wrote:Snow flurries here for the last 45 minutes or so. The RUC sounding must be wrong.....


I just passed along the best description I could of what I'm seeing here on the 'local forum'.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#8500 Postby Tejas89 » Wed Feb 09, 2011 4:25 pm

Tonight's (tomorrow) record low is 16. If the forecast temp of 10 holds, we'll break the record for the day. Those are rare in these parts nowadays.


Indeed. If you look over the record books for DFW there aren't many 2000's represented in there, on the low side. Maybe this decade will swing back the other way... I wonder if 10 is reachable with this unexpected "warm up" this afternoon.
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