Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

[TwisterFanatic]

Large Tornado on the ground 5-6 miles south of Kansas, Oklahoma.

[Dave]

TEXAS

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
813 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN COMANCHE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN EASTLAND COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 813 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF GORMAN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO
THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GORMAN AROUND 820 PM CDT...
DE LEON AROUND 845 PM CDT...

THIS WILL IMPACT I-20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 339 AND 346.

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 230109

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0809 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS FAR WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI...NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE GREAT LAKES/OH
VALLEY/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS REGION SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS...

...UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION SWWD TO SWRN TX...
AN EXTENSIVE/BROKEN BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS -- INCLUDING
LARGE/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS -- EXTENDS FROM UPPER MI/WI SWWD INTO THE
TRANSPECOS REGION OF TX AND ADJACENT NRN MEXICO. NRN PORTIONS OF
THE BAND ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT...WITH THE MORE
SRN PORTIONS OF THE BAND INTO OK/TX MORE TIED TO A DRYLINE.

WIDESPREAD STORMS HAVE OVERTURNED THE AIRMASS IN MANY
LOCALES...EFFECTIVELY REDUCING WHAT WAS STRONG INSTABILITY --
PARTICULARLY ACROSS MANY AREAS FROM NRN IL NWD. HOWEVER...STRONG
INSTABILITY /MIXED-LAYER CAPE RANGING FROM 2000 TO 4000 J/KG/
REMAINS FROM CENTRAL MO SWWD TO SWRN TX...AND ANOTHER RESERVOIR OF
MIXED-LAYER CAPE UP TO 2000 J/KG REMAINS ACROSS LOWER MI.

GIVEN FAVORABLE SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THIS
AREA...WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK FROM LOWER MI SWWD TO SWRN TX...AND
WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE RISK FROM THE STL /ST. LOUIS MO/ VICINITY
SWWD INT NWRN AR/NERN OK. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN
THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS...THOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA.


...OH AND TN VALLEYS INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...
TWO CLUSTERS OF STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE ATTM -- ONE
ACROSS NERN INDIANA/NWRN OH/SRN LOWER MI AND THE OTHER CROSSING THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS REGION IN CONJUNCTION WITH AN UPPER SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH. WHILE THESE STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN SLOWLY WITH TIME...WILL
MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THIS AREA FOR MARGINAL HAIL/DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL. FINALLY...ALL HIGH-RES MODELS HINT THAT STORMS NOW
ONGOING ACROSS MO MAY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS AND SHIFT ACROSS MO/NRN AR
AND THE MID MS VALLEY INTO THE OH AND TN VALLEYS OVERNIGHT. WHILE
LESS UNSTABLE AIR IS EVIDENT ACROSS MUCH OF KY AND TN IN THE WAKE OF
EARLIER STORMS NOW IN THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE -- MAINLY FROM SRN INDIANA/WRN
KY/WRN TN WWD.

..GOSS.. 05/23/2011

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 0116Z (9:16PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
816 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHERN ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 816 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL ROTATION...A
TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR COULD FORM AT ANY TIME.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
COLCORD...WATTS...WEST SILOAM SPRINGS...SILOAM SPRINGS...GENTRY...
HIGHFILL AND SPRINGTOWN.

[CrazyC83]

There is a big oops on the SPC 0100Z tornado map as a lot of areas are 5% and hatched (not possible, how can you have a 5% risk of any tornado and a 10% risk of strong tornadoes?)

[Dave]

MCDONALD MO-
817 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
MCDONALD COUNTY...

AT 813 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR SOUTH WEST CITY...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF
JAY...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ANDERSON...LANAGAN...NOEL AND SOUTH WEST
CITY.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
820 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 816 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF TWIN OAKS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL ROTATION...A TORNADO
IS OCCURRING OR COULD FORM AT ANY TIME.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
COLCORD...MAYSVILLE...DECATUR AND GRAVETTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW!

[Dave]

Back to NC & VA for a minute:



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0875
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN VA/WRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333...

VALID 230102Z - 230200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 333
CONTINUES.

MULTICELLULAR CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS OVER WRN VA/WRN NC WILL CONTINUE
PROGRESSING EWD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AMIDST MLCAPE VALUES
OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF 25 TO 35
KT. THIS WILL SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND A FEW
DMGG WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL
RESULT IN A STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER WITH TIME...CAUSING THE SVR
THREAT TO SUBSTANTIALLY DECREASE BY THE SCHEDULED EXPIRATION TIME OF
03Z. REGARDLESS...THE THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SVR STORMS COULD EXTEND
ONE OR TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES EAST OF WW333 DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. THUS...THE WW MAY NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN SPATIAL
COVERAGE TO ADDRESS THIS ACTIVITY.

..COHEN.. 05/23/2011


ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...

[Dave]

Current Tornado Warnings - KS, MO, AR

[Dave]

IOWA

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
824 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA...
NORTHWESTERN HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...
EAST CENTRAL ROCK ISLAND COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT.

* AT 821 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR DAVENPORT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ROCK ISLAND ARSENAL...DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND ELDRIDGE
AROUND 830 PM CDT...
MOLINE AROUND 835 PM CDT...
BETTENDORF...PANORAMA PARK...RIVERDALE AND EAST MOLINE AROUND 840
PM CDT...
PLEASANT VALLEY AND CAMPBELLS ISLAND AROUND 845 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 288 AND 306.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN ILLINOIS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 7.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 IN ILLINOIS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 2 AND 3.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 280 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 11.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 88 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.

[Dave]

MISSOURI

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
824 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
OZARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* AT 818 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE TANEY AND OZARK COUNTY LINE
SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THESE STORMS EARLIER
DOWNED TREES IN SADDLEBROOK AND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE WIDESPREAD WINDS
OF OVER 70 MPH AND POSSIBLY BRIEF TORNADOES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BAKERSFIELD...BRIXEY...DORA...
GAINESVILLE...HARDENVILLE...ISABELLA...LONG RUN...NOBLE...
ROCKBRIDGE...SYCAMORE...TECUMSEH...THORNFIELD...UDALL...WASOLA...
WILLHOIT AND ZANONI.

[Florida1118]

God help Joplin. This outbreak might be the 7th Billion dollar disaster this year thus far. Does anyone know if there are pictures of Joplin? I cant find any

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
828 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN MCDONALD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT.

* AT 823 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO NEAR NOEL...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PINEVILLE...MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE NOEL.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

THIS REPLACES THE TORNADO WARNING THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE AREA.

[Dave]

God help Joplin. This outbreak might be the 7th Billion dollar disaster this year thus far. Does anyone know if there are pictures of Joplin? I cant find any

Florida check some of the previous pages for links to TV stations & other info, probably some pictures on those sites...I haven't had time to look, will do that later.

[Dave]

SCOTT IA-HENRY IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
832 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL ROCK ISLAND...NORTHWESTERN HENRY AND SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT
COUNTIES...

AT 829 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY NEAR
DAVENPORT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. VERY STRONG ROTATING WINDS
OCCURED AT THE DAVENPORT AIRPORT AT 826 PM.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BETTENDORF...PANORAMA PARK...RIVERDALE AND EAST MOLINE AROUND 840
PM CDT...
PLEASANT VALLEY...HAMPTON...CAMPBELLS ISLAND AND SILVIS AROUND 845
PM CDT...
ILLINIWEK PARK AND BARSTOW AROUND 850 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 294 AND 306.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 IN ILLINOIS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 6.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 74 IN IOWA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 88 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 5.

[Stephanie]

God help Joplin. This outbreak might be the 7th Billion dollar disaster this year thus far. Does anyone know if there are pictures of Joplin? I cant find any

Just turn on TWC or go online to TWC. Mike Bettis is there. His crew intercepted and followed this storm not knowing how strong it became until they came to Joplin. They just showed a dog being pulled out of the debris of the home.

[Stephanie]

The storms of this season so far have been hitting larger, more metropolitan towns. This really is frightening.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
839 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

*AT 837 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES WEST OF HIWASSE...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
HIWASSE...BELLA VISTA...BENTONVILLE...ROGERS AND LOWELL.

ANOTHER CIRCULATION WAS LOCATED SOUTH OF NOEL MISSOURI MOVING EAST
SOUTHEAST.

Note: I have a friend in Bentonville AR...she just signed out of FB.

[CrazyC83]

The worst part is: we have at least 3 more days of this to go. So much for the tranquil first half of May, that has disappeared in a heartbeat.

The first billion dollar disasters were:

* February blizzard
* April 4-5 outbreak/derecho
* April 14-16 outbreak
* April 25-28 outbreak
* Mississippi River flood

What was the 6th?

[CrazyC83]

The storms of this season so far have been hitting larger, more metropolitan towns. This really is frightening.

Imagine a major Northeast tornado outbreak? Hitting the most heavily populated area in the US?