"Tornado" Banned From Forecasts?

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WeatherGuesser
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"Tornado" Banned From Forecasts?

#1 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue May 24, 2011 2:44 am

Used to be.

In 1882, 17 years after the Civil War ended, U.S. Army Signal Corps Sgt. John P. Finley was asked to investigate tornadoes and how they developed.

As Finley was doing his research, tornado forecasting came to a screeching halt when the Signal Corps banned the word "tornado" from official forecasts because they were concerned the word would cause widespread panic.

"They literally avoided the word up until the 1950s or so," Henson said. "They were a little concerned about the panic or the tools weren't strong enough to predict them," he said, "and quite frankly without radar, you couldn't forecast them."


The U.S. Weather Bureau started reporting tornadoes, thunderstorms, hailstorms, lightning and high winds at a few experimental locations across the United States in spring 1943. Gradually, forecasters started issuing forecasts for severe thunderstorms, but could not tell the time nor place.

As for tornado forecasts? Still off-limits.

A breakthrough happened in the late 1940s, when two Air Force officers identified conditions that were favorable for tornado formation in the southern Plains.

The first tornado forecast was issued March 20, 1948.

Six hours later, a twister slammed into Tinker Air Force Base in Oklahoma. The tornado caused $6 million in damage, but no one was killed, thanks to a tornado safety plan that was implemented at the base after the forecast was issued.



http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/05/23/tornad ... tml?hpt=T2
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RL3AO
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#2 Postby RL3AO » Thu May 26, 2011 10:40 am

Yep. It took a minor miracle for it to be unbanned. Couple mets at Tinker AFB in 1947 thought conditions were similar to a day a tornado hit the base a few years earlier. The commanding officer asked them if a tornado was going to hit that day. They decided yes. Base went on a alert and no one was killed. Now we know what a freak forecast it was since there is no skill in forecasting particular areas to get hit with a tornado before the outbreak starts.

Had that tornado not hit the base, tornado warning systems might have been pushed back even further.
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