Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Seems that nice burts of convection are refiring on most of the islands this morning.
Be aware my carib friends, Luis, Msbee, Expat2Carib, Abajan and the others Keep us informed as usual and as possible. Guadeloupe and the Northern Leewards are always under an yellow alert til tommorow (if necessary).

[cycloneye]

Good morning. More rain is in the cards for PR today. Let's see what occurs with the flooding,depending how much rain falls.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
524 AM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN IS
MAINTAINING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA AT THE SURFACE. LOW
LEVEL FLOW IS SOUTHERLY...VEERING FROM THE SURFACE AND IS
CONTINUING TO BRING COPIOUS MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT TO MODERATE BUT CONTINUOUS RAIN AFFECTED THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...GENERATING RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF BETWEEN .5 TO 2 INCHES. THE MOST AFFECTED AREA
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WAS THE ISLAND OF ST CROIX WERE
TRAIN EFFECT OCCURED OVER THE ISLAND GENERATING MORE THAN 3 INCHES.
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGES SHOWS A MORE SHOWERS DOWNSTREAM...AND
THEY ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER ST CROIX THROUGH MID MORNING
AGGRAVATING THE FLOOD AND LAND SLIDE SITUATION. ALSO THE RADAR
IMAGES ARE SHOWING A STORM MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH...THEREFORE
SIMILAR AMOUNTS COULD BE SEEN OVER THE NORTHERN VIRGIN ISLANDS IN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS OR THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING.

SOUTH WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER
THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AT THIS MOMENT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS REMAIN LOW ACROSS THE PUERTO RICO BUT THE
CONTINUOUS LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL KEEP SOILS SATURATED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE GFS AND THE NAM SUGGEST ANOTHER BATCH OF
MOISTURE MOVING ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS
TIME THE AREA THAT WILL BE MORE AFFECTED IS THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO. ALTHOUGH MODELS SUGGEST A SLOW DECREASE ON
MOISTURE AFTER WEDNESDAY...IT WILL BE SLOW AND ENOUGH MOISTURE
WILL BE AVAILABLE TO GENERATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS ACROSS THE
INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO.

&&

.AVIATION...IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS TISX THROUGH
AT LEAST 07/14Z BECOMING MVFR AFTER. MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS
TIST...AND TJPS THROUGH AT LEAST 07/16Z. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY FROM
THE SOUTH AT 10KT.

&&

.MARINE...THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CARIBBEAN BASIN WILL
CONTINUE TO GENERATE UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH WEEK. ROUGH SEAS AND HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 75 90 76 / 70 50 50 20
STT 85 77 87 79 / 70 50 50 30

[cycloneye]

Flash flood watch extended until Midnight.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1131 AM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-080400-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
1131 AM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO AND VIRGIN ISLANDS

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

* MOISTURE LADEN SOUTHWEST FLOW IS CONTINUING OVER PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AROUND THE LOW IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO AND IN THE CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON.

* FLOODING WILL MAINLY OCCUR ON RIVERS...AND WILL BE MINOR FOR THE
MOST PART...DUE TO THE RIVERS INABILITY OF HANDLING WIDESPREAD
RAINS OVER THEIR BASINS. THE PROBABILITY OF MUDSLIDES IS GREATER
SINCE SOILS REMAIN SOGGY AND PRONE TO SLIPPAGE. THE MAIN THRUST
OF THE RAIN AND THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN SIDE OF PUERTO RICO INTERIOR PUERTO RICO AND OVER THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY SAINT CROIX WHERE MANY LOW
LYING AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING. ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS NOW
THROUGH MIDNIGHT OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THESE
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT CROIX.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR CABLE
TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

SNELL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC037-053-089-103-119-071945-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.W.0057.000000T0000Z-110607T1945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1238 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
FAJARDO
RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 345 PM AST

* AT 1230...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE MODERATE
SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RAINFALL IN ADDITION
TO THE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT
IN RAPID RISES ON RIVERS...SMALLER STREAMS AND TRIBUTARIES.
RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1839 6577 1835 6563 1824 6562 1825 6579
1828 6582

$$

OMS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[msbee]

yep, we're getting it now.

http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... rtin.shtml

Radar shows convection to the southwest and coming our way, unless it dissipates? maybe? hopefully?
http://www.meteo.an/Radar/Img_Radar_SSS_Cappi_Loop.asp

[cycloneye]

yep, we're getting it now.

http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/curre ... rtin.shtml

Radar shows convection to the southwest and coming our way, unless it dissipates? maybe? hopefully?
http://www.meteo.an/Radar/Img_Radar_SSS_Cappi_Loop.asp

Hello Barbara. Yes,the cam is showing the heavy rain there. The image is uploaded by imageshack,so it stays like this.

expat2carib,you live in this area called Simpson Bay right?

[cycloneye]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
232 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

PRC013-027-065-072030-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0210.110607T1832Z-110607T2030Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-ARECIBO PR-
232 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CAMUY...HATILLO AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 430 PM AST

* AT 230 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO RAPID RISES ON SMALL STREAMS AND
CREEKS...AS WELL AS MINOR FLOODING ALONG ROADWAYS...THROUGH AT
LEAST THOUGH 4:30 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1849 6690 1849 6659 1834 6660 1834 6689

$$

OMS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[msbee]

Be careful out there, folks!

[cycloneye]

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
VIC010-072145-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0059.110607T1846Z-110607T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
246 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING ISLAND

IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
SAINT CROIX

* UNTIL 545 PM AST

* AT 241 PM AST...WEATHER DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE
MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWER ACTIVITY ONCE AGAIN MOVING TOWARDS THE
WARNED AREA. THIS RAINFALL...IN ADDITION TO THE RAINFALL THAT HAS
ALREADY OCCURRED...WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN FLOODING OF GUTS AND
ROADWAYS ACROSS SAINT CROIX. RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1776 6490 1778 6460 1773 6459 1767 6488

$$

OMS/AAS

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

Maybe we finnally see some of this in the next few days? Let's hope as PR doesn't need more rain as flooding and mudslides continue to occur.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
257 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CARIBBEAN
WILL MOVE OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE WEEKEND.

AT MID LEVELS...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL
SHIFT EAST INTO THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC. HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL PART IN TWO WITH ONE HALF OF
THE HIGH OVER PUERTO RICO BY THE WEEKEND.

AT LOWER LEVELS...WEAK LOW PRESSURE IS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
AND WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY. A
SECOND LOW IS ATTEMPTING TO FORM BETWEEN PUERTO RICO...SAINT
THOMAS AND SAINT CROIX. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WILL
RETREAT TO THE EAST BUT FLOW WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT
LOWER LEVELS ONCE THE LOW FORMING NEARBY MOVES NORTHEAST ON
WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER LOW WILL FORM IN THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD RAIN IS CONTINUING OVER THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT OF THE FORECAST AREA AND HEAVIER RAIN IS DEVELOPING
JUST UPSTREAM FROM SAINT CROIX. HEAVY SHOWERS ARE NOW DEVELOPING
OVER MOST OF THE WEST HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND HEAVY SHOWERS ARE
OVER MUCH OF THE INNER COASTAL WATERS OF THE MONA CHANNEL MOVING
TOWARD PUERTO RICO. BOTH THE RIO DE LA PLATA AND THE RIO GRANDE DE
MANATI HAVE ALSO ENTERED FLOOD STAGE AT 16 AND 25 FEET
RESPECTIVELY. WITH RAIN IN THEIR BASINS...THEY MAY NOT RETREAT
IMMEDIATELY.

DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS...MOISTURE IS SLOWLY BEING TAKEN TO
THE NORTH IN THE MODELS...BUT HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES...ABOVE 2 INCHES...CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY...AND ALL MODELS CARRY 1.8 TO 2 INCHES THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE GFS KEEPS THESE LEVELS THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP RICH MOISTURE IN THE AREA. HIGHER CLOUDINESS
WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AND TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UNDER THE UPPER
LEVEL HIGH. THIS WILL CAUSE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO RETURN TO THE
INTERIOR OF PUERTO RICO WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY AND LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. WOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS ACTIVITY AND URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING EACH DAY IN PUERTO RICO. FLASH FLOODING ON SOME DAYS IS
ALSO INDICATED IN HEAVY DOWNPOURS UNTIL HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AND LIGHT WINDS IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE END. AT THIS TIME
THAT IS TOO FAR INTO THE FUTURE TO ASCERTAIN.

&&

.CLIMATE...
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN SAN JUAN WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH THE 90S ON
WEDNESDAY...ENDING THE STRING OF LOWER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THERE...AND BEGIN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

THE ISLAND OF SAINT CROIX HAD 4.22 INCHES BREAKING THE OLD DAILY RECORD
OF 0.39 INCHES IN 2005.

THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SEE A RETURN TO A MORE
NORMAL PATTERN OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDINESS OVER THE COURSE OF THE
NEXT 5 TO 7 DAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
LOCAL AREA...AS A RESULT MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS AS WELL AS
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY TJSJ/TIST/TISX AND TNCM/TKPK. LLVL WINDS
WILL CONTINUE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 KT.


&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TRANQUIL...BUT
THE DEVELOPING LOW JUST EAST OF PUERTO RICO MAY BRING SOME WINDS
SUFFICIENT FOR SMALL CRAFT TO EXERCISE CAUTION IN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS. OF COURSE HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
STILL PRESENT THEMSELVES FROM TIME TO TIME WITH THIS DEEP
MOISTURE. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHTER LATE IN THE WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 90 77 89 / 50 50 20 30
STT 77 85 78 87 / 60 40 30 30

[tropicana]

Regional Highs and Rainfall ( rain is 8pmET Mon-8pmET Tues) for
Tue Jun 7 2011

Piarco Airport, Trinidad 33.8C 93F trace
Maraval, NW Trinidad 31.9C 90F 0.3mm
Crown Point, Tobago 31.7C 89F

Point Salines, Grenada 31.2C 88F
Grantley Adams, Barbados 31.1C 0.1mm
Hewannora Airport, St Lucia 31.6C 89F 3.8mm
Melville Hall, Dominica 30.8C 87F 0.9mm
LeLamentin, Martinique 30.0C 86F 1.0mm

Golden Rock, St Kitts 29.4C 85F 2.0mm
VC Bird, Antigua 28.8C 84F 13.1mm
Juliana Airport, St Maartin 29.0C 84F 43.2mm
St Croix, VI XX 100.0mm
San Juan, PR 29.4C 85F 1.1mm
St Thomas, VI 27.2C 81F 12.3mm

Owen Roberts, Grand Cayman 31.0C 88F 0.3mm
Kingston, Jamaica 28.4C 83F 57.0mm
Montego Bay, Jamaica 29.2C 85F 4.0mm
Key West, FL 30.6C 87F
Marathon, FL 31.6C 89F
Miami, FL 32.2C 90F
Hamilton, Bermuda 25.1C 77F

Hato Airport, Curacao 31.5C 89F 1.1mm
Flamingo Airport, Bonaire 32.8C 91F
Queen Beatrix, Aruba 34.2C 94F

-justin-

[Macrocane]

Heavy rains were registered yesterday in most of El Salvador, several places experienced more than 2 inches of rain in less than 12 hours, the map below shows the rainfall (in mm) in the country between 7:00 am yesterday and 7:00 am today:

[cycloneye]

It looks like the rain doesn't want to leave Puerto Rico and adjacent islands for the next few days.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1054 PM AST TUE JUN 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRES NW OF AGUADILLA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MID UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVR THE REGION OVR THE WEEKEND.


&&

.DISCUSSION...ACTIVE WX CONITNUES THIS EVENING WITH RADAR AND
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING A DEFINITE UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY THIS EVENING BOTH ACROSS CNTRL PR AND THE MONA PASSAGE
WITH NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING TOPS WITH BOTH CONVECTION OVER LAND AND
OVER WATER. RAINFALL RATES UP TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR HAVE BEEN
INDICATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS WITH SVRL RIVERS OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
STILL ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND ENOUGH TRIGGER FOR ADDITIONAL TSTM
DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT THRU TOMORROW AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOODING
THREAT IS NOT OVER AND MAY ACTUALLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVERNIGHT ACROSS
ALL TAF SITES. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE VCTS ON TJBQ...TJMZ...AND
TJPS. AFTER 08/16Z...MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR
TJSJ DUE TO POSSIBLE TSRA. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED
AFTER 08/16Z AS WELL. WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH AT
10KT.


&&

.MARINE...TSTM COMPLEX NW AGUADILLA LIKELY PRODUCING STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND FREQ CG LIGHTNING.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 90 77 89 / 30 70 20 60
STT 77 85 78 87 / 50 40 30 30

[cycloneye]

Good morning. The flash flood watch has been extended until late afternoon.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
543 AM AST WED JUN 8 2011

PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-082200-
/O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-110608T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...SABANA GRANDE...LARES...
ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...LUYANDO...CABO ROJO...
LAJAS...CULEBRA...ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
543 AM AST WED JUN 8 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* ALL OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA...AND FOR ALL
OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON

* RECENT TRENDS IN RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY HAVE CONTINUED TO
INDICATE AN OVERALL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
WILL CONTINUE TO RIDE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 18 TO 24
HOURS AND WILL COMBINE WITH A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS
AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY. GIVEN THE
CURRENT HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...NEW FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
FOR THIS REASON...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE
IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLASH
FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD AVOID DRIVING THROUGH LOW LYING
AREAS COVERED WITH WATER...AND MOUNTAIN ROADS WITH STEEP CLIFFS ON
ONE SIDE DURING AND JUST AFTER HEAVY RAINS. HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE
MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE
INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU
OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

&&

$$

BCS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
607 AM AST WED JUN 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE EAST NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. MID TO UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD AND
MOVES OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE WEEKEND. RESIDUAL SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN A GENERALLY DRY PATTERN
ESTABLISHING LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...IR IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL AREAS OF HEAVY SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AROUND PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION WITH RAPID
COOLING TOPS WERE OBSERVED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE MONA PASSAGE
AND OVER THE NORTH PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THESE WATERS AS THEY MOVE
EASTWARD. SEVERAL SHOWERS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY INTENSITY AFFECTED
PARTS OF PUERTO RICO...ESPECIALLY THE WEST AND NORTH SECTIONS OF
THE ISLAND. ATTM...THE USGS RIVER SENSOR ALONG RIO GRANDE DE
MANATI IN THE BORDER BETWEEN MANATI AND BARCELONETA CONTINUES TO
SHOW MODERATE FLOODING LEVELS. ANY ADDITIONAL RAINS OVER THESE
AREAS WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THIS SITUATION.

LOW PRESSURE NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ALTHOUGH...THIS FEATURE MOVES AWAY THE LOCAL AREA...HIGH
MOISTURE CONTINUING OVER AREA WITH PWAT VALUES RANGING BETWEEN
2.0-2.3 INCHES. HOWEVER...THE DENSE CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN COULD LIMIT THE RADIATIONAL HEATING ACROSS THE
ISLANDS AND THIS WILL LIKELY LIMIT IMPACT OF SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE
AND THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER PUERTO RICO. ALL OPERATIONAL
MODELS ARE FORECASTING LESS ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER LAND...WITH
THE MOST INTENSE OCCURRING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. NEVERTHELESS...
ANY BREAK IN THE CLOUD COVER WILL HELP TO TRIGGER THE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. ENOUGH MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS.
GIVEN CURRENT HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE
POTENTIAL OF FLOODING STILL EXISTS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...MORE
PREVALENT THAN NORMAL MVFR OR EVEN BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS AND MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.


&&

.MARINE...MARINERS CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 18 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS
OF 4 FEET OR LESS THROUGH TONIGHT. SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC OFF SHORE WATERS TODAY.
IN ADDITION...AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SURROUNDING
WATERS ARE CREATING ROUGH SEAS AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 76 86 78 / 60 20 40 20
STT 84 78 84 80 / 50 30 30 20

[msbee]

Good morning!

We just had a heavy thunderstorm here. very heavy rain fell for about an hour. things are quieting down now.

[vbhoutex]

Good morning!

We just had a heavy thunderstorm here. very heavy rain fell for about an hour. things are quieting down now.

Could you send some to the Southern states of the US??

[cycloneye]

Sad news to report as they found the body of a person that was missing when he was swept by a raging river.

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