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NDG
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#6401 Postby NDG » Wed Jun 15, 2011 8:09 am

Should be a fairly active active day for afternoon & evening storms across the peninsula today especially in interior and eastern coastal sections from central to southern FL with these kind of convective indices & no real blocking in the atmosphere.

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#6402 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jun 15, 2011 11:51 am

YES, there should be some good convection especially from around Lake O south....interior and east coast sections. There is going to be more seabreeze penetration today which should really help some of the storms to get strong.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6403 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Jun 15, 2011 1:03 pm

Hot off the wire - Severe Thunderstorm Watch for pretty much two-thirds of the peninsula.

Image

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2011

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 479 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071-
075-081-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117-119-
127-160000-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0479.110615T1755Z-110616T0000Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BREVARD BROWARD CHARLOTTE
CITRUS COLLIER DESOTO
GLADES HARDEE HENDRY
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH
INDIAN RIVER LAKE LEE
LEVY MANATEE MARTIN
MIAMI-DADE MONROE OKEECHOBEE
ORANGE OSCEOLA PALM BEACH
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
SARASOTA SEMINOLE ST. LUCIE
SUMTER VOLUSIA
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#6404 Postby NDG » Wed Jun 15, 2011 1:08 pm

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#6405 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Jun 15, 2011 4:29 pm

Getting soaked here right now, but the bulk of the severe weather is west of I-95.
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#6406 Postby NDG » Wed Jun 15, 2011 8:39 pm

Yet another active night in central FL, though tonight is closer to the west coast.
Thunderstorms are a good 25-30 miles west from me but yet active clould to cloud lightning is reaching my area, westerly shear is blowing the convective tops towards my area.

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#6407 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jun 15, 2011 9:24 pm

Nothing again at my house. Another disappointment. It passed by west of the area.

There was an outflow boundary that passed through with some wind....but that is about it.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6408 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Jun 15, 2011 10:29 pm

Very Strong Winds of 50-55 mph at my house in northeast Saint Petersburg. Heavy Lightning and
moderate to briefly heavy rain. Wind Gusts of 57 mph recorded by ASOS in feather sound, and 46
mph in saint petersburg.
http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/fin ... uery=33703
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6409 Postby dizzyfish » Thu Jun 16, 2011 8:43 am

A little lightning and a little rain (emphasis on little) up in Pasco last night.

Rocked and rolled in Tampa according to my work buddies. One had lightning start a fire in the field behind her house. Everyone and thing o.k. but they had to evac last night.

Radio said that approx 100 new fires were started in Florida last night due to lightning. :(
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6410 Postby Sanibel » Thu Jun 16, 2011 10:36 am

Big thunderstorm over the mainland yesterday. We got a strong outflow boundary you could see on satellite very clearly that cooled us right down. No rain.
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6411 Postby SFLcane » Thu Jun 16, 2011 11:31 am

We have a very unstable and moist SW flow right now in South Florida which is typical of late May and early June. This is the pattern that is more typical for this time of year. We've had a very strong high pressure area in the mid/upper levels over the southern U.S. more or less since February which has been the main reason we've been so dry. However, it looks like typical June weather is starting to arrive.
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#6412 Postby jdray » Thu Jun 16, 2011 3:21 pm

Chance at more thunderstorms every evening here in NE Florida.
Key word being thunderstorms. Lightning keeps starting new fires up here.

As of today, there were 119 fires in NE Florida burning 209,000 acres, and another 190,000 acres burning in SE Georgia.

So yes, rain would be nice, as long as the thunderstorms stay away.

As someone with asthma, this smoke sucks!!!
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6413 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Jun 16, 2011 6:39 pm

SE Florida rain chances don't look great in the extended period, with a SE wind flow returning over the next 7-10 days.

Unless something happens tropical-wise, this rainy season is looking like a huge bust. Today was more like a hot late April/early May day....not a cloud in the sky all day. I'm not sure I've ever seen that in June.....what is going on this year?

"Normally" a E-SE wind flow would at least give us morning showers and storms, but we've seen none of that...
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6414 Postby Tropics Guy » Thu Jun 16, 2011 8:58 pm

Nearly a month after the "start" of rainy season, NE Miami Dade/ SE Broward county still hasn't received any decent rainfall (measured a trace, twice so far). Non-irrigated lawns have gone from brown to straw looking., even some trees are looking stressed.
Need a weak tropical system for some widespread needed rain all over south florida.

TG
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Re: Florida Weather Thread: Beginning of the rainy season?

#6415 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Jun 16, 2011 9:21 pm

In more southern portions of Dade, especially east of US1, we've had very little. No direct hits by any thunderstorm so far - just some sprinkles from debris clouds.

In a "normal" year (though this seems like the new norm), when the storms churn inland/West Coast, on the EC we'd typically at least pick up some decent rains in the AM. That hasn't really happened with any consistency for years now......I don't get it. Every morning it's just dead clear.
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#6416 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jun 17, 2011 1:06 pm

There was once upon a time many years ago that you can set your watch to the rains every afternoon here in South Florida. Now one is lucky to get any rain, unless you live more inland.

The pattern this summer so far has mostly featured an E to SE windflow and mid-level High pressure over the GOM, Bahamas, and Florida. The mid-level high pressure finally weakened this past week but many areas in metro SE Florida still did not get appreciable amounts of rain even on a SW windflow.

I agree, a slow moving tropical system would be a good way to get back some of the rainfall but unless things change towards the end of June, it looks like the rainy season has been largely a bust.
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#6417 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jun 17, 2011 7:50 pm

A summary of weather this week and a look at things to come!

http://jonathanbelles.wordpress.com/201 ... n-florida/
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#6418 Postby psyclone » Fri Jun 17, 2011 10:07 pm

Declaring the rainy season a "bust" in June is every bit as nonsensical as implying it would start in March. Patience! there's plenty of time for florida to receive abundant rainfall, the late start notwithstanding. keep in mind, the exceptionally hot weather is warming coastal waters to insane (upper 80's around the tampa bay area already) levels and those waters represent tremendous energy and a huge source of evaporation. eventually, the high pressure will relent and the atmosphere will cut loose and my guess is the longer this aberrant hot, dry pattern persists, the more dramatic the eventual reversal will be. at least I hope so.
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#6419 Postby NDG » Sat Jun 18, 2011 3:57 pm

I am not complaining at all here in central FL, got some really needed rains in the past week or so. Rainy season is here, at least in interior central FL.
For coastal SE FL, have patience, I would not be surprised that once coastal areas get into a wet pattern it will last through October.
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#6420 Postby Bruton » Sat Jun 18, 2011 6:25 pm

gatorcane wrote:There was once upon a time many years ago that you can set your watch to the rains every afternoon here in South Florida. Now one is lucky to get any rain, unless you live more inland.

The pattern this summer so far has mostly featured an E to SE windflow and mid-level High pressure over the GOM, Bahamas, and Florida. The mid-level high pressure finally weakened this past week but many areas in metro SE Florida still did not get appreciable amounts of rain even on a SW windflow.

I agree, a slow moving tropical system would be a good way to get back some of the rainfall but unless things change towards the end of June, it looks like the rainy season has been largely a bust.


Nothing has changed. In fact, if you look at MIA, over the past 20 years there have only been 2 yrs of below 60 inches of rain! This is much wetter than previous 20 years. All the other SE FL stations have also been wetter on avg. Avg rainfall in MIA since 1990 is 66 inches and in Hialeah is near 70. Remember, Saigon is around 80 and Manaus is around 60.
A weather station just west of Krome has surely been averaging more than 70, looking at the data for past 2 yrs.

Yes this year is dry, but it would be incorrect to say that we are much drier overall because facts prove otherwise.
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