ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

[Stormcenter]

Okay I may get burned on this but this looks like the old duck saying. You know the one that goes like this. If it looks like a duck, walks like.....well you know the rest.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html

[pricetag56]

is this storm going to be a major threat cuz i got family in texas im new here so dont mind me soundin dumb

[Portastorm]

is this storm going to be a major threat cuz i got family in texas im new here so dont mind me soundin dumb

Your question isn't dumb at all, pricetag56. In fact, it's on all of our minds!

Not sure what you mean by "major threat." Right now it is not a very large system. However, several of our pro meteorologists here suggest it *could* eventually strengthen to hurricane status.

[NDG]

I don't know how accurate it is but Pinar del Rio, CU is reporting a pressure of 29.70.

Do you have something that shows that?

Yeah, where do you see that because I can't find it anywhere, Cuban Met site does not show their pressure reading.
But I have a good feeling that is a bad reading, buoy a lot closer to the COC only shows 1010 mb pressure.

[tropicwatch]

I don't know how accurate it is but Pinar del Rio, CU is reporting a pressure of 29.70.

Do you have something that shows that?

Found it using the weather conditions function in google earth.

Currently in Pinar del Rio, CU as of 2011-07-26 21:00 UTC:


Mostly Cloudy 85°F / 29°C
Feels like 89°F / 32°C Humidity: 66%
Wind: E 11 mph
Pressure: 29.70 in.
Dewpoint: 72°F / 22°C

[pricetag56]

well that trough coming into the gom looks like its causing alot of shear

['CaneFreak]

I have just found a west wind reading at 25 knots from a ship nearby:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

1011 mb pressure, winds west northwest @ 25 knots...looks believable to me...

Click on ship reports

[x-y-no]

I have just found a west wind reading at 25 knots from a ship nearby:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

1011 mb pressure, winds west northwest @ 25 knots...looks believable to me...

Click on ship reports

I think that's from early afternoon and it's suspect. Maybe just a localized storm.

[wxman57]

I have just found a west wind reading at 25 knots from a ship nearby:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

1011 mb pressure, winds west northwest @ 25 knots...looks believable to me...

Click on ship reports

I don't think it's accurate. NOAA buoy nearby has a nearly calm wind. Plus, the ship is reporting waves coming from the southeast (140 deg). And that same ship was reporting a SE wind at 20 kts the hour before. I suspect they encoded the wind direction wrong and it's really a SE wind, 180 degrees off.

[SunnyThoughts]

[South Texas Storms]

I'm really hoping that this system gives south central TX at least an inch or two of rain. The drive home from College Station to SA was awfully dry and brown.

[tropicwatch]

I have just found a west wind reading at 25 knots from a ship nearby:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

1011 mb pressure, winds west northwest @ 25 knots...looks believable to me...

Click on ship reports

I found a ship through noaa reporting at 2100hrs GMT 22kts I think it might be different or maybe the same.

['CaneFreak]

Oh ok...I have not been watching it throughout the day...thanks for the input.

I have just found a west wind reading at 25 knots from a ship nearby:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... 000&loop=0

1011 mb pressure, winds west northwest @ 25 knots...looks believable to me...

Click on ship reports

I don't think it's accurate. NOAA buoy nearby has a nearly calm wind. Plus, the ship is reporting waves coming from the southeast (140 deg). And that same ship was reporting a SE wind at 20 kts the hour before. I suspect they encoded the wind direction wrong and it's really a SE wind, 180 degrees off.

[South Texas Storms]

I trust the Euro the most right now. It has shown the best consistency imo.

[nicole]

Looking Good!!!!

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Any thoughts on what the NHC will give this at 8PM? I'd say anywhere between 40%-60%.

[NDG]

Buoy 42056 on top of the hour still reporting calm winds, pressure down to 1009mb

[SunnyThoughts]

Any thoughts on what the NHC will give this at 8PM? I'd say anywhere between 40%-60%.

I think they'll probably jump it up to 50% But one never knows.

[Riptide]

This is legit, having fun tracking this one. The forward speed has definitely decreased. It was booking through the Eastern Carribean which is probably why it never really developed.

[latitude_20]

Convergence/Divergence definitely seems to be improving and aligning.