ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Aric Dunn]

Interesting west wind report, I doubt its enough on its own for an upgrade but if the NHC are looking at it it may well force them to shift thier focus to the area further west when it comes to developmental area.

yeah not by it self but if recon would turn around.. we would not have to wait to know.. lol

[RL3AO]

615
URNT15 KNHC 011816
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 13 20110801
180600 1346N 05752W 9761 00299 0098 +250 +199 159024 025 029 001 00
180630 1345N 05751W 9756 00304 0099 +248 +199 161023 024 028 001 00
180700 1344N 05750W 9761 00299 0098 +250 +199 161024 025 028 001 00
180730 1343N 05749W 9761 00299 0098 +248 +200 163022 022 027 000 00
180800 1342N 05748W 9761 00299 0098 +250 +200 163023 024 026 000 00
180830 1341N 05747W 9761 00298 0097 +250 +201 162024 025 025 000 00
180900 1340N 05746W 9758 00300 0097 +250 +201 162025 025 026 000 00
180930 1339N 05745W 9769 00290 0097 +250 +202 161025 026 026 001 03
181000 1338N 05745W 9760 00299 0097 +250 +202 153025 026 /// /// 03
181030 1339N 05747W 9754 00304 0097 +250 +203 151025 026 024 000 03
181100 1340N 05749W 9766 00293 0097 +250 +205 151024 025 025 001 00
181130 1341N 05750W 9761 00299 0098 +250 +205 151024 025 025 002 00
181200 1342N 05752W 9762 00298 0098 +250 +205 150024 025 027 002 00
181230 1343N 05753W 9761 00299 0098 +250 +205 151024 025 027 003 00
181300 1343N 05755W 9758 00301 0099 +249 +205 150024 025 028 002 00
181330 1344N 05756W 9759 00301 0099 +248 +204 151024 025 028 002 00
181400 1345N 05758W 9764 00298 0100 +246 +204 153022 024 026 004 00
181430 1346N 05759W 9756 00304 0100 +245 +203 152022 023 025 004 00
181500 1347N 05801W 9763 00298 0100 +246 +202 151024 025 027 001 00
181530 1348N 05802W 9762 00298 0099 +245 +201 149024 025 026 002 00
$$
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[caneseddy]

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeurotropical850mbVortSLP096.gif

over Cuba

Looks almost like a Cleo like track but farther east over Cuba

[otowntiger]

This multi-vortice beast has led us into believing it was in the process of developing many times before. Wouldn't surprise me if it falls apart again soon ):

Got to remember many of us have Storm2k OCD, and even slight improvements in development get many of us very excited, but we realize it's still just a unorganized mess.

This. It's about as unorganized of any system I can remember getting as much attention. But, hey that's just my untrained ,unauthorized, unofficial, unintelligent take on it.

[Aric Dunn]

hehe.. speaking of they have turned around.. lol

[KWT]

system moves over NE.Cuba to the WNW/NW at 96hrs, still a strong vort area.

System may take the shortest route towards Florida this run...OR its going to end up going into the gulf...

[madinina]

Hi,
First, sorry for my bad english...
So, this system will not cross Martinique?
I hope so, because here, nobody is ready...
We are working normally...
Thanks you for yours analyses since yesterday.

[jonj2040]

hi everyone never post much mainly read , this sights very informative, but here's the google image

[ROCK]

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif

FL straits anyone?

[JPmia]

Yeah looks like a graze of SW/S FL too

[tolakram]

I agree that the LLC is now clearly evident. Sloppy at first glance, but if you put the loop in motion you can see how it's organizing.



RGB Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Ivanhater]

Look at that deep ridge to the NE of it ...Gulf bound looks more and more likely as the hours progress

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif

[SouthDadeFish]

Hi,
First, sorry for my bad english...
So, this system will not cross Martinique?
I hope so, because here, nobody is ready...
We are working normally...
Thanks you for yours analyses since yesterday.

Martinique can expect some squally weather later today. 40-45 mph winds, heavy rain, and lightning. Stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and your local weather service for any watches and warnings if they are issued. BTW your English is fine! but this is the models thread. You can find more information in the discussion thread.

[Hylian Auree]

I'm pretty sure this will go down as one of the most intriguing invests in met history. I hope the pros can at least gather more understanding out of this for future occurrences.

[ROCK]

Look at that deep ridge to the NE of it ...Gulf bound looks more and more likely as the hours progress

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif

westward trend continues...how far west is the question...

[Gustywind]

Believe or not SSD has TD numbers Let's wait and see for official news by the NHC
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
01/1745 UTC 14.9N 57.1W T2.5/2.5 91L

[pricetag56]

it looks like another LLC on the eastern side

[caneseddy]

Look at that deep ridge to the NE of it ...Gulf bound looks more and more likely as the hours progress

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif

That is a deep ridge right there...also don't like that track from the Euro as this is the strongest it has had this storm and it brings it right over the Keys

[Hylian Auree]

it looks like another LLC on the eastern side

That's evidently the mid-level circulation. The strong curvature can definitely be a bit deceiving

Edit: Actually, what's that near 16N and 57W on latest RGB frames?

[RL3AO]

397
URNT15 KNHC 011826
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 14 20110801
181600 1349N 05804W 9759 00300 0099 +246 +200 149026 027 026 001 00
181630 1350N 05805W 9759 00301 0099 +247 +199 150025 026 024 001 00
181700 1351N 05807W 9761 00300 0099 +250 +199 150026 027 026 001 00
181730 1351N 05808W 9760 00301 0099 +246 +199 150024 025 026 001 00
181800 1352N 05810W 9761 00299 0099 +248 +200 150025 026 027 001 00
181830 1353N 05811W 9756 00304 0099 +246 +201 150025 025 027 001 00
181900 1354N 05813W 9761 00298 0098 +246 +201 150025 027 027 001 00
181930 1355N 05815W 9761 00298 0098 +246 +201 149025 026 026 003 00
182000 1356N 05816W 9761 00299 0098 +245 +201 148024 025 027 001 00
182030 1357N 05818W 9761 00298 0098 +245 +201 147025 026 028 002 00
182100 1358N 05819W 9761 00298 0097 +245 +200 147026 027 026 001 00
182130 1358N 05819W 9761 00298 0096 +245 +199 147025 026 024 003 00
182200 1400N 05822W 9761 00295 0095 +245 +198 145027 028 024 000 00
182230 1400N 05824W 9759 00298 0095 +245 +198 146027 027 025 001 00
182300 1401N 05825W 9760 00297 0095 +246 +198 145027 028 027 002 00
182330 1402N 05827W 9756 00300 0095 +245 +199 143027 027 024 001 00
182400 1403N 05828W 9765 00292 0094 +245 +200 144027 028 025 001 00
182430 1404N 05830W 9761 00296 0095 +245 +200 141026 026 025 002 00
182500 1405N 05832W 9757 00299 0095 +245 +201 142026 027 025 002 00
182530 1406N 05833W 9754 00302 0095 +242 +201 142024 027 024 003 00
$$
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