ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Rainband]

I would caution some of you thinking a storm cannot ramp up quickly aftrer being knocked down over the mountains. Hurricane Dennis in 2005 that hit the Pensacola metro was a Catagory 4 before traversing Cuba, knocked down to a Cat 1, then in less than 1 day ramped back up to a Catagory 4 in the Gulf.

way to far south which worries me....

['CaneFreak]

Was I to hasty to pass this information to the person who writes the Vieques Island Blog? Is announcing that it is Emily going to come back to haunt me?

I'd be very surprised if they went for TD5, esp given deep dconvection and plenty of wind reports that would support 35kts.

[bella_may]

some canadian models have this going into the eastern gulf

[x-y-no]

There were plenty of TS strength winds found by recon - so TD5 would make no sense.

[shaggy]

Just an interesting look at the weather next weekend for North Carolina that may have clues to the pattern? This is from Morehead city NWS long term disco.

INLAND TROUGH AND BERMUDA HIGH PATTERN RE-
ESTABLISHES ITSELF THIS WEEKEND WITH SCT DIURNAL CONVECTION SAT-
SUN. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL TRY TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TROPICAL WAVE IN CARIBBEAN FOR ANY
POSSIBLE IMPACTS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

[chrisjslucia]

The piece of junk is putting out a breathtaking display to our west - stunning lightning storm. Someone asked what difference a few hours makes - well if it allows local officials to open shelters sooner rather than (a few hours) later, could be quite a bit!

Anyway before the power goes, good luck to my friends in the Leewards, be safe.

[KWT]

18z GFS is now the eastern Global Outlier. I believe the truth lies somewhere in the middle and that the GFS comes back west. All the other Global models are well west of this.

you'd have thought so, though with a stronger system and the GFS enjoyment of bringing in stronger troughs then actually occur it may well be too far east...

Just a case of wait and see...think the 18z GFS may well have gone too far east this run.

[bamajammer4eva]

Looks like they are going with Emily

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/invest_al052011.invest

05, 2011080118, , BEST, 0, 151N, 605W, 30, 1006, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, EMILY, M,

[AdamFirst]

Even after it's been renumbered we're left in suspense, lol...

[Extratropical94]

now that the visible imagery is gone would it be bast to take out the background image or change it to none ore some other IR image just trying to get a preference im still new at this.

Yes, I think deactivating the visible image would be best.
The center position can be guessed by looking at previous passes and the most important thing about the pics are the wind barbs anyway.

[underthwx]

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_91.gif

I believe this is current....

[pricetag56]

well since it is a given its a storm now how about talkin about the future of it

[KWT]

There were plenty of TS strength winds found by recon - so TD5 would make no sense.

Should be Emily, I see no reason why they wouldn't go straight to TS Emily...is that 5 out of 5 straight to TS this year?!

[tolakram]

EMILY, AL, L, , , , , 05, 2011, DB, O, 2011072900, 9999999999, , , , , , WARNING, 1, AL052011

ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/inves ... 011.invest

[Extratropical94]

Observation 41


000
URNT15 KNHC 012256
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 41 20110801
224600 1424N 06025W 9764 00284 0086 +230 +203 129017 018 028 011 00
224630 1425N 06026W 9756 00290 0087 +220 +204 126018 020 035 012 00
224700 1426N 06027W 9771 00277 0086 +225 +202 115013 015 028 013 00
224730 1428N 06028W 9761 00285 0085 +213 +200 112015 017 035 023 00
224800 1429N 06029W 9765 00277 0081 +216 +198 126021 022 048 017 03
224830 1430N 06031W 9764 00279 0081 +229 +196 124020 021 027 010 00
224900 1431N 06032W 9761 00280 0081 +209 +194 135021 022 037 008 03
224930 1432N 06033W 9761 00280 0079 +233 +193 134021 022 026 003 03
225000 1434N 06034W 9769 00274 0079 +243 +192 132019 020 022 001 00
225030 1435N 06035W 9764 00278 0078 +242 +194 127018 019 026 001 03
225100 1436N 06037W 9761 00282 0079 +241 +197 130019 020 024 002 00
225130 1437N 06038W 9765 00278 0079 +245 +201 134016 016 025 001 03
225200 1438N 06039W 9763 00281 0079 +241 +205 135016 017 024 002 00
225230 1439N 06040W 9764 00279 0078 +239 +208 136017 017 027 002 00
225300 1441N 06041W 9765 00277 0078 +238 +211 139018 019 025 002 03
225330 1442N 06043W 9762 00279 0079 +240 +214 139016 017 022 001 03
225400 1443N 06044W 9770 00275 0080 +243 +216 141014 015 022 002 00
225430 1444N 06045W 9756 00288 0082 +240 +217 139014 015 020 003 03
225500 1445N 06046W 9763 00283 0082 +245 +219 139014 015 013 004 03
225530 1446N 06047W 9762 00283 0081 +245 +220 134015 016 013 002 00
$$
;

[Evil Jeremy]

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_91.gif

I believe this is current....

It is, but all future updates will be on this page: https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... orm_05.gif

[Gustywind]

The piece of junk is putting out a breathtaking display to our west - stunning lightning storm. Someone asked what difference a few hours makes - well if it allows local officials to open shelters sooner rather than (a few hours) later, could be quite a bit!

Anyway before the power goes, good luck to my friends in the Leewards, be safe.

Thanks my friend, we appreciate us in the Leewards. Hope that the night won't be so bad but looks like that my island could be impacted directly by this feature given the latest datas.

[SouthDadeFish]

There were plenty of TS strength winds found by recon - so TD5 would make no sense.

Should be Emily, I see no reason why they wouldn't go straight to TS Emily...is that 5 out of 5 straight to TS this year?!

Bret started as a TD. The only one.

[jonj2040]

thanks for the help^
#40


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[knotimpaired]

When will this thread end and a Emily thread start?