ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[LSU2001]

Bravo, Bravo,
Ivanhater and Rock. This kind of response to questions is what keeps me from posting very much anymore. Fine job of moderation.
Tim

[HurricaneWarning92]

Ive been a member for about a week but have been so interested as you can see from the number of posts that i have so far, but i must say some members here just dont have any patience at all. Not everyone has the same knowledge in here, and for some people to just post stuff saying someones post was laughable is just plain rude specially if the ones asking are new members. Lets all be respectful to one another and enjoy the tropics.

[SouthDadeFish]

Please,advisories are posted on the Advisories thread and not here,thank you.

No Offense Cycloneye...I am one of your biggest fans...but personally I think this thread is the most popular amongst the general populace and if someone posts an advisory/warning etc. I feel it is helpful. I think it is difficult to move from thread to thread if one is not familiar with this site. And I see a lot of visitors.

If I am wrong then I stand corrected.........please take this as not a bad criticism.

I agree. If you're gunna put it in a different thread might as well go straight to the NHC page itself. It's quicker if they are posted here. Just my thought.

[SFLcane]

00z eastward trends continue. Florida in time will out if the cone if this keeps up.

[HurricaneBrain]

Alright... Like Ivanhater said, we need to get back on topic! Emily is showing some grey on infrared:

[Recurve]

Intense convection now east of Martinique. Black tops.



Uploaded with ImageShack.us

[sponger]

I had to smile at the 5 day track. Its not every day you see N FL under a bulls eye. I remind my self that the best place to be is down the middle 5 days out.

[Nikki]

Alright... Like Ivanhater said, we need to get back on topic! Emily is showing some grey on infrared:

I am a weather enthusiast but dumb dumb dumb when it comes to weather and tropics...what does the grey show/mean?

[Bocadude85]

00z eastward trends continue. Florida in time will out if the cone if this keeps up.

Image doesnt come out

[Blown Away]

Current track will rake Emily over the highest points. A little farther W or E will be better for the circulation. The circulation will be moving quickly which may help salvage it a little.

[Explodo]

VEry Cold Cloud tops indicitive of a very large storm tower. In other words, It's saying the storm is really getting its act together

[psyclone]

on that scale grey indicates extemely cold cloud tops... an indication of vigorous convection.

[Mouton]

Hurricane landfalls from the east between Vero Beach and Savannah are very rare, so I think we will continue to see Emily curve away from Florida or landfall somewhere S of Vero Beach. IMO, Emily is at 62.9W and booking W, so I think it's agressive to recurve Emily E of Florida at this point. I think this may be a SFL storm, as a strong TS not hurricane IMO!!

Good point, one atlantic storm has directly hit the Jacksonville area in 100 years...Dora in 64. Of course, this could be the anomoly year.

[Aric Dunn]

what site... ?

[PTPatrick]

If ms Emily does manage to get in the gulf she better not dilly dally. I am flying home to the ms gulf coast next week(Thursday). I know models arent forecasting anywhere near there but things seem to be changing and models not sure about high strength(are they ever?)...still think it would clear the area by day 10 unless it slows to a crawl or stalls . I expect it to be somewhere in the vicinity of of Cuba/SFL come Saturday evening. If it missed Florida would probably be a 72 hour trip from Cuba to the northern gulf coast... Hence it would still be 48 hrs prior to my arrival....hopefully she turns out to be a non-event.

[SunnyThoughts]

For those who didn't know, I do believe recon is set to depart in about 1 hour to travel to the system and check it out again. Just a heads up so if you have anything you need to do beforehand, get it done so you can watch with the rest of us! (I know its late, but you can dooooo it).

[bamajammer4eva]

what site... ?

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~acevans/models/al052011.png

Mostly looks the same as earlier SFWMD-nothing new.

[jaxfladude]

I had to smile at the 5 day track. Its not every day you see N FL under a bulls eye. I remind my self that the best place to be is down the middle 5 days out.

+1 from just due north of you!
This is not good for alot of people!
Prayers to all...

[Aric Dunn]

00z eastward trends continue. Florida in time will out if the cone if this keeps up.

Image doesnt come out

well.. its says 00z... but not all have updated... most are still 18z.. the rest wont be done till about 1am

[HurricaneBrain]

Alright... Like Ivanhater said, we need to get back on topic! Emily is showing some grey on infrared:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/avn-l.jpg

I am a weather enthusiast but dumb dumb dumb when it comes to weather and tropics...what does the grey show/mean?

That's quite alright! Everyone has to learn somewhere. If you notice at the bottom of the map, you can see a color scale. The farther right the color is, the colder the cloud tops are. So if you're looking at the infrared map and you see grey, there are some very cold cloud tops (which shows the system has some deep, organizing convection). It's kind of like reading a doppler radar and you see dark red coming to your area.