ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[Cainer]

Is this current?
000
URNT15 KNHC 020016
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 49 20110802
000600 1639N 06218W 5054 05791 0298 -041 -060 069029 031 018 001 00
000630 1641N 06221W 5058 05785 0300 -048 -062 070027 029 013 001 00
000700 1642N 06223W 5061 05791 0299 -054 -059 072027 027 019 001 00
000730 1643N 06226W 5058 05789 0300 -051 -064 074027 028 020 001 00
000800 1644N 06229W 5059 05788 0301 -048 -066 073028 029 021 002 00
000830 1645N 06232W 5058 05787 0301 -047 -068 073030 030 024 002 00
000900 1646N 06234W 5058 05787 0301 -045 -069 075028 028 027 000 00
000930 1648N 06237W 5060 05785 0301 -045 -071 074027 027 027 003 00
001000 1649N 06240W 5059 05788 0301 -044 -076 073026 027 026 003 03
001030 1650N 06243W 5061 05785 0302 -049 -076 076026 026 020 000 00
001100 1651N 06245W 5058 05786 0301 -048 -072 074024 025 021 000 00
001130 1652N 06248W 5056 05792 0302 -049 -066 082024 025 022 001 00
001200 1654N 06251W 5059 05791 0302 -048 -068 075025 026 023 000 00
001230 1655N 06253W 5060 05791 0301 -049 -068 074024 025 023 000 00
001300 1656N 06256W 5058 05785 0300 -053 -065 083021 023 022 000 00
001330 1657N 06259W 5059 05784 0301 -054 -063 076025 026 024 000 00
001400 1658N 06302W 5060 05784 0302 -051 -062 072027 028 022 000 00
001430 1659N 06304W 5061 05782 0301 -050 -064 076024 025 024 000 00
001500 1659N 06304W 5061 05782 0302 -051 -068 077022 023 022 000 00
001530 1702N 06309W 5057 05792 0303 -055 -072 072020 021 024 001 00
$$
;

Nah, thats the last ob from the previous flight. You can tell by looking at the top line where it says HDOB 49. That means its the 49 set of observations, and when this changes to 01 we'll know recon has started transmitting new data!

[Dave]

Is this current?
000
URNT15 KNHC 020016
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 49 20110802

Annie that's from the last mission...we're still waiting for the hdobs to come in for this one.

[Annie Oakley]

Nah, thats the last ob from the previous flight. You can tell by looking at the top line where it says HDOB 49. That means its the 49 set of observations, and when this changes to 01 we'll know recon has started transmitting new data!



HA! Thanks

[HurricaneWarning92]

Ah hah! Here's an interesting tid-bit from the myfoxhurricane blog....


"It is interesting to note that most tropical systems that have formed within two degrees of Emily during August have moved towards Florida or into the Gulf. Very few have curved east of the state."

http://blog.myfoxhurricane.com/index.ph ... ily-forms/

10 tracks passing near Emily and one missed the US/Gulf. That leaves 9.

Very nice info! Looks like GOM it is!!

Seems you are getting a bit excited there... do you want this to go to the GOM?

[SouthFloridawx]

[CourierPR]

Hey folks, isn't there another thread for posting recon data?

[Hurricaneman]

West coast of Florida from the Canadian

[Ivanhater]

Big bend weak low....00z Guidance has come in substantially weaker.

[nicole]

[/quote]Seems you are getting a bit excited there... do you want this to go to the GOM?[/quote]

I want this damn thing to come to Texas....i understand the risks...but at this point a good TS or Hurricane is likely the only thing thats gonna save us!

[HurricaneBrain]

Post recon here:
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111297&start=200
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=111317&start=40

[bamajammer4eva]

West coast of Florida from the Canadian

If you are looking at this it is the same is 12z. Wonder if its updated even though it says its the 00z???

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_05.gif

[CourierPR]

Hey folks, isn't there another thread for posting recon data?

[Hurricaneman]

Does anyone think that these model runs are underestimating the possible intensity of Emily

[Dave]

Waiting on first set of hdobs from this mornings mission.

[SouthDadeFish]

Oh recon, where art thou?

[WxEnthus]

Ah, finally caught up to the current page! Emily is certainly an very interesting storm, with an equally interesting discussion to read through! While we're awaiting RECON to start transmitting did anyone see my question about locating (or creating) a bigger plotted map of the buoys near a cyclone? Maybe one that plots Emily and possibly the forecast track as well? Seems like there should be a way... surely someone smarter than me has already figured this out? Or no? Bueller?



UPDATED: Never mind, I figured it out.

[ROCK]

Big bend weak low....00z Guidance has come in substantially weaker.

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/mod ... 95_100.gif

NOGAPS showing something similar...I have been impressed how both of these guys have been following each other....

[CourierPR]

Does anyone think that these model runs are underestimating the possible intensity of Emily

Yes.

[HurricaneWarning92]

Another burst of deep convection.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-rb.html

[HurricaneBrain]

Ah hah! Here's an interesting tid-bit from the myfoxhurricane blog....


"It is interesting to note that most tropical systems that have formed within two degrees of Emily during August have moved towards Florida or into the Gulf. Very few have curved east of the state."

http://blog.myfoxhurricane.com/index.ph ... ily-forms/

10 tracks passing near Emily and one missed the US/Gulf. That leaves 9.

http://img31.imageshack.us/img31/1220/capturemxo.jpg

Very nice info! Looks like GOM it is!!

Nothing indicates this will go into the Gulf. Check out the latest models: