BatzVI wrote:What is the feeling for the northern islands? Seems everyone is worried about SFla already....I know it's early, so monitoring for now..
Could be an issue with a strenghtening system passing through the Islands.
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BatzVI wrote:What is the feeling for the northern islands? Seems everyone is worried about SFla already....I know it's early, so monitoring for now..
OuterBanker wrote:JB's thoughts (let the barbs begin). It will take a path similar to Emily with the difference being that it will be stronger when it gets to the islands. This will allow it to probably miss Hispaniola to the north. I think his path is landfall south of Savannah. If there is good news, at least NC seems to be out of it now.
OuterBanker wrote:JB's thoughts (let the barbs begin). It will take a path similar to Emily with the difference being that it will be stronger when it gets to the islands. This will allow it to probably miss Hispaniola to the north. I think his path is landfall south of Savannah. If there is good news, at least NC seems to be out of it now.
gatorcane wrote:OuterBanker wrote:JB's thoughts (let the barbs begin). It will take a path similar to Emily with the difference being that it will be stronger when it gets to the islands. This will allow it to probably miss Hispaniola to the north. I think his path is landfall south of Savannah. If there is good news, at least NC seems to be out of it now.
Very far out and too early to say where it goes if it develops. NC is not out of it right now at all, nor are those in the GOM.....
I will hope that the ULL and Hispaniola will do a number on it and keep it from getting too strong.....
KWT wrote:What i will say is the large circulation isn't a good thing at all, both the system and the US.
Will mean it will take a while to pull itself together, esp given the huge area of weak/moderate SAL to the north/west of the system...
Don't expect anything berfore 55-60W....but no doubt this one has got to be really closely watched.
MGC wrote:97L is surrounded by dry air that it will have to battle.....looks like the shear might pick up in a couple of days.....I don't know....MGC
Scorpion wrote:MGC wrote:97L is surrounded by dry air that it will have to battle.....looks like the shear might pick up in a couple of days.....I don't know....MGC
I guess every global model disagrees with you..
Ivanhater wrote:BatzVI wrote:What is the feeling for the northern islands? Seems everyone is worried about SFla already....I know it's early, so monitoring for now..
Could be an issue with a strenghtening system passing through the Islands.
Scorpion wrote:MGC wrote:97L is surrounded by dry air that it will have to battle.....looks like the shear might pick up in a couple of days.....I don't know....MGC
I guess every global model disagrees with you..
Gustywind wrote:Ivanhater wrote:BatzVI wrote:What is the feeling for the northern islands? Seems everyone is worried about SFla already....I know it's early, so monitoring for now..
Could be an issue with a strenghtening system passing through the Islands.
Ok thanks Ivanhater for you thought. Whereas, what is your best guess in term of intensity ? Should the islands may be dealing with a TD or a TS ?
T'Bonz wrote:Our local met (Miami) has mentioned this (before it was an invest) for 2 evenings now. This is unusual, as they usually don't mention stuff that doesn't seem to be coming our way or that is far away.
Ivanhater wrote:
GFS looks to show it nearing Hurricane status as it passes a bit south of the British and U.S Virgin Islands. Euro is a bit more conservative and ramps it up as it nears PR.
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