ATL: IRENE - Models
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Battlebrick
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
who knows the NHC is going to do with the track.. it's going to be tough.
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Lim_Fao on IRC.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Woah!!
979mbs already at 72hrs!!
979mbs already at 72hrs!!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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gatorcane
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Look at the break in the ridge over Florida. Euro 72 hours, ridging holding over the Bahamas, but probalby not for long.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 21, 2011 1:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
chris_fit wrote:KWT wrote:12z ECM running, heading into DR at 24hrs, motion is about 280-285.
Can you provide a link where you get the results coming in?
I go to Alan's site
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ecmwf.html
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Should be more then enough weakness to get it going NNW around 77W or so Gatorcane, now to get it to recurve maybe a different story, i don't think the set-up is there for that IMO.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
edit: wrong run
Last edited by tolakram on Sun Aug 21, 2011 1:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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M a r k
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ECM down to 972mbs at 96hrs, heading into the Bahamas moving NW.
Trough moving through to the north BUT there is weak ridging = continued NNW/N motion probably into C/N Florida on this run unless it really explodes...
Trough moving through to the north BUT there is weak ridging = continued NNW/N motion probably into C/N Florida on this run unless it really explodes...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Euro misses the Islands to the north...that would be a big uh oh for intensity
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Michael
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Ivanhater wrote:Euro misses the Islands to the north...that would be a big uh oh for intensity
hiots the N.coast of Hispaniola and rides along it...so it would feel the effects of that track, espwith the big mountions hitting the inflow.
Still...thats a far more condusive track for a major then yesterday!
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
CronkPSU wrote:Is that a 973 cane into the melbourne area?
No we are only up to 96 hours on this 12Z run.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
I'm having issues with the files, not sure I posted the correct run or not. Now coming up as file not found.
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Hurricaneman wrote:Thats west of the 0z euro by about 50 miles
Looks like we might be seeing a westward trend again?
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gatorcane
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Ivan it misses Palm Beach, FL by about 20 miles as a MAJOR hurricane yikes...hurricane conditions would be felt over SE Florida if this run verified.
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Aug 21, 2011 1:23 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Ok, saved image, correct run, 120H, well east of last run.
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M a r k
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