ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[GCANE]

Last nights TRMM scan showing the hot-towers were max'ing out at just about 15km height.

http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/trmm_rain/Eve ... E_small.qt

[RL3AO]

NOAA2



926
URNT15 KWBC 241053
NOAA2 1309A IRENE HDOB 16 20110824
104330 2201N 07318W 7498 02211 9653 +162 +163 068085 095 081 016 00
104400 2158N 07318W 7485 02204 9617 +172 +170 054056 058 076 006 03
104430 2156N 07318W 7488 02182 9602 +170 +161 055044 050 036 002 03
104500 2154N 07316W 7501 02155 9588 +171 +161 060023 029 033 001 00
104530 2153N 07315W 7560 02081 9575 +185 +156 059011 015 027 001 00
104600 2151N 07314W 7540 02105 9572 +188 +151 016004 006 022 000 00
104630 2149N 07313W 7541 02107 9571 +195 +149 266014 017 028 000 00
104700 2147N 07313W 7523 02135 9581 +194 +145 277031 039 042 003 00
104730 2145N 07313W 7518 02158 9599 +190 +151 273047 053 056 002 00
104800 2143N 07313W 7491 02210 9618 +194 +146 270062 066 065 003 00
104830 2141N 07313W 7514 02211 9654 +186 +149 265075 078 072 003 00
104900 2139N 07313W 7507 02247 9688 +181 +151 267083 086 072 004 00
104930 2137N 07313W 7520 02256 9726 +168 +150 261078 080 069 002 00
105000 2135N 07313W 7528 02269 9765 +154 +142 260078 079 065 002 00
105030 2133N 07313W 7524 02297 9788 +155 +138 260073 074 061 001 00
105100 2132N 07313W 7523 02312 9804 +157 +126 259072 074 058 001 00
105130 2130N 07313W 7523 02330 9821 +157 +134 256072 074 057 002 00
105200 2128N 07313W 7528 02337 9835 +156 +146 255068 069 055 002 00
105230 2126N 07313W 7524 02352 9855 +147 +143 255067 068 054 002 00
105300 2124N 07313W 7524 02361 9868 +144 +142 256063 065 054 002 00

[RL3AO]

AF303



700
URNT15 KNHC 241103
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 13 20110824
105230 2125N 07105W 3926 07674 0358 -146 //// 219032 033 /// /// 05
105300 2126N 07107W 3929 07668 0357 -142 //// 218032 033 /// /// 05
105330 2129N 07109W 3926 07672 0358 -145 //// 214031 031 /// /// 05
105400 2131N 07110W 3927 07674 0359 -145 //// 212029 030 /// /// 05
105430 2133N 07111W 3926 07675 0359 -140 //// 210028 029 /// /// 05
105500 2136N 07113W 3926 07675 0358 -140 //// 205029 029 /// /// 05
105530 2138N 07114W 3926 07672 0358 -139 //// 197027 027 /// /// 05
105600 2141N 07115W 3926 07675 0359 -139 //// 188027 028 /// /// 05
105630 2143N 07116W 3926 07674 0358 -138 //// 194033 034 /// /// 05
105700 2146N 07117W 3930 07664 0357 -135 //// 194033 033 /// /// 05
105730 2148N 07119W 3923 07680 0358 -134 //// 195037 039 /// /// 05
105800 2151N 07120W 3926 07674 0357 -136 //// 188036 038 /// /// 05
105830 2153N 07121W 3928 07669 0358 -138 //// 180034 035 /// /// 05
105900 2156N 07122W 3925 07673 0355 -135 //// 185036 037 /// /// 05
105930 2158N 07124W 3928 07665 0354 -135 //// 187039 041 /// /// 05
110000 2201N 07125W 3923 07675 0353 -135 //// 182041 041 /// /// 05
110030 2203N 07126W 3929 07661 0351 -136 //// 180038 041 /// /// 05
110100 2206N 07127W 3926 07668 0353 -133 //// 187035 036 /// /// 05
110130 2208N 07129W 3926 07672 0354 -133 //// 184035 036 /// /// 05
110200 2211N 07130W 3926 07672 0355 -134 //// 183038 038 /// /// 05
$$
;

[FrontRunner]

Please, give us New Yorkers a break - we need some time to recover from yesterday's earthquake before we can begin preparing for a hurricane!

Most people I know are aware of the storm. It's mentioned a lot on local and national news and more importantly it's showing up on people's radar (no pun intended) due to all the rain we're expected to get this weekend. Plus, it's only Wednesday morning. Not exactly time to panic (nor should it really ever be).

[HurrMark]

I hope that the people up in NYC are taking this very seriously. I think a lot of residents don't believe a hurricane can hit the city directly.

I just finished reading the on-line edition of the Cape Cod Times and I did not see one word mentioned of the possibility of a major storm heading their way.....

Most of the major news sites (CNN, MSNBC, ABC) don't have Irene as top story...the earthquake/Libya situation take top billing.

Boston.com (Boston is the city currently forecasted to take the biggest impact) has Irene mentioned way down the page.

[RL3AO]

NOAA2



664
URNT15 KWBC 241103
NOAA2 1309A IRENE HDOB 17 20110824
105330 2122N 07313W 7526 02367 9879 +141 //// 252062 064 /// /// 05
105400 2121N 07313W 7526 02374 9881 +147 +141 253063 065 /// /// 03
105430 2119N 07313W 7526 02383 9883 +158 +122 253062 063 /// /// 03
105500 2117N 07313W 7530 02384 9890 +160 +119 258060 061 /// /// 03
105530 2115N 07313W 7525 02396 9904 +151 +122 260059 059 /// /// 03
105600 2113N 07314W 7526 02403 9916 +146 +120 259057 057 /// /// 03
105630 2111N 07314W 7528 02406 9919 +153 +104 262056 057 /// /// 03
105700 2109N 07314W 7526 02414 9927 +150 +115 263054 056 /// /// 03
105730 2107N 07314W 7527 02416 9934 +145 +118 264048 050 /// /// 03
105800 2105N 07314W 7530 02417 9938 +146 +114 265052 053 /// /// 03
105830 2103N 07314W 7530 02423 9949 +142 +112 263051 052 /// /// 03
105900 2102N 07314W 7526 02431 9955 +139 +116 258049 050 /// /// 03
105930 2100N 07314W 7528 02429 9953 +144 +113 258047 048 /// /// 03
110000 2058N 07314W 7529 02432 9960 +139 +120 257045 046 /// /// 03
110030 2056N 07314W 7529 02434 9957 +145 +119 257042 043 /// /// 03
110100 2054N 07314W 7521 02444 9958 +141 //// 255040 042 /// /// 05
110130 2052N 07314W 7501 02467 9960 +139 +139 254042 043 /// /// 03
110200 2050N 07314W 7520 02448 9965 +136 //// 252036 039 /// /// 05
110230 2048N 07314W 7526 02442 9965 +139 //// 254038 040 /// /// 05
110300 2046N 07314W 7509 02466 9970 +138 +141 248037 038 047 016 00

[RL3AO]

AF303



432
URNT15 KNHC 241112
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 14 20110824
110230 2214N 07131W 3925 07670 0353 -135 //// 183042 043 /// /// 05
110300 2216N 07133W 3927 07667 0354 -135 //// 183042 044 /// /// 05
110330 2219N 07134W 3925 07669 0352 -135 //// 177039 041 /// /// 05
110400 2221N 07135W 3929 07662 0353 -135 //// 177040 041 /// /// 05
110430 2224N 07136W 4025 07505 0362 -124 //// 177043 044 /// /// 05
110500 2227N 07138W 4239 07107 0334 -103 //// 172043 044 /// /// 05
110530 2229N 07139W 4445 06742 0310 -083 //// 163043 043 /// /// 05
110600 2232N 07140W 4662 06358 0274 -067 //// 156045 045 /// /// 05
110630 2235N 07142W 4886 05989 0246 -049 //// 150050 051 /// /// 05
110700 2237N 07143W 5131 05602 0220 -031 //// 146055 057 /// /// 05
110730 2240N 07144W 5377 05226 0193 -018 //// 143058 058 /// /// 05
110800 2242N 07145W 5493 05054 0180 -010 //// 144054 054 /// /// 05
110830 2245N 07147W 5647 04835 //// -004 //// 143056 057 /// /// 05
110900 2247N 07148W 5821 04591 //// +006 //// 139053 054 /// /// 05
110930 2249N 07149W 6005 04348 //// +021 //// 137055 057 /// /// 05
111000 2251N 07150W 6204 04084 //// +034 //// 140060 060 /// /// 05
111030 2254N 07151W 6415 03809 //// +053 //// 138060 061 /// /// 05
111100 2256N 07152W 6613 03558 //// +068 //// 136061 062 /// /// 05
111130 2258N 07153W 6821 03303 //// +082 //// 134063 064 /// /// 05
111200 2300N 07154W 6957 03129 //// +095 //// 133063 063 /// /// 05
$$
;

[dwsqos2]

The 750 mb maximum wind from the NOAA plane was only 95 knots; this is a good demostration of why the ADT values aren't the most useful things in the world.

There were kind of hints of a secondary wind maximum in the NOAA data. There was a secondary peak 750 mb wind of 87 knots removed some distance from the center.

[RL3AO]

NOAA 2 eye drop.



384
UZNT13 KWBC 241115
XXAA 74118 99218 70732 08013 99957 27209 17503 00891 ///// /////
92303 25005 26004 85045 22626 04503 88999 77999
31313 09608 81046
51515 10167 07875
61616 NOAA2 1309A IRENE OB 07
62626 REL 2183N07322W 104612 SPG 2184N07323W 104914 WL150 26003 0
85 DLM WND 29001 956770 MBL WND 25504=

XXBB 74118 99218 70732 08013 00957 27209 11948 26607 22887 23204
33858 21808 44842 23036 55754 19646
21212 00957 17503 11776 00000 22770 12515 33754 26513
31313 09608 81046
51515 10167 07875
61616 NOAA2 1309A IRENE OB 07
62626 REL 2183N07322W 104612 SPG 2184N07323W 104914 WL150 26003 0
85 DLM WND 29001 956770 MBL WND 25504=


957mb

[RL3AO]

NOAA2



465
URNT15 KWBC 241113
NOAA2 1309A IRENE HDOB 18 20110824
110330 2044N 07314W 7506 02472 9971 +138 //// 248039 039 044 007 01
110400 2042N 07314W 7526 02450 9973 +142 +130 245037 038 042 005 00
110430 2040N 07314W 7543 02434 9975 +146 +108 248037 037 043 002 00
110500 2039N 07314W 7513 02469 9980 +140 +113 247036 037 042 003 00
110530 2037N 07314W 7517 02467 9985 +137 +120 250037 038 043 002 00
110600 2035N 07314W 7516 02467 9986 +136 +133 248043 047 042 008 00
110630 2033N 07314W 7498 02491 9985 +136 //// 243044 049 044 010 01
110700 2031N 07314W 7511 02480 9992 +134 +136 238041 044 044 008 00
110730 2029N 07314W 7542 02448 0000 +132 +131 243039 040 044 004 00
110800 2027N 07314W 7533 02459 0001 +133 +132 244036 037 042 003 00
110830 2026N 07314W 7533 02465 0004 +135 +130 242035 036 042 003 00
110900 2024N 07314W 7518 02481 0006 +131 //// 242032 034 042 003 01
110930 2022N 07313W 7522 02477 0007 +130 //// 247034 035 /// /// 05
111000 2021N 07311W 7520 02478 0008 +129 //// 246035 036 /// /// 05
111030 2022N 07309W 7506 02495 0008 +128 //// 241038 039 042 002 01
111100 2023N 07307W 7509 02489 0007 +128 //// 240038 039 042 002 01
111130 2024N 07305W 7503 02495 0006 +127 +132 238039 039 042 002 00
111200 2025N 07303W 7503 02494 0003 +128 +131 237039 039 043 001 00
111230 2027N 07301W 7504 02490 0000 +130 +127 236040 040 042 002 00
111300 2028N 07259W 7503 02488 9993 +134 +124 237039 039 042 001 00

[jlauderdal]

Wobble is very evident on the microwave loop.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... splay.html

those wobbles are looking more pronounced then we usually see, folks that doesnt mean its going to wobble at the peninsula and hit us but the loop does a good job displaying it, wobbles are a huge deal when it comes to being in an eyewall vs not of a landfalling system, we have seen that scenario play out many times when a 30 mile wobble puts someone right in the core that wouldn't have been without a wobble..difference between your roof coming off and not, ok enough of the dramatics, have fun trackign today, been a very interesting system

[RL3AO]

AF303



748
URNT15 KNHC 241122
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 15 20110824
111230 2302N 07155W 6967 03114 //// +095 //// 131061 062 /// /// 05
111300 2304N 07156W 6966 03117 //// +093 //// 129059 061 /// /// 05
111330 2306N 07157W 6967 03114 //// +090 //// 129057 058 /// /// 05
111400 2308N 07158W 6966 03119 //// +095 //// 128057 057 /// /// 05
111430 2310N 07159W 6969 03114 //// +093 //// 125057 058 /// /// 05
111500 2312N 07201W 6968 03114 //// +089 //// 126054 054 /// /// 05
111530 2314N 07202W 6967 03116 //// +090 //// 127053 054 /// /// 05
111600 2314N 07204W 6967 03116 //// +090 //// 125051 051 /// /// 05
111630 2314N 07207W 6967 03116 //// +090 //// 124051 052 /// /// 05
111700 2314N 07209W 6966 03117 //// +088 //// 125052 053 /// /// 05
111730 2313N 07210W 6967 03114 //// +090 //// 127053 054 /// /// 05
111800 2311N 07211W 6967 03113 //// +088 //// 124053 053 /// /// 05
111830 2310N 07213W 6967 03111 //// +091 //// 123054 054 /// /// 05
111900 2309N 07214W 6967 03110 //// +095 //// 121054 055 /// /// 05
111930 2307N 07215W 6969 03106 //// +092 //// 121058 059 /// /// 05
112000 2306N 07217W 6966 03107 //// +092 //// 121057 058 /// /// 05
112030 2304N 07218W 6970 03100 //// +092 //// 121056 058 /// /// 05
112100 2303N 07219W 6966 03102 //// +100 //// 120054 055 /// /// 05
112130 2302N 07221W 6969 03096 //// +100 //// 121053 054 /// /// 05
112200 2300N 07222W 6966 03097 //// +095 //// 119055 055 /// /// 05
$$
;

[WeatherGuesser]

Most of the major news sites (CNN, MSNBC, ABC) don't have Irene as top story...the earthquake/Libya situation take top billing.

http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/ameri ... index.html

[wxman57]

when do you all see turn toward nw? it suppose be turning nw today still going wnw

For the past 6 hours it's been tracking northwest (310 deg) at 9 kts. The turn has already occurred overnight.

[RL3AO]

NOAA 2



105
URNT15 KWBC 241123
NOAA2 1309A IRENE HDOB 19 20110824
111330 2029N 07256W 7505 02485 9992 +134 +124 235040 040 042 001 00
111400 2031N 07254W 7505 02484 9991 +134 +124 233040 040 042 001 00
111430 2032N 07252W 7506 02484 9991 +134 +124 233040 040 043 002 00
111500 2033N 07250W 7506 02482 9991 +132 +127 230041 042 043 001 00
111530 2034N 07248W 7504 02485 9993 +132 +123 228042 042 043 001 00
111600 2036N 07246W 7506 02483 9993 +132 +121 228043 043 043 001 00
111630 2037N 07244W 7507 02483 9994 +133 +121 227044 044 045 000 00
111700 2038N 07242W 7505 02485 9995 +132 +121 225046 046 043 002 00
111730 2039N 07240W 7505 02488 9997 +131 +122 224046 046 043 000 00
111800 2041N 07238W 7503 02489 9994 +135 +115 223044 044 043 000 00
111830 2042N 07235W 7503 02489 9994 +135 +117 222043 044 041 000 00
111900 2043N 07233W 7506 02484 9996 +130 +122 219046 046 042 000 00
111930 2045N 07231W 7506 02485 9995 +132 +121 219046 047 042 000 00
112000 2046N 07229W 7506 02485 9997 +131 +118 216045 045 042 001 00
112030 2047N 07227W 7506 02485 9998 +130 +120 212045 045 042 000 00
112100 2049N 07224W 7507 02485 9998 +131 +119 210046 047 042 002 00
112130 2050N 07222W 7506 02485 9994 +134 +120 210044 046 042 003 00
112200 2051N 07220W 7505 02488 9994 +134 +126 212044 046 039 006 00
112230 2052N 07218W 7520 02471 9993 +135 +139 211051 054 039 008 03
112300 2054N 07217W 7526 02465 9993 +138 +129 214050 052 /// /// 03

[RL3AO]

AF303



943
URNT15 KNHC 241132
AF303 1409A IRENE HDOB 16 20110824
112230 2259N 07223W 6967 03094 //// +090 //// 119056 057 /// /// 05
112300 2258N 07224W 6968 03089 //// +087 //// 120060 063 /// /// 05
112330 2256N 07226W 6970 03086 //// +091 //// 119059 060 /// /// 05
112400 2255N 07227W 6968 03085 //// +095 //// 117058 059 /// /// 05
112430 2253N 07228W 6967 03086 //// +100 //// 117059 060 /// /// 05
112500 2252N 07230W 6967 03082 //// +101 //// 118060 060 /// /// 05
112530 2251N 07231W 6967 03080 //// +098 //// 114063 065 /// /// 05
112600 2249N 07232W 6965 03078 //// +097 //// 114065 065 /// /// 05
112630 2248N 07234W 6966 03074 //// +089 //// 115067 068 /// /// 05
112700 2246N 07235W 6971 03067 //// +083 //// 119068 070 /// /// 05
112730 2245N 07236W 6975 03060 //// +080 //// 124068 071 /// /// 05
112800 2244N 07237W 6963 03071 //// +080 //// 128075 077 /// /// 05
112830 2242N 07239W 6964 03064 //// +088 //// 136078 079 /// /// 05
112900 2241N 07240W 6966 03058 //// +089 //// 138083 086 /// /// 05
112930 2240N 07241W 6967 03050 //// +083 //// 135086 087 /// /// 05
113000 2239N 07242W 6971 03040 //// +083 //// 135085 089 /// /// 05
113030 2238N 07243W 6966 03049 //// +088 //// 138075 080 /// /// 05
113100 2237N 07244W 6954 03051 //// +090 //// 146067 073 /// /// 05
113130 2235N 07245W 6947 03069 //// +078 //// 130072 079 /// /// 05
113200 2234N 07247W 6948 03069 //// +078 //// 128076 083 /// /// 05
$$
;

[tolakram]

I can take a mission or do center fixes on graphics...ge is running slow for me tonight. May have to reinstall it tomorrow.

I had ge crash on me multiple times, did not like me showing both planes at once. Last time I used it, last year, it never crashed. Hopefully they update it. I am going to reinstall as well.

[Canelaw99]

From the 5am discussion regarding movement:
SATELLITE ANIMATION AND CENTER FIXES SHOW THAT THE EYE OF IRENE HAS
BEEN WOBBLING BETWEEN A WEST AND NORTHWEST HEADING OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS. SMOOTHING THROUGH THESE WOBBLES YIELDS A MORE
REPRESENTATIVE MOTION OF ABOUT 295/8. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE
TO THE TRACK FORECAST REASONING FROM THE PAST FEW ADVISORIES. OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH AS IT MOVES THROUGH A
PRONOUNCED WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AROUND 72 HOURS...A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES SHOULD BEGIN TO
INDUCE AT LEAST A SLIGHT TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH SOME
ACCELERATION AFTERWARDS.

[RL3AO]

NOAA2



072
URNT15 KWBC 241133
NOAA2 1309A IRENE HDOB 20 20110824
112330 2056N 07217W 7530 02460 9997 +134 +126 210052 053 040 005 00
112400 2058N 07219W 7507 02485 0000 +129 +127 207048 049 041 004 00
112430 2100N 07220W 7502 02490 9996 +130 +129 207049 051 043 004 00
112500 2101N 07222W 7523 02463 9997 +128 +125 205049 049 046 004 00
112530 2103N 07223W 7518 02467 9989 +134 +130 204052 054 046 005 00
112600 2104N 07225W 7524 02460 9990 +131 +132 205053 053 046 005 00
112630 2106N 07227W 7508 02476 9988 +130 +128 207053 054 046 006 00
112700 2107N 07228W 7527 02450 9984 +132 +125 207054 055 046 007 00
112730 2109N 07230W 7506 02471 9976 +135 +133 207056 057 048 012 00
112800 2110N 07232W 7518 02455 9973 +135 +129 205057 057 047 007 00
112830 2112N 07233W 7501 02470 9970 +132 +135 203060 063 048 009 00
112900 2113N 07235W 7496 02470 9955 +139 //// 211062 064 050 020 01
112930 2115N 07236W 7494 02473 9957 +140 +124 209060 062 054 009 03
113000 2117N 07238W 7525 02432 9952 +140 +126 210059 061 046 004 00
113030 2118N 07240W 7503 02454 9949 +140 +124 206057 057 047 003 00
113100 2120N 07241W 7518 02434 9945 +139 +133 213059 059 049 004 00
113130 2121N 07243W 7532 02416 9941 +142 +120 215060 061 046 004 00
113200 2122N 07244W 7545 02400 9936 +147 +120 213060 061 048 005 00
113230 2124N 07246W 7540 02398 9926 +148 +119 211062 063 047 005 00
113300 2125N 07247W 7515 02421 9926 +143 +116 211064 065 048 003 00

[tolakram]

live vis loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... map=latlon

last frame