tolakram wrote:... and the last time the UKMET was right about a track was ....
Don't know how the Ukie is in the tropics but it can be very good once up to the mid latitudes. I use it heavily for tracking shortwaves.
ATL: IRENE - Models
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Don't know how the Ukie is in the tropics but it can be very good once up to the mid latitudes. I use it heavily for tracking shortwaves.
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Re:
gatorcane wrote:The 1 degree westward shift in the GFS that was mentioned earlier in this thread:
00Z GFS 42 hours:
06Z GFS 36 hours:
wouldn't take that much more of a shift west to bring TS conditions to coastal areas of SEFL?
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seahawkjd
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
What is a 1 degree shift as far as miles and while I know its just a model, what implication would that have for NC? Small shifts here and there are starting to make all the difference in the world when all of your family lives in eastern NC.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
seahawkjd wrote:What is a 1 degree shift as far as miles and while I know its just a model, what implication would that have for NC? Small shifts here and there are starting to make all the difference in the world when all of your family lives in eastern NC.
I believe it is about 60 miles
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gatorcane
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GFS ensembles 06Z:
Dynamic Model Guidance 06Z, you can see they are trending eastward some from the 00Z models (image below):
00Z:
Dynamic Model Guidance 06Z, you can see they are trending eastward some from the 00Z models (image below):
00Z:
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Aug 24, 2011 8:34 am, edited 1 time in total.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
Please copy images instead of direct linking. With the imageshack link below it's not that difficult.
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
tolakram wrote:Please copy images instead of direct linking. With the imageshack link below it's not that difficult.
done
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Riptide
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
The operational GFS and GFDL went west at 06z, there are still some questions to be answered.
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SouthFloridawx
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:If that GFDL run verifies, my area can expect catastrophic flooding...
Where is your area?
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wxman57
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
12Z models continue to shift east. Now only the 06Z GFDL takes Irene into the Outer Banks. And the GFDL has been too far west for the past week.
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Re: Re:
SouthFloridawx wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:If that GFDL run verifies, my area can expect catastrophic flooding...
Where is your area?
Yeah Crazy ... how about adding a location to your profile.
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12z NAM +24 (for synoptic purposes only)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
12z NAM +36 (for synoptic purposes only)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
12z NAM +36 (for synoptic purposes only)
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Last edited by Jevo on Wed Aug 24, 2011 9:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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CrazyC83
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Re: Re:
SouthFloridawx wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:If that GFDL run verifies, my area can expect catastrophic flooding...
Where is your area?
I'm in far eastern Ontario, Canada now. I'd be about 70 miles west of the center.
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Re: Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:If that GFDL run verifies, my area can expect catastrophic flooding...
Where is your area?
I'm in far eastern Ontario, Canada now. I'd be about 70 miles west of the center.
farther Far eastern that me?
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models
The only difference I saw in the NAM was the second shortwave kicker was not as strong as the 6z where it closed it off. No difference down here in VA but it could effect the solution north of here.
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