ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Texashawk]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250753
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 14 20110825
074330 2205N 07220W 3926 07707 0391 -169 -381 192020 021 /// /// 03
074400 2206N 07223W 3926 07707 0391 -162 -381 200020 020 /// /// 03
074430 2207N 07225W 3927 07701 0389 -160 -372 194020 020 /// /// 03
074500 2208N 07227W 3926 07704 0388 -160 -365 193020 021 /// /// 03
074530 2210N 07230W 3925 07704 0387 -160 -341 197021 021 /// /// 03
074600 2211N 07232W 3926 07700 0386 -162 -263 199021 022 /// /// 03
074630 2212N 07235W 3927 07699 0385 -161 -248 190021 022 /// /// 03
074700 2213N 07237W 3926 07699 0383 -166 -299 189023 023 /// /// 03
074730 2214N 07240W 3926 07699 0383 -166 -346 187023 023 /// /// 03
074800 2216N 07242W 3926 07698 0382 -170 -282 189023 024 /// /// 03
074830 2217N 07245W 3924 07700 0382 -170 -246 197025 025 /// /// 03
074900 2218N 07247W 3926 07696 0382 -170 -260 202026 027 /// /// 03
074930 2219N 07250W 3927 07695 0382 -170 -247 197026 028 /// /// 03
075000 2221N 07252W 3927 07694 0382 -175 -221 200026 026 /// /// 03
075030 2222N 07255W 3926 07698 0382 -175 -234 200025 026 /// /// 03
075100 2223N 07257W 3927 07695 0382 -174 -232 198027 029 /// /// 03
075130 2225N 07259W 3923 07703 0381 -172 -241 198028 029 /// /// 03
075200 2226N 07302W 3925 07696 0380 -171 -281 199029 030 /// /// 03
075230 2227N 07304W 3926 07692 0377 -175 -278 197030 030 /// /// 03
075300 2228N 07306W 3931 07681 0375 -179 -273 188030 032 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Texashawk]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250803
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 15 20110825
075330 2230N 07309W 3928 07682 0372 -178 -221 182032 033 /// /// 03
075400 2231N 07311W 3925 07690 0372 -170 -184 186034 034 /// /// 03
075430 2232N 07314W 3925 07689 0372 -166 -182 190034 035 /// /// 03
075500 2234N 07316W 3925 07687 0370 -174 -199 199038 039 /// /// 03
075530 2235N 07319W 3926 07686 0370 -183 -235 198038 038 /// /// 03
075600 2236N 07321W 3926 07684 0369 -180 -247 196038 038 /// /// 03
075630 2238N 07323W 3928 07681 0368 -179 -255 194040 041 /// /// 03
075700 2239N 07326W 3926 07683 0367 -174 -200 196042 044 /// /// 03
075730 2240N 07328W 3926 07680 0365 -172 -228 194040 043 /// /// 03
075800 2242N 07331W 3926 07678 0364 -161 -211 196037 038 /// /// 03
075830 2243N 07333W 3926 07677 0362 -159 -189 203037 038 /// /// 03
075900 2244N 07335W 3931 07669 0363 -157 -193 208040 041 /// /// 03
075930 2246N 07338W 3930 07671 0363 -160 -203 210042 043 /// /// 03
080000 2247N 07340W 3930 07671 0363 -160 -190 213044 045 /// /// 03
080030 2248N 07342W 3929 07675 0365 -160 -192 213043 044 /// /// 03
080100 2249N 07344W 3926 07682 0366 -161 -186 217042 043 /// /// 03
080130 2250N 07346W 3925 07681 0364 -150 -165 224040 040 /// /// 03
080200 2251N 07348W 3926 07676 0359 -153 -171 225043 046 /// /// 03
080230 2252N 07350W 3969 07593 0353 -161 -177 220049 051 /// /// 03
080300 2253N 07352W 4103 07342 0339 -163 -173 210051 051 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Texashawk]

Dropping down... here we go.

000
URNT15 KNHC 250813
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 16 20110825
080330 2254N 07354W 4243 07088 0324 -142 -174 206051 051 /// /// 03
080400 2255N 07356W 4382 06841 0308 -120 -175 205049 050 /// /// 03
080430 2257N 07358W 4531 06587 0294 -104 -140 205047 049 /// /// 03
080500 2258N 07400W 4693 06315 0278 -089 -090 200049 049 /// /// 03
080530 2259N 07403W 4855 06051 0261 -070 -110 202050 051 /// /// 03
080600 2300N 07405W 5024 05780 0243 -061 -077 202052 053 /// /// 03
080630 2301N 07407W 5205 05500 0225 -043 -059 197051 052 /// /// 03
080700 2302N 07409W 5389 05224 0206 -026 -040 195051 052 /// /// 03
080730 2303N 07411W 5571 04955 0011 -009 -029 197050 050 /// /// 03
080800 2304N 07413W 5771 04671 0024 +002 -013 200051 051 /// /// 03
080830 2305N 07415W 5986 04376 0018 +021 +008 197051 052 /// /// 03
080900 2306N 07417W 6193 04095 0018 +031 //// 190051 051 /// /// 05
080930 2307N 07418W 6381 03850 //// +018 //// 188054 055 /// /// 05
081000 2308N 07420W 6610 03558 //// +037 //// 196055 058 /// /// 05
081030 2309N 07422W 6734 03399 0015 +066 //// 207064 066 /// /// 05
081100 2310N 07424W 6882 03216 0012 +079 //// 204059 062 /// /// 05
081130 2311N 07426W 6960 03118 9997 +085 //// 197058 059 /// /// 05
081200 2312N 07427W 6967 03106 9991 +095 //// 195058 058 /// /// 05
081230 2313N 07429W 6967 03106 //// +082 //// 195060 061 /// /// 05
081300 2314N 07431W 6965 03106 0002 +083 //// 193061 061 /// /// 05
$$
;

[Texashawk]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250823
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 17 20110825
081330 2315N 07433W 6967 03101 9995 +087 //// 194061 061 /// /// 05
081400 2316N 07434W 6967 03121 0014 +088 //// 196059 060 /// /// 05
081430 2317N 07436W 6967 03121 0014 +085 //// 195058 058 /// /// 05
081500 2318N 07438W 6966 03118 0020 +083 //// 194057 058 /// /// 05
081530 2319N 07439W 6970 03110 0020 +082 //// 197059 060 /// /// 05
081600 2320N 07441W 6965 03115 0005 +089 //// 196061 061 /// /// 05
081630 2320N 07443W 6970 03109 0006 +084 //// 196061 061 /// /// 05
081700 2321N 07445W 6965 03104 9993 +090 //// 195061 061 /// /// 05
081730 2322N 07446W 6966 03095 0000 +084 //// 196062 063 /// /// 05
081800 2324N 07448W 6970 03103 0007 +079 //// 197063 063 /// /// 05
081830 2325N 07449W 6965 03094 9994 +082 //// 198065 066 /// /// 05
081900 2327N 07451W 6968 03094 9995 +083 //// 197067 067 /// /// 05
081930 2328N 07452W 6963 03098 0001 +080 //// 197067 068 /// /// 05
082000 2330N 07454W 6967 03096 0003 +071 //// 196069 069 /// /// 05
082030 2331N 07455W 6967 03092 //// +066 //// 196072 073 046 008 05
082100 2332N 07457W 6968 03087 //// +062 //// 196073 073 048 007 01
082130 2334N 07458W 6971 03079 //// +057 //// 198073 074 048 011 01
082200 2335N 07500W 6960 03091 //// +061 //// 203065 067 050 010 01
082230 2337N 07501W 6967 03080 //// +065 //// 201066 066 050 010 01
082300 2338N 07503W 6964 03080 //// +062 //// 197066 067 050 015 01
$$
;

[Texashawk]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250833
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 18 20110825
082330 2339N 07504W 6967 03073 //// +066 //// 198070 072 054 017 01
082400 2341N 07506W 6984 03041 //// +064 //// 205074 078 056 019 01
082430 2342N 07507W 6963 03065 //// +070 //// 213065 066 054 011 01
082500 2343N 07509W 6972 03049 //// +078 //// 215070 072 056 011 01
082530 2345N 07510W 6991 03028 //// +067 //// 214071 080 057 021 01
082600 2346N 07511W 6976 03038 //// +073 //// 215077 082 059 025 01
082630 2347N 07513W 6968 03049 9932 +090 //// 214075 076 061 013 01
082700 2349N 07514W 6974 03043 9922 +101 +095 213074 075 057 008 00
082730 2350N 07516W 6959 03055 9929 +092 +091 212077 077 052 003 00
082800 2351N 07517W 6969 03043 9923 +096 +091 215076 076 052 001 00
082830 2353N 07518W 6970 03033 9912 +099 +089 213075 076 054 004 00
082900 2354N 07520W 6965 03034 //// +077 //// 212077 080 054 006 01
082930 2355N 07521W 6962 03032 //// +066 //// 215079 080 057 010 01
083000 2356N 07523W 6974 03012 //// +065 //// 212083 086 059 010 01
083030 2357N 07524W 6959 03028 //// +070 //// 215082 083 058 010 01
083100 2359N 07525W 6968 03013 //// +077 //// 216079 080 062 011 01
083130 2400N 07527W 6971 03006 //// +072 //// 217082 083 065 016 01
083200 2401N 07528W 6955 03012 //// +076 //// 220078 079 064 017 01
083230 2402N 07530W 6966 03002 //// +084 //// 222078 080 063 013 01
083300 2403N 07531W 6980 02984 //// +084 //// 219078 079 063 010 01
$$
;

[jlauderdal]

Slow Movement on those storms coming in, look at last column...

[jpigott]

Looks like SEFL is going to get into the action here in a few hours

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Texashawk]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250843
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 19 20110825
083330 2404N 07532W 6965 02999 9857 +096 //// 219081 082 063 008 01
083400 2405N 07534W 6970 02987 9845 +106 //// 221082 083 061 005 01
083430 2407N 07535W 6970 02980 9840 +105 //// 221082 083 061 004 01
083500 2408N 07536W 6967 02976 9825 +112 +101 220080 081 061 004 00
083530 2409N 07538W 6966 02971 9827 +107 +096 219082 082 061 004 00
083600 2410N 07539W 6962 02965 9820 +101 //// 220082 082 062 003 01
083630 2411N 07541W 6972 02951 //// +081 //// 224082 083 060 008 01
083700 2412N 07542W 6964 02953 9797 +106 //// 223084 086 062 004 01
083730 2413N 07543W 6968 02941 9786 +113 +110 224083 083 062 005 00
083800 2414N 07545W 6964 02939 9788 +094 //// 227080 081 064 007 01
083830 2416N 07546W 6980 02911 //// +082 //// 237083 085 066 012 01
083900 2417N 07547W 6963 02919 //// +084 //// 240086 086 068 011 01
083930 2417N 07548W 6966 02912 //// +084 //// 238087 089 068 011 01
084000 2418N 07549W 6967 02897 //// +095 //// 234088 089 071 007 01
084030 2419N 07550W 6967 02894 9736 +109 //// 235085 087 069 004 01
084100 2420N 07552W 6966 02888 9720 +116 //// 236081 084 071 001 01
084130 2422N 07553W 6965 02875 9699 +125 //// 235072 074 070 004 01
084200 2423N 07554W 6968 02866 9686 +129 //// 232065 069 068 003 01
084230 2424N 07556W 6969 02858 9670 +138 +121 237060 060 065 001 00
084300 2425N 07557W 6975 02848 9652 +150 +113 238060 061 062 002 03
$$
;

[bamajammer4eva]

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM
NORTH OF SURF CITY TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING
THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 76.2W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ESE OF NASSAU
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM S OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA-VIRGINIA
BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA

[Texashawk]

That's all for me... waited for the pressure reading; still dropping! Who wants to take over?

000
URNT15 KNHC 250853
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 20 20110825
084330 2426N 07558W 6963 02847 9647 +146 +110 236061 062 058 001 03
084400 2428N 07559W 6975 02830 9642 +142 +111 242058 058 054 003 00
084430 2429N 07600W 6964 02831 9636 +139 +110 245060 062 054 001 00
084500 2430N 07601W 6965 02825 9620 +145 +109 248061 062 054 001 03
084530 2432N 07602W 6963 02812 9602 +146 +112 249063 064 055 002 00
084600 2433N 07603W 6967 02792 9586 +147 +113 251061 063 059 003 00
084630 2435N 07604W 6967 02776 9574 +143 +117 251061 063 059 004 00
084700 2436N 07605W 6965 02766 9546 +157 +123 250059 060 060 005 00
084730 2438N 07605W 6967 02748 9522 +165 +123 248052 054 055 004 00
084800 2439N 07606W 6967 02737 9512 +163 +125 249042 047 048 003 00
084830 2441N 07607W 6971 02723 9504 +162 +126 253028 032 041 002 03
084900 2442N 07608W 6966 02721 9497 +158 +127 256018 022 032 002 03
084930 2444N 07609W 6967 02716 9491 +160 +127 276010 012 021 002 03
085000 2446N 07609W 6965 02712 9494 +150 +127 279000 003 018 003 03
085030 2447N 07609W 6967 02715 9496 +149 +126 078010 015 /// /// 03
085100 2449N 07610W 6973 02700 9488 +164 +125 056023 027 /// /// 03
085130 2450N 07612W 6965 02721 9479 +175 +125 057034 037 031 000 03
085200 2451N 07613W 6970 02729 9505 +165 +125 052047 048 043 001 00
085230 2453N 07615W 6963 02752 9536 +152 +124 050054 056 056 005 00
085300 2454N 07616W 6969 02760 9545 +159 +123 051061 062 056 008 00
$$
;

[Brent]

[xironman]

I expected more of a west shift in the latter period due to the Euro.

[bob rulz]

I find this to be the most interesting part of the discussion:

AFTER A COUPLE
OF DAYS...THE SHIPS GUIDANCE SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN
VERTICAL SHEAR...SO A STEADY DECREASE IN INTENSITY IS LIKELY.

No doubt it will still be a very large and dangerous hurricane, but hopefully that shear can weaken it more than expected. The track still looks very ugly...this is almost a Donna-like situation for the East Coast, although it could be stronger than Donna was when it passed the Mid-Atlantic.

[KWT]

Looks like dry air is getting wrapped into the center, doesn't look as good as it did yesterday night.

[InRRwetrust]

is this it anyone?
000
URNT15 KNHC 250943
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 25 20110825
093330 2501N 07740W 6961 03067 9933 +099 //// 014045 046 048 004 01
093400 2459N 07740W 6971 03054 9940 +093 //// 015043 044 048 005 01
093430 2457N 07740W 6965 03061 9942 +090 //// 015046 046 048 005 01
093500 2455N 07740W 6967 03059 9949 +086 //// 015046 048 048 005 01
093530 2453N 07740W 6967 03057 9947 +089 //// 011045 046 048 005 01
093600 2451N 07740W 6963 03063 //// +078 //// 013044 044 048 005 01
093630 2448N 07741W 6967 03059 //// +068 //// 011045 046 047 005 01
093700 2446N 07741W 6971 03050 //// +065 //// 008047 048 047 005 01
093730 2444N 07741W 6964 03061 //// +069 //// 001043 045 046 006 01
093800 2442N 07741W 6965 03059 //// +070 //// 350043 044 046 005 01
093830 2440N 07741W 6967 03056 9944 +085 //// 347043 045 045 001 01
093900 2438N 07741W 6967 03057 9942 +091 //// 346039 040 045 000 01
093930 2436N 07742W 6961 03062 9941 +090 //// 345042 044 046 002 01
094000 2433N 07742W 6969 03056 9938 +095 +094 343046 047 042 002 03
094030 2431N 07742W 6970 03053 9939 +095 +092 341048 050 037 001 00
094100 2429N 07742W 6967 03058 9939 +095 +091 339051 051 035 000 00
094130 2427N 07742W 6967 03059 9941 +095 +091 339051 052 033 000 00
094200 2425N 07742W 6966 03061 9936 +098 +089 340053 053 054 000 03
094230 2423N 07743W 6961 03069 9939 +100 +083 341053 054 /// /// 03
094300 2420N 07743W 6969 03062 9947 +095 +091 340046 048 /// /// 03

[GCANE]

US Astronaut Ron Garan (ISS) took the below image of Hurricane Irene from on board the International Space Station (ISS) at 3:14PM EST on Wednesday, 24 August 2011.

The Category 3 Hurricane was located east of The Bahamas at the time.

[InRRwetrust]

I`ll take the above as a "yes" lol
000
URNT15 KNHC 250953
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 26 20110825
094330 2418N 07743W 6969 03065 9950 +094 //// 336046 048 052 006 05
094400 2416N 07743W 6968 03068 //// +074 //// 333047 050 /// /// 05
094430 2414N 07743W 6968 03067 //// +079 //// 328048 049 /// /// 05
094500 2412N 07743W 6961 03078 9945 +098 //// 328052 053 /// /// 05
094530 2410N 07743W 6968 03071 9941 +104 //// 328052 054 090 006 05
094600 2408N 07744W 6969 03071 9946 +101 //// 326050 051 /// /// 05
094630 2406N 07744W 6968 03073 9951 +100 //// 320049 051 /// /// 05
094700 2404N 07744W 6965 03079 9953 +098 +093 320051 052 /// /// 03
094730 2401N 07744W 6970 03074 9956 +098 +091 321051 052 /// /// 03
094800 2359N 07744W 6966 03083 9963 +095 +091 322050 051 /// /// 03
094830 2357N 07744W 6970 03079 9967 +095 +091 319048 049 /// /// 03
094900 2355N 07745W 6965 03088 9970 +094 +093 318045 046 /// /// 03
094930 2353N 07745W 6966 03088 9973 +092 //// 314043 045 /// /// 05
095000 2351N 07745W 6967 03086 9970 +096 //// 315041 042 109 012 05
095030 2349N 07745W 6967 03088 9970 +095 +094 312039 040 066 000 03
095100 2347N 07745W 6967 03090 9972 +096 +094 312038 039 052 000 03
095130 2345N 07745W 6968 03090 9970 +100 +091 311036 037 068 002 03
095200 2343N 07746W 6963 03095 9969 +101 +084 314038 038 /// /// 03
095230 2342N 07744W 6958 03105 9970 +102 +081 313036 037 /// /// 03
095300 2342N 07743W 6961 03099 9972 +101 +082 313034 035 /// /// 03

[GCANE]

Overshooting Tops in Hurricane Irene


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/


Automated detection of overshooting tops allows identification of regions of intense convective updrafts that penetrate into the stratosphere.

Overshooting tops correlate well with regions of intense rainfall and with severe weather.

In tropical systems, overshooting tops are most frequent during intensification.

[InRRwetrust]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251003
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 27 20110825
095330 2344N 07742W 6973 03084 9973 +098 +083 308035 036 049 002 03
095400 2345N 07740W 6969 03089 9973 +099 +082 307037 038 /// /// 03
095430 2346N 07739W 6961 03096 9974 +094 +084 303039 040 /// /// 03
095500 2348N 07738W 6969 03085 9970 +097 +081 304039 040 /// /// 03
095530 2349N 07736W 6968 03084 9970 +095 +081 306040 041 /// /// 03
095600 2350N 07735W 6966 03085 9971 +093 +084 306043 045 109 002 03
095630 2351N 07733W 6963 03085 9965 +094 +084 306044 046 /// /// 03
095700 2353N 07732W 6969 03075 9962 +094 +083 306048 049 /// /// 03
095730 2354N 07731W 6966 03075 9956 +098 +074 308048 049 /// /// 03
095800 2355N 07729W 6970 03069 9951 +102 +068 305050 050 034 002 00
095830 2357N 07728W 6962 03078 9943 +105 +065 305049 050 033 002 00
095900 2358N 07726W 6969 03067 9936 +107 +071 307046 046 034 001 00
095930 2359N 07725W 6970 03062 9935 +108 +074 306044 045 036 001 00
100000 2400N 07724W 6964 03069 9928 +113 +076 309043 044 036 000 03
100030 2402N 07722W 6964 03065 9912 +122 +071 306045 045 037 000 00
100100 2403N 07721W 6974 03049 9923 +112 +074 313044 045 037 001 00
100130 2404N 07720W 6963 03060 9936 +097 +082 314044 044 038 002 00
100200 2406N 07718W 6971 03049 9927 +102 +085 314043 044 039 002 00
100230 2407N 07717W 6959 03058 9930 +097 +086 311041 042 041 001 00
100300 2408N 07715W 6974 03038 9928 +095 +084 306039 040 040 000 03

[Typhoon Hunter]

From this loop it looks as if Irene has started the turn to the north if I'm not mistaken. It looks like Nassau will just miss or be clipped by the core central convection - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html