ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

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underthwx
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2481 Postby underthwx » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:11 pm

been watching Lee's western rain-bands inching-along down the coast from the NE all morning towards Houston-Galveston.....and I mean slow like a turtle....dont know if it makes it much further....it appears closer than earlier...








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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2482 Postby ravyrn » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:11 pm

Have any other models hinted at the NAM's solution, either in current or previous runs?
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2483 Postby JSDS » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:14 pm

SoupBone wrote:
CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
SoupBone wrote:Another tornado warning for Baton Rouge. I believe this is the 7th so far for this area. Pretty crazy.


Soupbone, have any been confirmed or have they just been the potential to form by radar?


So far I see no confirmed touchdowns. I hope it stays that way. I've never seen so many warnings like this for one area.


Walker Police reported a funnel cloud being spotted about 6 mile east of the town of Livingston. That's the first confirmed sighting I've heard of today.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2484 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:19 pm

It is interesting to watch underthwx. As KFDM showed earlier wonder if the NAM could have been on to something splitting Lee up and sending the piece of energy left behind in western LA back south into the gulf.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2485 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:21 pm

Nice hot dry wind here....though the clouds are darker. I guess I will take that... :roll:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2486 Postby LaBreeze » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:21 pm

Heavy rain and gusts picking up big time here in Vermilion Parish. Pouring!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2487 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:22 pm

1 Confirmed touchdown according to SPC

Code: Select all

1810       3 NW MAURICE   LAFAYETTE   LA   3014    9216    LAFAYETTE SHERIFF RELAYED A PUBLIC REPORT OF A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR GOLDEN GRAIN RD.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2488 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:24 pm

18z NAM shows the same thing as the 12z. Splits it in 2.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2489 Postby underthwx » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:26 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:It is interesting to watch underthwx. As KFDM showed earlier wonder if the NAM could have been on to something splitting Lee up and sending the piece of energy left behind in western LA back south into the gulf.


might explain what im seeing on the loop CM.....those bands moving sw from a stationary system?.....



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Last edited by underthwx on Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2490 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:26 pm

interesting as the LLC makes landfall it looks like a west wobble is bringing in some moisture into SE TX....is the hestitate all the models were showing then race off to the NE? is the this the loop a lot were showing earlier?.....or is the NAM really thinking straight. It does good with CONUS synopics....hmmmm
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2491 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:27 pm

Rock that western rain band is inching down the coast. You think it will make it there?
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2492 Postby wxman57 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:27 pm

bluezman03 wrote:Long-time lurker. Just signed up. Was raining sideways here around noon. Just had a period of no rain but it looks like we should be getting more again soon.

Got my smoker going with a pork butt roast on enjoying the cool weather. Luckily I have a covered porch to do so.

What do you guys think the odds of Lee strengthening are at this point? Looks to still be fighting some dry air to the west still.


Welcome to the world of non-lurking, bluzeman! Although a few squalls developed near Lee's center a few hours ago, they've now dissipated. I think Lee has reached its peak already and is now slowly declining.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2493 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:28 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Rock that western rain band is inching down the coast. You think it will make it there?



PW values have to be inching up some to even have these bands make it this far....the west wobble helped...
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2494 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:29 pm

bamajammer4eva wrote:1 Confirmed touchdown according to SPC

Code: Select all

1810       3 NW MAURICE   LAFAYETTE   LA   3014    9216    LAFAYETTE SHERIFF RELAYED A PUBLIC REPORT OF A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN NEAR GOLDEN GRAIN RD.



I wouldn't call that 'confirmed'. That's third or fourth hand at best.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2495 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:32 pm

looks like a band is forming outside the main shield...still holding together and approaching the West loop....

the main rainshield can only get to 59N and basically cuts off....

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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#2496 Postby cpdaman » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:34 pm

looks like eastern half of houston will see some rain in next hour
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2497 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:34 pm

defintely a west motion over all....at least with the rain...I can smell it now...I am going to stand outside and wait for it!! :D


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... h&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2498 Postby Nederlander » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:38 pm

ravyrn wrote:Have any other models hinted at the NAM's solution, either in current or previous runs?

Yeah they all did several days ago lol.. Crazy crazy Lee
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2499 Postby rtd2 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:38 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:The weather underground has what they call the wundermap. It is really cool with observations and radar. Here is a link for south Louisiana, hope it works.

wundermap

Tropicwatch





Cool links..Thanks
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2500 Postby JtSmarts » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:38 pm

ROCK wrote:defintely a west motion over all....at least with the rain...I can smell it now...I am going to stand outside and wait for it!! :D


http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... h&loop=yes


I'm rooting for you guys to get something. Maybe Lee has a few surprises in store. :D
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