Caribbean - Central America Weather

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
1100 AM AST THU SEP 08 2011

...MARIA MOVING WESTWARD IN A HURRY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 51.2W
ABOUT 660 MI...1060 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS.
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA.
* ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MARIA COULD BE DEGENERATING INTO A TROPICAL WAVE AT THIS
TIME...AND AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM
LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...EVEN IF MARIA BECOMES A TROPICAL WAVE LATER
TODAY...THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD OF REGENERATION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[Macrocane]

The temperatures in Central America on September 7, 2011
-Cooler than normal lows in Belize, warmer than normal in Nicaragua and close to average in the rest of the region.
-Near normal highs were registered in most of Central America except in Nicaragua that had warmer than normal highs.

Minimum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 22°C (72°F) Coolest since May 6
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 20.4°C (68.7°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 17°C (63°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 10.3°C (50.5°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 24°C (75°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 20.5°C (68.9°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 12.8°C (55.0°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 23.3°C (73.9°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 19°C (66°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 15°C (59°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 24°C (75°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 20°C (68°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 17.7°C (63.9°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 22.9°C (73.2°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 6.4°C (43.5°F)
Panama city, Panama 23.4°C (74.1°F)
Boquete, Panama 13.8°C (56.8°F)

Maximum Temperatures
Belize city, Belize 31°C (88°F)
Mountain Pine Ridge, Belize 29.4°C (84.9°F)
Guatemala city, Guatemala 25°C (77°F)
Quetzaltenango, Guatemala 21.3°C (70.3°F)
Zacapa, Guatemala 34°C (93°F)
San Salvador, El Salvador 28.5°C (83.3°F)
Las Pilas, El Salvador 21.3°C (70.3°F)
San Miguel, El Salvador 34.6°C (94.3°F)
Tegucigalpa, Honduras 29°C (84°F)
La Esperanza, Honduras 24°C (75°F)
Choluteca, Honduras 33°C (91°F)
Managua, Nicaragua 32°C (90°F)
Jinotega, Nicaragua 29°C (84°F)
San Jose, Costa Rica 27.1°C (80.8°F)
Liberia, Costa Rica 32.0°C (89.6°F)
Irazu volcano, Costa Rica 14.8°C (58.6°F)
Panama city, Panama 30.7°C (87.3°F)
Boquete, Panama 21.7°C (71.1°F)

[cycloneye]

...MARIA NOT WELL ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 52.0W
ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
500 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011

...MARIA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN A LITTLE...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 52.7W
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST. MARIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MARIA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...IF WEAKENING DOES NOT OCCUR...TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM MARIA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
630 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011

THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
GUADELOUPE.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Gustywind]

A halo around the Moon
franceantilles.fr08.09.2011

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 124997.php

A ring of light hung the Moon Wednesday night. Those who thought to an alien invasion, or any sign of the end of the world can exclude these assumptions. It was simply a lunar halo. "It is the reflection of light caused by the moon through crystals of ice, present in some high-altitude clouds" explains Maurice Henry researcher and enthusiast of astronomy.
An impressive phenomenon which was visible especially in the South of the island. It can occur the same thing with the Sun. Referred to as a solar Halo.
Several parameters should coincide in order to observe this type of phenomenon, as the angle of observation, temperature, humidity. It is the same principle as for Rainbows. According to Maurice Henry, this is not a new phenomenon. For the history, in 1899 in Saint-Pierre, many people were impressed a lunar halo.
You can also discover on the site: http://www.zenith972.org/, photos, and the testimony of time.

[Gustywind]

Weather: Maria should give its first rains Friday
franceantilles.fr09.09.2011

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 125005.php


It is always the great uncertainty concerning the Storm Maria. The phenomenon is not very organized, and the storm conditions occur only in the northern part of the system. According to weather France, it is not expected intensification of the system. The centre is expected to spend between Martinique and Guadeloupe in the night of Friday to Saturday. The chosen scenario, which involves uncertainties, incites caution. A passage at the level of vigilance orange rest possible.
The associated stormy rains are expected late morning. Staple in the first place they are likely to strengthen in the afternoon and will continue into tomorrow.
To swell, it will arrive this afternoon with average lows of 3 metres and will widen to 3.5 m night crossing with the sea of the wind. Hollow of the order of 5 m maximum can be possible, prevent the forecasters.
Caution is therefore implementation. The possibility of falling of trees is not to evacuate, and the likely reactions of the River end of the day or the evening.
The conditions of navigation at sea may be difficult. The Sea becoming ground in the afternoon, and poor visibility.

[BZSTORM]

wishing everyone in the Caribbean in TS marias path best of luck, you really do not need another storm to come through so soon after Irene. Keep safe & dry

[BZSTORM]

A halo around the Moon
franceantilles.fr08.09.2011

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 124997.php

A ring of light hung the Moon Wednesday night. Those who thought to an alien invasion, or any sign of the end of the world can exclude these assumptions. It was simply a lunar halo. "It is the reflection of light caused by the moon through crystals of ice, present in some high-altitude clouds" explains Maurice Henry researcher and enthusiast of astronomy.
An impressive phenomenon which was visible especially in the South of the island. It can occur the same thing with the Sun. Referred to as a solar Halo.
Several parameters should coincide in order to observe this type of phenomenon, as the angle of observation, temperature, humidity. It is the same principle as for Rainbows. According to Maurice Henry, this is not a new phenomenon. For the history, in 1899 in Saint-Pierre, many people were impressed a lunar halo.
You can also discover on the site: http://www.zenith972.org/, photos, and the testimony of time.

I've only seen that occur twice since living in Belize but its a beautiful thing to see......and when its visible during dusk its all the more dramatic

[Gustywind]

A halo around the Moon
franceantilles.fr08.09.2011

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 124997.php

A ring of light hung the Moon Wednesday night. Those who thought to an alien invasion, or any sign of the end of the world can exclude these assumptions. It was simply a lunar halo. "It is the reflection of light caused by the moon through crystals of ice, present in some high-altitude clouds" explains Maurice Henry researcher and enthusiast of astronomy.
An impressive phenomenon which was visible especially in the South of the island. It can occur the same thing with the Sun. Referred to as a solar Halo.
Several parameters should coincide in order to observe this type of phenomenon, as the angle of observation, temperature, humidity. It is the same principle as for Rainbows. According to Maurice Henry, this is not a new phenomenon. For the history, in 1899 in Saint-Pierre, many people were impressed a lunar halo.
You can also discover on the site: http://www.zenith972.org/, photos, and the testimony of time.

I've only seen that occur twice since living in Belize but its a beautiful thing to see......and when its visible during dusk its all the more dramatic

Ok thanks glad to see that my friend .

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 53.6W
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 54.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

[cycloneye]

11 PM Track.

[cycloneye]

wishing everyone in the Caribbean in TS marias path best of luck, you really do not need another storm to come through so soon after Irene. Keep safe & dry

Thanks for those words. Yes,still the grounds are saturated in PR so we dont need more rain. I will try to post observations as long the power is up.

[cycloneye]

This mornings discussion by Rob of Crown Weather.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Tropical Storm Maria:
Satellite imagery this morning indicates that convection is increasing with Maria and it is expected that Maria will continue to strengthen slowly as it tracks across the northeastern Caribbean on Saturday and Saturday night. Once Maria tracks to the north of Puerto Rico on Sunday, we should see a somewhat quicker rate of intensification and Maria should become a hurricane by early next week. Maria is tracking west-northwest at a forward speed of 18 to 19 mph this morning. Most of the track model guidance are forecasting a track across the northeastern Caribbean Saturday followed by a track that takes Maria to the east of the Bahamas and then northward well east of the United States. The European model is further west and forecasts a track that takes Maria across the Bahamas on Wednesday and Thursday and then impacts eastern North Carolina next Sunday.

Tropical Storm Warnings are now in effect for most of the islands in the northeastern Caribbean and tropical storm conditions are expected from today through Saturday across the northeastern Caribbean.

I think Maria will end up tracking further west than the track models suggest perhaps turning north at around 74 West Longitude. A trough of low pressure is forecast to push off of the US East Coast next week and this should be able to deflect Maria north and northeast away from the US East Coast.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
737 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST NORTHWEST
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND
VIEQUES...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AN OVERALL DRIER WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA TODAY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. HOWEVER...STILL EXPECT
SOME DIURNALLY INDUCED CLOUDINESS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR
AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THEREAFTER...THE LOCAL WEATHER
WILL BE DICTATED BY T.S. MARIA. BASED ON THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORECAST...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST NORTHWEST FOR
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THIS WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF MARIA
VERY NEAR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND PUERTO
RICO SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. AT 5 AM
AST...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND PUERTO RICO. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
BULLETINS FROM NHC AND LOCAL STATEMENTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN FOR STORM RELATED INFORMATION.

ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO PIN DOWN EXACTLY...EXPECTED
IMPACTS FROM THIS EVENT COULD INCLUDE...STRONG AND DAMAGING
WINDS...LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH AND RIVER
FLOODING...AND POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES.

ALL LOCAL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA.

&&

.AVIATION....GENERALLY EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS AND AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE NEXT 18 TO 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS AND LOCAL MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR AND WEST PUERTO RICO IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE CONDITIONS...MAINLY SEAS...WILL GRADUALLY
DETERIORATE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST
AND THEN ALL CONDITIONS WILL WORSEN SIGNIFICANTLY SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
SJUCWFSJU FOR FORECAST DETAILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 80 88 78 / 10 30 90 90
STT 83 82 82 81 / 10 40 100 100

[cycloneye]

Thee was a quake near Martinique early this morning. Go to the thread at geology forum for the details.

viewtopic.php?f=67&t=107389&hilit=&p=2192116#p2192116

[BZSTORM]

On Monday & Tuesday nights we had 2 severe thunderstorms hit Southern Belize, proof that you dont need a TS to create allot of destruction and damage. Monday night elec was knocked out for 6 hours to my area, tuesday night was worse. http://www.7newsbelize.com/sstory.php?n ... &frmsrch=1 banana plantations had 50-80% of banana trees wiped out, the substation in Independence had direct lightening strike to transformer which meant from 12.45am most of the surrounding area had no elec for nearly 24hours, while I was lucky my village was reconnected by 5.50am as we were diverted to another substation, but Placencia village and areas in Independence village didn't get elec back on for 24hrs. then another 8 hour blackout for whole area on weds while they continued repairs to the elec feeder for the area. The storm travelled North and apparently a house was blown down in Belize City from gusts of 35mph. Belize met dept underestimated the winds within the storm system and that they would affect more than the South. http://www.7newsbelize.com/sstory.php?n ... &frmsrch=1

[cycloneye]

Results for San Juan, Puerto Rico (18.45N, 66W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.8N, 65.7W or about 27.7 miles (44.6 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 19 hours and 14 minutes from now (Sunday, September 11 at 6:30AM AST).

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM MARIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...MARIA EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. IN
ADDITION...STORM INFORMATION UPDATED.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE AND MARINE INTERESTS IN SELECT
LOCATIONS AND COASTAL WATER LEGS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL PUERTO RICO...
INCLUDING CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

FOR MARINE INTERESTS...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR
PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS COASTAL WATERS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. THIS WAS ABOUT 630
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR...OR ABOUT 570 MILES EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI...OR ABOUT 540 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF SAINT CROIX. STORM MOTION WAS WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 MPH.
STORM INTENSITY WAS 45 MPH.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TROPICAL STORM MARIA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING IN A GENERAL
WEST NORTHWEST MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...CULEBRA AND VIEQUES...AND EASTERN PUERTO RICO BY
SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SERIOUS CONCERN FOR A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING EVENT ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION DUE TO
RECENT HEAVY RAINS. THERE IS ALSO A CONCERN FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER TRACKS.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR THOSE UNDER A WARNING...NOW IS THE TIME TO RUSH TO COMPLETION
PREPARATIONS FOR THE PROTECTION OF LIFE AND PROPERTY. EVACUATE IF
DIRECTED TO DO SO BY LOCAL OFFICIALS...OR IF YOUR HOME IS
VULNERABLE TO HIGH WINDS OR FLOODING.

FOR INTERESTS AT PORTS...DOCKS...AND MARINAS...URGENTLY COMPLETE
PRESCRIBED PREPARATIONS ACCORDING TO YOUR EMERGENCY OPERATIONS
PLAN FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES. IF YOU LIVE ON A BOAT...MAKE FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR SECURING YOUR CRAFT BEFORE LEAVING IT. BE SURE
TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBLE CLOSURE OF BRIDGES AND CAUSEWAYS.

REGARDING ANY COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WARNING...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT AND WELL SECURED.

FOR ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE DETAILED RECOMMENDATIONS RELATIVE TO YOUR
LOCATION AS FURTHER DESCRIBED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN AROUND 300 PM AST...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.

PRZ001>013-101545-
/O.UPG.TJSJ.TR.A.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.EXA.TJSJ.TR.W.1014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-NORTHWEST-
WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-SOUTHWEST-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
1144 AM AST FRI SEP 9 2011

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...