Latest news from Guadeloupe concerning TS Maria (weather source Meteo-France Guadeloupe Friday 6AM). I've translated it.
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... ivi_gd.pdf (french version)
Weather forecast of tracking No.: 7
Episode No.: 28 - GD
Friday, September 9, 2011
at 06AMPhenomenon (type, name)TROPICAL STORM "MARIA".
Current position(distance)At 5 AM, the center is located at 13 ° 8 North and 56 °2 West, about 700 km South-East of Guadeloupe.
Characteristics current intensity of the cycloneEstimated average maximum wind: 65 km/h gusts: 85 km
Range, winds > 65 km/h: 185 km in the northern part
Minimum pressure: 1003 hectoPascals
Mouvement, current direction (cap)West to 32 km/h.
Forecasts (path and intensity)For now, the more likely scenario is moving the center of MARIA in the south of Guadeloupe on the night of Friday to Saturday.
Given this trajectory prediction, Guadeloupe should already know of stormy episodes from Friday afternoon. Rain stormy will intensify in the night and continue in the day of Saturday and could give important rollups. Average winds 60 km/h gusting to 80 km/h are expected during the night of Friday to Saturday. From a North-East direction, the wind will switch South and then Southeast during the night.
Sea: the first effects of the strong swell of East to North-East will begin as early as Friday morning with average dips to 2 m 50 to 3 m 50 on the Atlantic coast and will reach 4 to 6 m in evening and night of Friday to Saturday still on the Atlantic coast. The hollow max could reach 8 meters. On the coast downwind, average lows can reach 2 m.
Comments /ConsequencesRisks related to stormy rain: sudden rising waters, raw, floods, landslides, lightning, gusts of wind. Dangerous sea with large welters on exposed coasts.
Summary The risk is moderate risk.
The expected impact is moderate to important.
Validity - period of the phenomenonCyclonic effects expected on Friday 9th afternoon to Saturday 10th at night.
Next newsletterThis Friday, September 9th at 1130 AM.