MAYBE A BETTER IDEA OF FABIANS TRACK LATER TODAY!

[rayNportarthur]

FABIAN IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS. A STRONG
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BE TO THE NORTH OF THE HURRICANE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO..PROVIDING A GENERAL WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWEST STEERING. THEREAFTER...THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ALLOWING FABIAN TO TURN MORE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTH. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH TRACK GUIDANCE WHICH
UNANIMOUSLY BRINGS THE HURRICANE NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF THE U.S
COAST. A NOAA HIGH ALTITUDE JET WILL SAMPLE THE ENVIRONMENT
CONTROLLING THE PATH OF FABIAN LATER TODAY. WE SHALL SEE IF THE
DATA IMPACTS THE TRACK GUIDANCE.

[mf_dolphin]

That should definitely help with the track guidance. The models should get a lot better data for the next series of runs.

[Colin]

Looks like the East Coast may be spared!!

[Steve H.]

Models are unanimous as stated, in keeping Fabian out to sea. Just keep updated as the week goes on if anything should change. I am now turning to the wave to Fabian's SE,as this may become a player later on.