Florida Weather

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Bocadude85
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Re: Florida Weather

#6661 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Dec 28, 2011 9:08 am

I thought it was awful windy outside LOL.


Boca Raton Airport
Lat: 26.38 Lon: -80.1 Elev: 13
Last Update on Dec 28, 8:48 am EST


Fair and Windy

57 °F
(14 °C) Humidity: 63 %
Wind Speed: N 129 MPH
Barometer: 30.18"
Dewpoint: 45 °F (7 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
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Re: Florida Weather

#6662 Postby Sanibel » Wed Dec 28, 2011 11:17 am

Clear sky cold front. 67* right now, forecast to top-out at 71*. 43* forecast for tonight, then back to 77* friday.


Not too bad.
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#6663 Postby gsytch » Sat Dec 31, 2011 6:45 am

This next cold front will be the coldest of the season with freeze warnings out for inland/northern Tampa Bay, and expecting 33-35F here in the Bay area, upper 30's at coast. It will be accompanied by wind! I hate wind. It makes everything feel so much colder. Short lived as the high will move away. Tue and Wed AM will be the coldest with a slow moderation by the weekend. After all this warmth POW! January will take forever to get through as i worry about the AO getting negative. Once a trough forms in the east it tends to set a pattern. :cry:
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#6664 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Dec 31, 2011 9:28 am

Yeah, Old Man Winter will be paying a brief visit finally this upcoming week. Looks like temps should drop into the mid-upper 20s over interior parts of North Florida by Tuesday morning. Tuesday looks to be the coldest day as strong cold air advection on brisk northerly winds will keep highs that day only reaching the mid-upper 40s across North Florida. Should get two to three significant morning freezes from the short-lived event next week at my location here in NE FL, but by Thursday the temperatures will begin to moderate as the deep upper level trough over the Eastern CONUS lifts out.
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#6665 Postby psyclone » Sat Dec 31, 2011 12:30 pm

we definitely have a sharp, but brief blast of winter on the way. the good news it that it will be quick and doesn't look to present a significant threat to the winter agricultural regions of central and south florida (at least at this point). i wouldn't be surprised if the strawberry fields around plant city get a light freeze but as long as the sprinklers are working they should be fine. even in a mild winter, a transient shot of cold is to be expected. hopefully the warmth returns.
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#6666 Postby NDG » Sat Dec 31, 2011 2:41 pm

Not too worry about a significant freeze like the last couple of years for most of central FL as the day that will have the lowest heights will be Tuesday morning rising after that. What has me worried is the potential for some damaging frosts for Wednesday morning through Friday morning as surface High Pressure center gets close to the FL Peninsula, but might stay away far enough that would keep winds high enough for most areas to stay frost free.
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#6667 Postby gsytch » Sat Dec 31, 2011 5:31 pm

Always those high pressures sitting cause radiational cooling, particularly the second night of the event. I am preparing as we speak getting orchids and tropicals into the shadehouse - yet to be covered in plastic but will tomorrow! :sun:
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#6668 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Jan 01, 2012 9:39 am

Here are the latest preliminary statewide NWS WFO projected minimum and maximum temperatures for Tuesday, January 3, 2012. (Subject of course to changes later)



Pensacola 28° 51°
Panama City 30° 49°
Tallahassee 26° 47°
Jacksonville 28° 47°
Daytona Bch 33° 51°
Orlando 36° 53°
Tampa 37° 54°
Melbourne 37° 53°
Fort Myers 37° 59°
Naples 45° 58°
West Palm Bch 42° 59°
Fort Lauderdale 45° 63°
Miami 47° 63°
Key West 56° 62°
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#6669 Postby NDG » Sun Jan 01, 2012 10:22 am

This morning's 12z NAM shows low level clouds moving onshore Wednesday morning across the east coast of FL because of winds at H925 switching onshore, so areas along I-95 from Daytona Beach on southward might luck out of getting a freeze and or frost for at least Wednesday morning. Hopefully those clouds could move inland into Orlando, hopefully.
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Re: Florida Weather

#6670 Postby AdamFirst » Sun Jan 01, 2012 12:36 pm

NWS Melbourne discussion from 9 AM this morning

WHILE HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RECOVER INTO THE 60S ON MON...EXCEPT
LOWER 70S ALONG THE TREASURE COAST...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH
AND GUSTY WILL MAKE THIS DAY FEEL COLDER. EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS WITH
CLEAR SKIES TO PLUMMET INTO THE 30S EVERYWHERE...EXCEPT IMMEDIATE
TREASURE COAST/BARRIER ISLANDS WHERE THEY WILL BE LUCKY TO STAY IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS MON OVERNIGHT/TUE
MORNING SHOULD KEEP FROST FROM FORMING...THOUGH LOWEST WIND CHILL
READINGS FOR AFTER MIDNIGHT LIKELY WILL BE REALIZED IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 20S (LOWER 30S TREASURE COAST) IN MANY PLACES. A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED AREAWIDE FOR OVERNIGHT.

TUE-SAT...THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR MUCH COLDER
AND DRIER AIR TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA FOR MUCH OF
THE UPCOMING WEEK. WE CAN EXPECT THE COLDEST STRETCH OF TEMPERATURES
THIS WINTER THUS FAR TO CONTINUE TUE/WED NIGHTS. TUE NIGHT MAY SEE
SOME FREEZING READINGS IN COLDER SPOTS. WILL KEEP THE EXTENDED
PERIOD DRY WITH THE EXPECTED COLDER/DRIER CONDITIONS.

HIGHS ON TUE WILL ONLY RECOVER INTO THE 50S WITH MARTIN COUNTY
POSSIBLY REACHING THE 60 DEGREE MARK. MAINLY 60S FOR HIGHS EXPECTED
WED-THU WITH POSSIBLE MAXIMUM READINGS NEAR 70 DEGREES TO LOWER 70S
RETURNING FOR FRI/SAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

FOR LOW TEMPERATURES...WINDS WILL FALL OFF TUE OVERNIGHT/WED MORNING
AND MAY HAVE TO BE ALERT TO FROST/FREEZE POTENTIAL ACROSS INLAND
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. LOWER 30 DEGREE READINGS ACROSS RURAL
LOCATIONS ALONG THE I-4 CORRIDOR AND SOUTH THROUGH OSCEOLA AND
OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES LOOK PROBABLE...UNLESS SAVED FOR SOME UPPER
CLOUD COVER. ELSEWHERE MID TO UPPER 30S TO AROUND 40 DEGREES FOR
LOWS EXPECTED SPACE/TREASURE COASTS. LOW READINGS BEGIN TO MODERATE
UPWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S
READINGS WED OVERNIGHT/THU MORNING AND MAINLY 40S TO AROUND 50
DEGREES EVERYWHERE THU-FRI OVERNIGHTS/FRI-SAT MORNINGS.
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#6671 Postby psyclone » Sun Jan 01, 2012 2:20 pm

just checked some point and click forecast lows for tuesday night/wed morning, the coldest night of the upcoming event. 33 in ft myers was identical to aripeka (hernando/pasco border on the coast). my guess is the unusually warm waters of the gulf are responsible for that continuity. i think the coastal areas from the tampa bay region south will come through this in good shape. it gets a lot more hazardous inland though. plant city shows 27, brooksville 25 and bronson (levy county) 21. the good news for those that don't like the cold is a quick rebound is in store as reinforcing shots are no where to be found. Cleveland ohio may not make it out of the teens on Tuesday but they are expected to warm into the mid 40's by friday. it can't remain cold in florida when it's so warm up north so this is a very transient shot of cold.
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#6672 Postby gsytch » Mon Jan 02, 2012 7:28 am

This is not looking good for agriculture interests OR my yard. With all the warmth lately, plants are growing! I didnt even cover my shadehouse until yesterday because the heat buildup is an issue. Now, I have to heat it!...I live about a mile from the Gulf in NPR so I am hoping I pull through just barely. Thurs morning may be an issue if the winds die and the air is dry. They did not call this one very well at all, but with no snow cover to the north and a warmer Gulf, perhaps this shot of cold may not be as bad....fingers crossed!
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Re:

#6673 Postby NDG » Mon Jan 02, 2012 9:11 am

gsytch wrote:This is not looking good for agriculture interests OR my yard. With all the warmth lately, plants are growing! I didnt even cover my shadehouse until yesterday because the heat buildup is an issue. Now, I have to heat it!...I live about a mile from the Gulf in NPR so I am hoping I pull through just barely. Thurs morning may be an issue if the winds die and the air is dry. They did not call this one very well at all, but with no snow cover to the north and a warmer Gulf, perhaps this shot of cold may not be as bad....fingers crossed!


What could make forecasted low temps bust is the lack of snow cover to our north, cloud cover and winds staying up not going completely calm in most areas.
During the past 24 hrs I have been comparing actual temps after fropa areas to our north, temps have been a good 5 degrees warmer than what models indicated, surely lack of snow cover has something to do with it, hopefully it would be the same for the FL Peninsula the next couple of mornings.
Wednesday morning is what has me worried the most if the center of high pressure gets too close to central FL and winds go calm.
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#6674 Postby gsytch » Mon Jan 02, 2012 9:57 am

That is what has me hoping..the lack of snow cover to the north. I, too, realized temps up north are not that bad for all this cold to reach us. Right now the wind is up at 20-25mph gusts and the temp has held at 61F since 8am. Unfortunately, with wind expected, covering plants becomes a nightmare. If only a flow off the Gulf keeps up for Wed AM I will be ok. Thurs morning will also be an issue with calm winds. :oops:
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Re:

#6675 Postby NDG » Mon Jan 02, 2012 10:08 am

gsytch wrote:That is what has me hoping..the lack of snow cover to the north. I, too, realized temps up north are not that bad for all this cold to reach us. Right now the wind is up at 20-25mph gusts and the temp has held at 61F since 8am. Unfortunately, with wind expected, covering plants becomes a nightmare. If only a flow off the Gulf keeps up for Wed AM I will be ok. Thurs morning will also be an issue with calm winds. :oops:


I still see Wednesday morning as the coldest morning for interior areas on westward towards the west coast if winds do indeed go calm. Thursday morning you along the west coast of FL north of TB might luck out because of a another but weaker shortwave swinging through to our north that might switch winds at least at H925 off the gulf while the east coast of central FL might get a little colder than Wednesday morning. Interior areas might be just as bad.

I will be covering my plants as well but will wait until tomorrow afternoon & evening as winds die down bit by then.
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#6676 Postby psyclone » Mon Jan 02, 2012 11:49 am

the weather service has really taken overnight lows down into the danger zone tuesday night. 24 for plant city, 23 for arcadia, 19 for brooksville, 16 for bronson, 29 for ft myers and 32 for my backyard. yikes. should those verify this is a serious threat for ag interests, especially winter vegetable crops down around lake O. protect those plants and let's hope for the best on this one!
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Re:

#6677 Postby NDG » Mon Jan 02, 2012 12:26 pm

psyclone wrote:the weather service has really taken overnight lows down into the danger zone tuesday night. 24 for plant city, 23 for arcadia, 19 for brooksville, 16 for bronson, 29 for ft myers and 32 for my backyard. yikes. should those verify this is a serious threat for ag interests, especially winter vegetable crops down around lake O. protect those plants and let's hope for the best on this one!


Wow, that's really low, your local NWS office is going 100% by MOS forecasts which seem to me like a little too low, IMO. Melbourne's NWS office is not going as low as the MOS forecast, at least at this time.
Hopefully this case is once again their worst case scenario as they usually do.
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Re: Florida Weather

#6678 Postby Florida1118 » Mon Jan 02, 2012 3:11 pm

TWC has 48 for a high tomorrow for Pinellas County... :cold: :froze:
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Re: Florida Weather

#6679 Postby Sanibel » Mon Jan 02, 2012 3:44 pm

I had a feeling we would pay for that warm December...
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#6680 Postby gsytch » Mon Jan 02, 2012 8:53 pm

Yes, pay for it indeed. I'm still not 100% convinced of a MAJOR freeze event. Yes, the normally colder areas will be cold. Yes, inland areas will of course drop down (esp Brooksville). The Gulf is rather warm (for now) and there seems to be a fetch of high cirrus clouds hanging in the Gulf. Anything to get us through Tues night. Right now it is 55.6F and winds W/NW rather stiff so tonight is not an issue. Any wind flow that keeps up Tues night will help us coastal areas. :double:
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