Caribbean - Central America Weather

[TheBurn]

It was a sunny, breezy day all day today here in Rincon in the West Coast of PR.
Just stepped outside and took this picture of Isaac's first signs...
Now, as I post this, the wind is howling and its raining sideways.

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
800 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012

...ISAAC ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 62.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM SW OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE AWAY FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...PASS NEAR OR SOUTH
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON THURSDAY...AND APPROACH
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE THURSDAY NIGHT OR FRIDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON
THURSDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
20 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS WAVES.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BLAKE

[Steagle]

Excellent picture out of Puerto Rico !

Here in the northeast DR... it was sunny hot and humid all day.

All quiet so far..but already I see the first bands in the Mona Passage between DR PR
You would never know a TS hurricane is approaching from the east.

Ill update as long as the phone lines stay operational

Wishing everone in the Islands the Very Best !

[msbee]

Atlantic Tropical Storm ISAAC Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
08/22/2012 07:35 PM EDT



000
WTNT34 KNHC 222333
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
800 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012

...ISAAC ENTERS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 62.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...110 KM SW OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

[abajan]

It's been raining fairly heavily here for the last hour or so and the latest WV satellite loops show that there's plenty more coming our way from the southwest. The same loops also seem to suggest that Dominica recently got pounded with lots of torrential rain but we'll know for sure as reports at StormCarib come through.

[artist]

thanks for the reports all! Hopefully the rain isn't too bad. Stay safe.

[FireBird]

I just came in from battling the elements out there.
That was scary and awesome.
My preparations to keep my dogs dry couldn;t match the winds.
I walked into a wall of horizontal pelting rain, and we just just had to get the job done.
All dry now, doggies are good, and we put extra barriers in case rainfall maintains so that we could keep out the floodwaters.
Can;t imagine those who've been battling for hours.....

[abajan]

We've had quite a bit of rain so far tonight. It's not raining now but I can see from the satellite loops that quite a bit more is on the way from a developing feeder band.

@FireBird
I'm not surprised by your report because that same feeder band is affecting T&T (Trinidad and Tobago).

It's now starting to rain here again and I'm going to bed.

Good Night all. Stay safe.
Zzzz...

[Steagle]

Isaac arrives at
4:15 AM...loud crashes of thunder...followed by 10 mins
of heavy rain...here we go

[abajan]

Judging by how the ground outside looks, I don't think we had significant amounts of rain since I went to sleep. It's currently overcast with light rain and the winds have noticeably increased during the last 20 minutes or so, gusting to around 35 mph (perhaps more). They appear to be coming from the SSE.

[cycloneye]

Good morning. So far in PR,the bands are moving thru but no flooding has occured so far. I will keep you informed unless the power goes.

[Gustywind]

Very good news here. Pretty tranquil night! The red vigilance have been canceled since yesterday night because of the cyclonics effects have spared the butterfly island. Whereas since 6AM, we have nice rain showers from the outers bands with moderate to sometimes strong gusts!

Right now, given Meteo-France we're under an orange alert for risk of strong showers and tstorms and rough sea.

Gustywind

[cycloneye]

AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
404 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

.SYNOPSIS...TS ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE ERN CARIB
TODAY PASSING S OF PR THIS AFTERNOON AND MAKING LANDFALL IN
HISPANIOLA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER PR
AND THE USVI TONIGHT THROUGH FRI.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CENTER OF ISAAC REFORMED FARTHER SOUTH OVERNIGHT AND
IT APPEARS TO BE SLOWING DOWN PER RECENT AIRCRAT FIXES AND JUA 88D
IMAGERY. TREND IN THE MODELS IS TO DELAY ONSET OF TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS AND HEAVY RAINS ACROSS PR AND THE USVI WITH HEAVIEST
RAINS AND STRONGEST WINDS STARTING TONIGHT AROUND 24/00Z AND
CONTINUING THROUGH FRI. INFLOW FEEDER BANDS WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
FRI NIGHT BUT MOISTURE WILL REMAIN PRETTY DEEP INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH RAIN CHANCES CONTINUING THROUGH TUE ALTHOUGH THEY WILL
BE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. REAL DRY AIR
DOES NOT ARRIVE UNTIL WED OF NEXT WEEK.

AFTER COLLABORATION WITH HPC...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE RAISED DUE
TO A LONGER DURATION EVENT OF AROUND 12 HRS OF INTENSE RAINFALL
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PR. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS PR
AND USVI WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVS OF SRN PR ARE EXPECTED. THE DISORGANIZED NATURE OF
THE STORM PREVENTS US FROM GOING WITH HIGHER NUMBERS ATTM BUT
INFLOW FEEDER BANDS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRI COULD
RESULT IN PROLIFIC RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

&&

.AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING
EDGE OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA. AS A RESULT...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS AS WELL
AS MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TAF SITES THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. BANDS OF TORRENTIAL RAINS...GUSTY WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 30 TO 40 KTS...ASSOCIATED WITH ISAAC...WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT THE LOCAL FLYING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


&&

.MARINE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS STILL LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH FRI WITH VERY HEAVY RAINS AND ROUGH
SEAS OF 12 TO 18 FEET.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 79 85 79 / 90 100 100 70
STT 83 78 82 81 / 100 100 100 60

[Gustywind]

Very good news here. Pretty tranquil night! The red vigilance have been canceled since yesterday night because of the cyclonics effects have spared the butterfly island. Whereas since 6AM, we have nice rain showers from the outers bands with moderate to sometimes strong gusts!

Right now, given Meteo-France we're under an orange alert for risk of strong showers and tstorms and rough sea.

Gustywind

[cycloneye]

TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISAAC INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
800 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...ISSAC MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 64.8W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM ESE OF ISLA SAONA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
MONTSERRAT...AND ANGUILLA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.

[artist]

so good to hear from everyone. Hope this thing moves on from you soon.

[msbee]

Good news Gusty
all ok here too

[Gustywind]

Good news Gusty
all ok here too

Excellent news!
Let's hope that the blessed tendency continues till November 30th and more

[Gustywind]

WEATHER

Vigilance orange for heavy rains/storms and dangerous sea


franceantilles.fr 23.08.2012

http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... 183723.php

Storm cells observed in spiral band at the rear of the storm still threaten our islands. Heavy showers are possible along the day.

Storm tropical Isaac centre crossed the Guadeloupe archipelago Wednesday evening, passing on the Petit Cul-de-Sac Marin and southern Earth bass. The center of Isaac is now at about 250 km southwest of Basse-Terre, the Caribbean Sea. The active portion of the storm was located on the margins of its center and has avoided our islands. Rains have still caused rollups of 60 to 80 mm in a few hours on the southern Basse-Terre, Marie-Galante and les Saintes during the passage of the centre of Isaac last night. Grande Terre and Northern bass.
Earth have been spared by these showers, but are affected by low and continuous rain. Large storm cells are still observed on the Atlantic, at the rear of the storm. Southeast wind, low early in the night, strengthened and blows to the
Daybreak at a speed of 40 km/h approximately on the coast, and up to 60 km/h on la Désirade. Finally, the sea has deteriorated strongly last night and is still strong, with average lows of 3 to 4 m, and 6 to 7 m waves. Storm cells observed in spiral band at the rear of the storm still threaten our islands. Heavy showers are possible along the day. The sea remains strong and dangerous until tonight at least. The Southeast wind is still quite maintained and blows at an average speed of 40 to 50 km/h. Gusts can reach 60 to 70 km/h to the passage of showers.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012
1100 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012

...ISAAC CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 65.4W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM ESE OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SOUTHERN BORDER
* HAITI

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTH COAST OF DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NORTHERN BORDER EASTWARD TO NORTH OF ISLA SAONA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND ELSEWHERE IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAAC.