ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Wx_Warrior
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1881 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:50 pm

Glad someone posted the Ike map. Was searching for it when I saw the post.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1882 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:52 pm

0z GFS +72

Image
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#1883 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:54 pm

Starts off too strong. Not realistic when looking at how the storm is currently behaving IMO
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1884 Postby CourierPR » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:55 pm

Joe Bastardi is sticking to his track up the east coast of FL as of 2hours ago.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1885 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:57 pm

0z GFS +84

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1886 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:58 pm

^tough time strengthening if that occurs
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1887 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 10:59 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M


making a run at it....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1888 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:00 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:^tough time strengthening if that occurs




yeah that end of Cuba has the mountains....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1889 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:00 pm

Looks to come off of the North coast of Cuba at 93 hours...

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#1890 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:01 pm

0z GFS +96

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1891 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:01 pm

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M



door is closing
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#1892 Postby meriland23 » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:02 pm

more north and faster west than last ?
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#1893 Postby SeminoleWind » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:03 pm

weakness is narrowing down
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1894 Postby blp » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:03 pm

GFS sticking to its guns so far no west shift early on.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1895 Postby TheDreamTraveler » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:03 pm

CourierPR wrote:Joe Bastardi is sticking to his track up the east coast of FL as of 2hours ago.


He never said he was strictly "sticking" with that track. He believes that's the most likely scenario in his opinion. He said this thing has a good chance of going either west or east of Florida, but more likely East. That's probably why JB gets such a bad rap sometimes, people need to say all the details of his forecast. :P I am surprised he got the threat of a hurricane striking the Southeast spot on over 2 weeks ago between this time frame, when everyone was writing him off as being wrong.

The most important thing to analysis will be the new information fed into the models in the next two days. That will give us a better insight into exactly where Isaac will go.
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#1896 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:04 pm

0z GFS CONUS View +108

Image

0z GFS CONUS View +114

Image
Last edited by Jevo on Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#1897 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:05 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:Starts off too strong. Not realistic when looking at how the storm is currently behaving IMO


And re strengthens much to fast after the trek across DR and Cuba. Even strengthens while going over Cuba.
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Re: Re:

#1898 Postby ROCK » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:06 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:Starts off too strong. Not realistic when looking at how the storm is currently behaving IMO


And re strengthens much to fast after the trek across DR and Cuba. Even strengthens while going over Cuba.



yeah doesnt make much sense does it..... :lol: the core or cores that it currently has will be shredded by 10K mountains....
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1899 Postby Wx_Warrior » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:07 pm

way off. if isaac manhandles those mtns and blows up like that, that quickly....retire the name asap.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#1900 Postby Jevo » Wed Aug 22, 2012 11:09 pm

0z GFS CONUS View +120

Image

0z GFS CONUS View +126

Image
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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