ATL: ISAAC - Models
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TeamPlayersBlue
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Oh brother. Euro is scaring me!
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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deltadog03
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Heading towards N.O as a strengthening hurricane, not a great run at all, esp if land interaction is less than it shows in the shorter term...
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Stormlover2012
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
yeah beaumont met said last night he was nervous kinda of bec the steering currents are very very weak and that high pressure would build southeast
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
144 a little the west about 50 to 75 miles lets see what happens next..
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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wxman76
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Remember too that if this thing really cranks up, all the heat has to be exhausted so storms tend to pump ridges to their north and East as that is the most likely evacuation route. (the heat expands the air, raising the heights) The trough is weak and just a little heat will raise the heights enough. we really are only talking like 3dm difference. This could have an interesting side effect pumping the plains ridge and sending some very warm weather into the lakes and northeast eventually.
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galvestontx
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
ROCK wrote:Portastorm wrote:ROCK wrote:138hr moving wnw in the GOM.....SW is flatter than a roadkill in Texas.....
... and speaking of Texas ...
yep...but I aint sayin nothing!!
What you talkin about Willis?????
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deltadog03
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Wx_Warrior
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Texas seems remote IMO-
wxwatcher1999
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Re:
deltadog03 wrote:Not going to TX....calm down...
Sure does look well west of NOLA
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Stormlover2012
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
nobody knows where it is going but texas isn't out of the woods yet, its all about the upper levels and etc, Rita and ike wasn't supposed to hit upper texas coast and it dead, this thing could die out in the mountains, it could still go east coast of florida, and right now this strom is really really weak, if the center relocated farther south it could go farther west. this isn't a official forecat jmo
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meriland23
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VERY different from last run in comparison when it gets to landfall.. wow
12z today
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0z this morning
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
12z today
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0z this morning
Uploaded with ImageShack.us
Last edited by meriland23 on Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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petit_bois
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
gas prices just went up!
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Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.
Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.
what he said.... 
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MidnightRain
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models
Let's not put all of our eggs into one basket, this is just one run and obviously a outliner. Let's see if it persists and other models start shift with it.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Jevo
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12z ECMWF (Euro) +168
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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BigB0882
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It just depends which way it is moving in that last image. NW? N? NE? Hard to know for sure without seeing the next one. At least it is for me, I can't read those maps. lol
Well, that is pretty darn close to TX.
Well, that is pretty darn close to TX.
Last edited by BigB0882 on Thu Aug 23, 2012 1:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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wxman76
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intersting the Euro burys that SW in montana in nearly zonal flow causing it to lift not dig in. This shortwave should finally be onshore for 00z and the models tonight should get a better handle on this critical piece of information. Again we all look at teh surface, for a good reason we live there! But the models run at different levels for a good reason. so if you get confused by the surface map look aloft. Plus upper levels are not subject to surface friction so often actually perform better than the surface map. Just something I've learned over time!
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Dean4Storms
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